On July 28, 2022, the USS Ronald Reagan aircraft carrier strike group sailed to Taiwan. Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives Pelosi decided to leave for a visit to Asian countries on the 29th.
At 8 a.m. on July 29, 2022, the Taiwan Affairs Office of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China issued a statement that the reunification of the motherland is the sacred mission of the Chinese People's Liberation Army.
At 10:56 am, People’s Daily published an article announcing military exercises in the South China Sea. Two hours later, the U.S. Embassy in China issued a notice, warning American citizens in China to contact the embassy in case of emergency.
From 8:00 to 21:00 on July 30, 2022, live-fire training was conducted in the waters near Fujian.
In recent times, China and the United States have been turbulent over the Taiwan issue. From Pompeo to Pelosi’s plan to visit Taiwan, to the US aircraft carrier and South China Sea exercises, an undercurrent of diplomatic game is unfolding.
When talking about the Taiwan Strait issue, we have to mention the Sino-US Taiwan Strait crisis in 1996! The relationship between China and Taiwan is also tense. The US aircraft carrier battle group and are also on the verge of Taiwan waters. The Chinese army is also holding large-scale military exercises.
Why did this crisis break out? Why was there no real fight at that time? If there was a fight, who would have a higher winning rate? What causes the
conflict?
On April 20, 1949, China's War of Liberation came to an end. The Kuomintang troops who refused to sign the peace agreement were completely defeated. On April 23, the Sanye troops led by Chen Yi successfully liberated Nanjing.
Chairman Mao was so happy that he wrote "Seven Rules: The People's Liberation Army Occupies Nanjing", specifically stating that the Chinese troops should "be brave enough to pursue the poor bandits, and not be famous as academic overlords"!
Chiang Kai-shek and Chiang Ching-kuo
However, due to the defeat in the Battle of Kinmen, as well as various reasons related to the international situation and China's national conditions, Taiwan has never been able to truly return to the embrace of the motherland.
Chiang Kai-shek and his defeated remnants huddled on the island of Taiwan, emboldened by the support of Western countries. China, on the other hand, has been affected by the " Korean War " and the "India-Pakistan Conflict" and has never been able to actually send troops.
The relationship between Taiwan and mainland China has been at an extremely tense level for a long time. From the Kinmen Artillery Battle to the "Three Nos", to several "Letter to Compatriots in Taiwan" and a "Letter from Liao Chengzhi to Mr. Chiang Ching-kuo".
Chiang Ching-kuo gradually eased his relations with the mainland under the sincerity of the Communist Party. Comrade Deng Xiaoping proposed the " one country, two systems " plan for the new era, and at the same time actively promoted the steady progress of China-Taiwan relations.
136 Guided missile destroyer Hangzhou
However, in 1988, Chiang Ching-kuo, who had originally planned to visit the mainland that year, passed away. The appointment of a new person in charge once again put China-Taiwan relations on a downhill slope.
In 1994, under the deliberate conspiracy of the new person in charge, the Taiwan authorities took the initiative to cause friction with the mainland, thereby provoking disputes in cross-strait relations.
During this period, the Soviet Union disintegrated , and the original bipolar structure transformed into a superpower and multiple powers situation headed by the United States. The United States is unwilling to sit back and watch China become stronger step by step, so it deliberately looks for opportunities to intervene in China's internal affairs.
And Taiwan is a pawn of the United States! They use Taiwan to hold the mainland hostage, and at the same time sell a large amount of arms to Taiwan. They sit back and watch the cross-strait fights and frictions, and profit from it. On the one hand, they worsen cross-strait relations, and on the other hand, they make a lot of money from the war!
Support a Chinese patriotic people
In 1992, the United States sold a large number of advanced weapons to Taiwan, among which the most advanced were the F-16 third-generation fighter jets and the French Mirage 2000 fighter jets.
You must know that the third-generation fighter jet J-10 independently developed by the Chinese people only officially completed production delivery in 2003. At that time, our country's navy and air force still consisted of a large number of second-generation fighters.
Relying on the support of the United States, the person in charge of Taiwan has made a small calculation in his mind. In June 1995, he publicly visited the United States on the pretext of "visiting his alma mater" and delivered a series of speeches that seriously harmed cross-strait relations.
He emphasized that Taiwan should strengthen cooperation with the United States and break through the "diplomatic isolation" from the mainland. Further deepening the relationship between Taiwan and the United States, resulting in great dissatisfaction in mainland China!
The then President of the United States, Bill Clinton
After the normalization of Sino-US relations, the United States promised China to cut off ties with Taiwan, but now it frequently goes back on its promise. What is even more egregious is the "separatist" behavior of Taiwan's leaders, which has China's bottom line has been touched!
You must know that China has always been a "good-tempered" country. It helps the "weak", is kind to others, and repays evil with kindness. However, some countries and regions regard China's forbearance and tolerance as a kind of "weakness."
