nuclear weapon lies in stopping the war.
Because my country pursues the lowest equivalent nuclear strike force, the number of nuclear warheads in my country is smaller than that of the United States and Russia.
(The picture shows Dongfeng-41 intercontinental missile , currently one of the important nuclear counterattack weapons in the hands of the PLA)
Some netizens are worried that once a nuclear war occurs, will the nuclear weapons in the hands of the PLA be enough?
should increase the number of nuclear warheads? Or increase the survivability of nuclear weapons?
In fact, in addition to caring about the number of nuclear warheads, the survivability of nuclear weapons is also particularly important.
That is to say, as long as your nuclear weapons survive the enemy's first wave of nuclear strikes, you can fight back against the enemy fiercely.
Some netizens once suggested that my country can build land-based missile trains to enhance my country's nuclear counterattack capabilities?
Let’s first understand what are the nuclear strike methods?
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nuclear strike method
Currently, nuclear strike methods are divided into sea-based, land-based and air-based .
Sea-based: consists of strategic nuclear submarine . It mainly operates in the four oceans. Because of the ocean as cover, it not only has good stealth, but also has extremely strong survival ability.
(The picture shows the U.S. Navy Ohio-class nuclear submarine, which can carry 24 submarine-launched nuclear bombs)
air-based: mainly composed of strategic bomber , which is easily destroyed in the first wave of nuclear strikes and has average survivability. However, the development of strategic bombers is difficult. Currently, only China, the United States and Russia have air-based nuclear strike capabilities in the world.
France's air-based nuclear strike is mainly completed by the fighter airframe, rather than the strategic bomber.
Land-based: mainly consists of fixed missile launch silos, land-based motorized launch vehicles and railway motorized missile train .
(the picture shows a fixed silo for land-based intercontinental missiles)
Among them, fixed missile silo is fixed because its position is fixed , and it is easily destroyed by the enemy's first wave of nuclear strikes, which leads to its average survivability.
land-based missile launcher can maneuver quickly on the road. has strong survivability, , but each launcher car has a limited number of nuclear bombs, which limits its ability to counterattack.
(Russian intercontinental missile)
Railway motorized missile train: has no worse survivability than missile launcher , and the number of nuclear bombs carried by missile trains is also greater than that of it, and its nuclear counterattack ability cannot be underestimated. What are the advantages and disadvantages of
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missile trains?
Advantages:
First of all, has strong continuous maneuverability.
It is said that the speed of a missile train is about 100 kilometers per hour, so it can speed around 1,000 kilometers in a whole day, which means that the missile train can achieve large-scale transfer.
(a missile train developed by the Soviet Union)
Second, has strong survivability.
missile train benefited from its powerful maneuverability and combined with the rich railway transportation network, it has strong concealment, creating its strong survivability.
Foreign media once said that once a missile train enters the railway network, finding it is undoubtedly a "finding a needle in a haystack".
US media once said: Tracking a missile train requires at least dozens of reconnaissance satellites at the same time. If multiple missile trains are to be tracked at the same time, the reconnaissance difficulty will increase exponentially, and more reconnaissance satellites are needed.
Third, combat readiness duty rate is high, and you can quickly enter the launch state.
missile train has entered combat readiness since it was in service. As long as it receives the order for nuclear strikes, it can quickly enter the launch state.
Fourth, the number of nuclear bombs carried by is far greater than that of road motorized launch vehicles.
Because missile trains have strong survivability and carry a number of nuclear bombs, they are called "land nuclear submarine" .
Disadvantages:
First of all, the intercontinental missiles equipped with have a short service life.
The SS-24 intercontinental missile developed specifically for missile trains by the Soviet Union has a service life of only 10 years. Most of the intercontinental missiles that were put into service during the Soviet Union had a service life of 20 to 30 years.
The reason is that since it was installed on the missile train, it has begun to take on combat readiness duty, so it needs to conduct continuous power-on tests, which will greatly reduce its service life.
Secondly, railway network is easily destroyed.
Once a war occurs, the key points in the railway line (tunnels and bridges) will be subject to enemy key attacks, and it will be difficult for missile trains to achieve large-scale maneuvering launches, thereby reducing the deterrence against the enemy.
The United States and the Soviet Union were the first countries to develop missile trains. The Soviet Union officially launched missile trains in 1987 and entered a state of war readiness alert. However, Russia retired all missile trains in its territory in 2005 and then demolished them all.
(Russia once restarted the missile train plan in 2014, but the plan died later)
So according to the principle that China does not use nuclear weapons first, will China develop missile trains?
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Pros and cons of China's development of missile trains?
One, China's high-speed rail network is convenient.
According to foreign media reports, China is developing missile trains that can speed on high-speed rail. They say that high-speed rail is more suitable for missile trains than ordinary railways.
high-speed rail is not only faster, but also more stable, which means that high-speed rail lines can greatly increase the mobility, concealment and safety of missile trains.
(currently China's high-speed rail mileage ranks first in the world)
The second, increases my country's nuclear counterattack capabilities and makes up for the disadvantage of insufficient number of my country's sea-based strategic nuclear submarines.
my country's strategic nuclear submarine number and performance are far from that of the United States and Russia, which leads to the possibility that my country's strategic nuclear counterattack power may be insufficient.
, and missile trains can just increase the survival ability of my country's nuclear weapons, thereby enhancing the nuclear counterattack power.
Although equipping missile trains has many advantages, it still has some problems.
First, missile train may not be able to send out the hidden advantage in China. The reason why
missile trains can have extremely strong concealment is that there are a large number of civilian trains as cover. my country's railway network is dense in the east and loose in the west, and such a railway network layout is obviously not conducive to the concealment of missile trains.
(The picture shows the China Railway Map in 2020, where the color marked is a high-speed rail line. It can be clearly seen from the picture that the east is dense and the west is sparse)
Secondly, the nuclear bombs carried by the missile train are relatively poor in safety.
missile trains are on duty as they are in service, which means that the missile trains must carry nuclear warheads.
, and missile trains are much less secure than road motorized launchers that also carry nuclear warheads and strategic missile nuclear submarine .
If the missile train is deployed in the eastern region, the consequences will be unimaginable if an accident occurs. If
is deployed in the western region, although it can reduce the serious consequences of sudden accidents, it is difficult to ensure confidentiality.
You should know that when the Soviet Union deployed missile trains, it was deployed in a sparsely populated area, with the purpose of avoiding accidents.
Do you think my country should develop missile trains to enhance my country's nuclear counterattack power?
