Uncle Mu’s international commentary analyzes the situation of the Russia-Ukraine war.
On July 11, the British media published an interview with Ukrainian Defense Minister Reznikov. In the article, this close comrade of Ukrainian President Zelensky publicly stated that in accordance with Zelensky’s order, The top leaders of the Ukrainian army are formulating a counterattack plan. The first goal is to regain the territory in southern Ukraine occupied by Russia.
According to the defense minister, Ukraine is assembling an army of hundreds of thousands or even millions of people, most of whom will be equipped with Western weapons, and many of them have participated in similar training. Therefore, he called on Western countries to continue to provide military and weapons support to Ukraine. In order to achieve this goal, Western assistance is essential.
Reznikov said he was writing to the defense ministers of the United Kingdom, the United States and other friendly countries to discuss further arms support for Ukraine.
He also stressed that he was satisfied with the support Ukraine received from NATO partners, but said it needed to "save the lives of our soldiers faster and faster."
Uncle Mu noticed that this is not groundless. There are at least two signs to prove it:
1) When Zelensky inspected the front line not long ago, he also mentioned that the Ukrainian army was about to counterattack.
2) Ukrainian Deputy Prime Minister Veleshuk has also frequently stated to the outside world in the past few days that Ukrainian people should evacuate as soon as possible from the Russian-occupied Kherson and other southern cities because the Ukrainian army is preparing to launch a counterattack in the southern region.
The Russo-Ukrainian war has been going on for almost 150 days. Overall, although Russia has failed to achieve the goal of quickly occupying most of Ukraine and ousting Zelensky from power, it has achieved success in southern and eastern Ukraine. Advantages, occupying a lot of land and population.
At present, it is basically impossible to see that Ukraine has the ability to implement a large-scale counterattack, so Uncle Mu believes that the counterattack mentioned by Ukraine may be a "half-truth and half-false" propaganda war technique.
talks from the following two points:
said it is false - it means that Ukraine will use this statement to disintegrate Russia's military morale, or disrupt Russia's frontline deployment, adding more pressure to the already exhausted Russian army. and tension, which in turn will help the Ukrainian army advance the war.
At the same time, this statement will also give greater confidence to the Ukrainian people and even the West, which will help gain more external support.
said it is true - referring to the fact that the strength of the Ukrainian army has indeed increased. The reason is that Western high-precision weapons have been continuously shipped in and have played an obvious role in the past week, especially in the attack on the Russian army. Logistics deployment has a great suppressive effect.
For example, the Haimas artillery provided by the United States is very mobile and can deeply destroy Russian ammunition depots dozens of kilometers away from the front lines of the two armies. More than a dozen Russian ammunition depots have been destroyed in the Udong region and Kherson and other places in the past week.
It is difficult for the Russian army to aim at the Himax, and there is no way to use the anti-missile system to intercept the artillery it launches. It can only set the ammunition depot outside the range of the Himax, but some ammunition depots are 100 meters away from the front line. Kilometers away, this greatly affected logistics, and even had to transport supplies to the front line from outside the Ural Mountains. This will greatly delay Russia's frontline firepower and reduce its firing capability by more than 50%, which will naturally have a huge impact on the battlefield situation.
But If the Ukrainians really want to regain their lost ground, artillery alone will not work. tanks and other combat vehicles are indispensable. Therefore, the key to observing whether the Ukrainian army can regain the occupied territories in the future depends on when the Ukrainian army's tank battle will occur in the future.
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