They are trying to take advantage of this weakness to bring this country down. But they forgot: China is the only country among the four ancient civilizations that has not been destroyed and completely colonized!
Lin Zexu destroyed opium in Humen, Li Hongzhang "learned from the barbarians and learned skills to control the barbarians", to the Revolution of 1911, the War of Resistance Against Japan, Resisting U.S. Aggression and Aid Korea and the Vietnam War, the patriotic determination of the Chinese people has never wavered!
China has a good temper, but it is not without a bottom line! The Taiwan leader's visit to the United States, deliberately provoking and undermining China's sovereignty, has touched China's bottom line!
Therefore, the Chinese government did not hesitate and immediately mobilized troops to gather in the South China Sea! Comparison of
equipment, which one is stronger and which one is weaker?
Although this crisis did not really start in the end, if the war did break out, what chance would mainland China have of winning at that time? Let us take a look at the comparison of strength between China and Taiwan at that time!
As mentioned in the previous article, in 1992, the United States and France sold a large number of third-generation fighters to Taiwan. But fortunately, when the Taiwan Strait crisis broke out, these two fighters had not yet been delivered.
Therefore, the backbone of the Taiwan Air Force at that time was only a large number of F-5Es and more than 40 "Ching-Kuo" fighters.
Looking at the mainland, most of the fighters are still second-generation fighters J-7. There are only a small number of J-8 and 24 simplified versions of SU-27SK. When
faced Taiwan's air force, such a configuration did not have an advantage in combat power, and was even outnumbered by Taiwan. But air combat is only part of the story. The most important thing about the crisis in the Taiwan Strait is the navy's equipment.
The most advanced third-generation aircraft in the hands of the Taiwan military at that time was the IDF Jingguo number
This is the truly fatal gap! At that time, the mainland navy had no real air defense capabilities at all. Not only was the performance of the missile lagging behind, but it was also at an absolute disadvantage in terms of quantity. Its anti-ship capabilities were still stuck in the Cold War period!
Taiwan's "Hsiung Feng" anti-ship missiles pose a great threat to the mainland navy! Even the Marine Corps, which China is most proud of, is unable to function because it is difficult to carry out amphibious operations.
Of course, if the mainland really devotes all its national power, Taiwan's power alone will still be difficult to resist the mainland's People's Liberation Army. But in this way, both the army and the people will be traumatized like never before!
The reason why China adheres to the "one country, two systems" approach is that it hopes to usher in peace and return. The mainland does not want to see civil war happen in its own country again, and it does not want to see so many lives lost due to war.
The nuclear-powered aircraft carrier USS Nimitz and the USS Independence appeared in the Taiwan Strait, acting as a de facto military deterrent to our military.
Not to mention that behind the cross-strait confrontation, there is also the US Deterrence and intervention!
During the Taiwan Strait crisis in 1996, the United States mobilized two entire aircraft carrier battle groups to the Taiwan Strait . This is almost a catastrophic disaster for the Chinese Navy!
air force, navy, electronic warfare , information warfare.Just one US aircraft carrier battle group can almost defeat the Chinese navy!
This is by no means alarmist. Faced with various difficulties such as backward equipment, backward technology, and backward experience, the military even needs "land artillery on board" to make up for its lack of firepower!
As a stopgap measure, the land gun ship-mounted experimental project concluded that the accuracy of the artillery could not meet the needs of fire support from the other side.
After the war entered modernization, the crushing military strength made it difficult for weak countries to resist and stand up from the suppression. .
This is one of the reasons why China has been committed to modernizing its military equipment. From the advent of the J-10 to the gradual launch of domestic aircraft carriers, the purpose is to make the strength of the Chinese army strong enough. The purpose of
is to let all countries see that China is no longer what it used to be. In the face of its current strength, no country can bully China at will!
At that time, almost every soldier was prepared to die on the battlefield, and many soldiers even left suicide notes for their families.
html How dangerous is the "Taiwan Strait Crisis" in 2096? Yan Cairen recalled: All the guns were loaded, and they did not dare to take off their body armor.
The Chinese army held a large number of military exercises in the Fujian area. On the one hand, it was to show its strength to Taiwan and the United States, and on the other hand, it was to prepare for a possible war. Prepare!
China’s military has always been a force that performs miracles. To defeat the strong with the weak and to be brave and fearless of death are also valuable qualities of Chinese soldiers.
So why didn’t this war start? This brings us to another point: the interest relationship between China and the United States.
Let me reiterate one point again: Taiwan is a pawn used by the United States to blackmail China! In terms of value, China is more important to the United States!
At that time, the Chinese Air Force was only equipped with a small number of Su-27SK fighter jets and was unable to fight against the US aircraft carrier air wing.
