A new week
Daocheng Still enthusiastic
Dear "acquaintances"
How are you doing when you go out these two days?
Don’t worry
Zhou Xiaobu is here to give you some coolness!
In the coming days, we are expected to bid farewell to the barbecue mode
There will be a new wave of cold air arriving in the island city
There will be thunderstorms tomorrow evening and night
The temperature will drop starting the day after tomorrow
In addition
According to Central Meteorological Observatory news
Typhoon No. 11 "Xuanlanno"
has been strengthened to typhoon html level 4 at 14:00 today
Xuan
岚
诺
is currently 2,080 kilometers east of Zhoushan (27.5 degrees north latitude, 143.4 degrees east longitude), with a central air pressure of 975 hPa and a maximum wind force of level 12 near the center. It is moving in a westward direction at a speed of about 30 kilometers per hour. intensity Continue to enhance.
Affected by it, It is expected that from the morning of September 1st, the gust level 10 will gradually increase to level 11 in each fishing ground from south to north. From the 3rd, the wind force in each offshore fishing ground will continue to increase to gust level 12. The wind force in the nearby sea areas where the typhoon center passes With gusts above level 12, coastal wind gusts of level 9 on the 2nd and 3rd, and gusts of level 9 and 10 on the 4th, please take precautions.
It can be seen from the visible light cloud image
The cloud mass near its center
is rolling violently like boiling water
and rotating crazily around the center
At the same time, the core circulation is extremely tight
It is very likely to have a profound impact
Super typhoons that will affect my country's future weather changes
Typhoon path prediction
It is predicted that
"Xuanlannuo"path will be very complicated
is the most complex typhoon so far this year
Judging from the current situation
it is most likely to be
first guided by the east subtropical high all the way west
and then reach the vicinity of the Ryukyu Island Chain
East-West subtropical highs compete for dominance
After arriving near the Ryukyu island chain
✔It is possible that turns north to Japan ;
✔It is also possible that turns south and reaches in the ocean east of Taiwan, my country.
If it comes to the ocean east of Taiwan
at this time the west wind trough and the two deputy highs are competing for dominance. Here it has three possibilities:
✔ The west deputy high leads to South China ;
✔ the east deputy High guidance, go to East China ;
✔ is hooked by the westerly trough, and then go northward in the offshore East China.
In addition, the typhoon embryo 98W
will also have the Fujiwara effect
making the path more complicated
Since the typhoon has just formed
there is still a large uncertainty in the later intensity and path
Autumn typhoon forecast
According to the Zhejiang Provincial Ocean Monitoring and Forecasting Center Predict
There will be 4-5 tropical cyclones in the northwest Pacific and
South China Sea in September.
Among them, 1-2 may make landfall on
the southeastern coast of my country.
What is an autumn typhoon?
Generally speaking, typhoons that occur from September to November are called "autumn typhoons".
Compared with summer typhoons, autumn typhoons are more "crazy"
. This is because when autumn typhoons hit from September to November, it is easy to encounter "cold air". When autumn typhoons and cold air come together, strong convective movements will occur, and strong winds and heavy rains are inevitable.
Zhoushan is currently in the flood season.
Finally, Zhou Xiaobu still wants to remind everyone
to pay attention to the upcoming weather forecast in time.
Adjust your clothes reasonably according to the weather changes.
Always have rain gear.
To prevent thunderstorm "raid"
Source丨Central Meteorological Observatory, China Meteorological Enthusiasts, Zhoushan Meteorology, Zhejiang Provincial Ocean Monitoring and Forecasting Center
Editor丨Zhuang Shiyi