Since the reform and opening up, China's economic development has grown significantly. In diplomacy, the benefits China has given the United States are also huge.
Especially after the establishment of China's special economic zones, the capital and technology exchanges brought about by the rapid development of China's special economic zones are something that the United States cannot let go of.
Although the United States is unwilling to let China develop, this interest is both "smell-smelling and smelly" in the "mouth" of the United States. They can't throw away this piece of "fat".
Therefore, if the relationship between the United States and China completely breaks down, or if the war between mainland China and Taiwan breaks out completely, it will be a huge loss for the United States!
Our military frequently holds amphibious landing exercises in the southeastern coastal areas. There are rumors that the "Joint 96" military exercise in 1996 was intended to take the opportunity to conquer some of Taiwan's outer islands.
The United States can naturally make war profits on Taiwan, but it will Completely losing China as a “trade partner”. National leaders are naturally very cautious in their judgment. Compared with war, the United States hopes to stand still and make money!
Therefore, just when cross-strait relations were in a turmoil, the US aircraft carrier fleet suddenly withdrew. And their reasons and excuses are also very clever.
According to the official statement, the withdrawal of US troops is to avoid conflicts between China and the United States and maintain stability in the Taiwan Strait.
However, more opinions believe that it was more because China's two nuclear submarines suddenly disappeared at that time. Then in less than two hours, the American sonar device captured traces of passing by.
Therefore, the United States misjudged that China might use nuclear deterrence against the United States and withdrew its troops, but forgot that Premier Zhou had publicly stated that China would never be the first to use nuclear weapons .
The withdrawal of U.S. troops made the people in charge of Taiwan extremely passive at the time. He provoked the dispute with the support of the United States. However, the United States came to the house and pulled out the ladder at the critical moment, preventing the person in charge of Taiwan from stepping down.
Fortunately, at this time, a military-level cadre named Liu Liankun betrayed the inside story of the exercise, which made the central government realize that there were spies within the Chinese military.
The Chinese military suspended military drills, bringing the dispute between mainland China and Taiwan to an end. In 1999, Liu Liankun, who had betrayed China's secrets, was sentenced to death and was officially executed in August.
Today is not what it used to be, and offensive and defensive positions have changed.
Times have changed. Under the leaders of both sides of the strait and the system of one country, two systems, the mainland and Taiwan have embarked on completely different development paths.
On September 25, 2012, China's first aircraft carrier Liaoning ship was officially delivered. In December 2019 and June 17, 2022, the Shandong ship and the Fujian ship were also successively delivered.
From 1996 to 2022, it took the mainland just 26 years to completely crush Taiwan in military equipment.
South China Sea Exercise Scope
On June 18, 2021, the commissioning of the J-20 also marked that the level of China's fighter aircraft has reached an unprecedented new height.
"For the sake of sacrifice, I dare to teach the sun and the moon to change the sky!" Over the past 100 years, the Chinese Communist Party has used its fearless spirit to write the most magnificent epic feat in thousands of years!
From the fall of mountains and rivers to the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation. China, from a small and weak country under the oppression of foreign powers, has step by step reached the glorious and magnificent stage it is today!
If with today's military strength, it is brought into the conflict in the Taiwan Strait, then China will crush and suppress Taiwan!
However, what we cannot ignore is that the current situation is still undercurrent. Countries led by the United States are still eyeing China.
They were unwilling to give up China as a trade partner, and they did not want to watch China become stronger and stronger, so various diplomatic games began to unfold around China.
This is a war in a new era and a new test for China! From economic sanctions to Alibaba was included in the pre-delisting list, and foreign countries have become increasingly strict in blocking China.
And Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan, which has caused quite a stir in recent days, has sounded the alarm for everyone! The United States has never let down its guard against China, and it has never let go of the Taiwan issue.
The Type 092 strategic missile nuclear submarine is rumored to have cooled down the situation in the Taiwan Strait.
This attempt to sow cross-strait relations seems to be recreating the 1996 Taiwan Strait crisis. It's just that now that the offensive and defensive positions have changed, China is no longer the backward country it was before!
It is the Chinese government’s absolute attitude to safeguard sovereignty. Any attempt to split is an absolute provocation to China!
This time's South China Sea exercise is a serious warning to the United States and Taiwan to put away their petty thoughts.
On the afternoon of July 28, 2022, , at a regular press conference held by the Ministry of National Defense, Ministry of National Defense spokesperson Wu Qian also said: "Taiwan is China's Taiwan, and the United States will never be allowed to interfere!"
And that day During the phone call between the leaders of China and the United States, President Xi even warned that "people's will cannot be violated, and if you play with fire, you will burn yourself." This has always been China's attitude, and it is also China's absolute bottom line.
China's reunification is the trend of history, public opinion and the times. One day, China will truly achieve true reunification!
