What is the most popular mini game recently?
The answer is obvious: a sheep is a sheep.
Everyone knows that they can't win, but they always order a few plates after dinner.
This game is also nicknamed "National Stubborn Donkey Selection Competition" by netizens.
This is actually a fun probability game, which is very similar to Pin Xixi's "cutting a knife".
. The difference is that Pinxixi can really cut a knife with deep interpersonal relationships, and the chance of passing a sheep is even less than winning the lottery. Winning the lottery is a real money at least, so what's the use of passing this thing?
Let's calculate it briefly -
Known conditions: There are 15 suits and colors of
cards. According to a certain barrage network speed link video, there are 168 cards in total, of which there are 142 cards in the main card area, and there are 13 auxiliary cards in the two piles of auxiliary cards below, and 19 layers are stacked (hell is only 18 layers, be a personal one), and the last 6 layers are pressed together, and the arrangement is completely true random.
Friends who are good at math and are interested can calculate it themselves (the liberal arts student covers his face and escapes).
After successfully passing the second level, the game will display the number of people passing the current area, which is less than 0.1%.
But there is another rule for probability learning , that is, in the 1,000 times you try, the probability of success is 0.1%.
The first level is simply 1+1+1=3, and the second level directly allows you to take the postgraduate entrance examination in double non- across schools and majors.
cannot be lost in the first level, and cannot be passed in the second level.
But this is how human nature is. You said I can't do it, and I know I can't do it, but I just want to prove it to you: your father is the chosen son of God, and he can do whatever he wants.
When you have to compete, the real purpose of this game is achieved - "advertising player".
is also very similar to those who are brainwashed by the so-called " success learning ". They always believe that "there is not enough talent, work hard to get it together" and "regardless of the right direction or not, the king of the book is diligent to live the diligence of the book."
The police are all here to remind you to be alert to the scam. Why don’t you believe this?
"Success Science" has such a chicken soup: If the success rate of a thing is 1%, try it repeatedly 100 times, what is the probability of success at least 1 time?
If the success rate is 1%, the single failure rate is 99%. If you try it repeatedly for 100 times, the failure rate is 99% to the power of 100, which is about 37%. The probability of success should be 100% minus 37%, that is, 63%.
Then you can draw a particularly "burning" conclusion:
If you try something repeatedly, its success rate will miraculously rise from 1% to an incredible 63%.
This chicken soup is often used to motivate entrepreneurs. The so-called winner's secret is to insist on acting according to the probability of advantage.
But you have played "a sheep", you must be wary of the "probability trap".
This chicken soup has a major premise, that is: choose the right direction.
When the winning rate is not superior, never bet repeatedly. If you have to be that "stubborn donkey", then according to the law of big numbers, you will definitely lose so much that you don't even have shorts left.
, especially the current economic downturn, many people in their 35+ or 40+ cannot find suitable jobs after they are unemployed, and they just want to not start a business. It is better to do it for yourself than to do it for others.
Start a business or stay alive, this is a good question.
The process and results of entrepreneurship are also completely random. Life is the same.
Life is originally composed of failures of all sizes, and success is the rare sweet fruit.
If you use money as bargaining chips, you must follow the principle of probability of money. Money is not omnipotent, especially when there is not enough money. You can't make the time long enough, get enough trial and error times, and burst the probability until you can succeed.
Of course, you can also have other chips and place bets in another way, that is: sell your "probability right", sell your destiny, be willing to be a "working dog", use your brain, endure hardships, and work hard.
Louis Koo said in " Baby Plan ": "Recently I have experienced a philosophy of life, which is to exchange finite for infinity, the girls in the world are infinite, and a person's energy is limited, and finite to infinite, and if you lose, I think of a way to not exchange finite energy for infinity, but to concentrate on a rich girl. In short, to be developed, a way - to eat soft food!"
Your wisdom, energy, time, and money are all limited costs, and the success rate of entrepreneurship is minimal, and with limited trial and error, there is a high probability of failure.
Confucius also said: "My life is boundless, but knowledge is boundless. With boundlessness, it is almost gone."
So, did I know it was a failure, so I simply let it go?
We cannot guarantee the final result of many things in advance. But the probability of this result happening is something we can increase by hard work. Even if you don’t know how to calculate, you can understand the truth.
I just hope you can understand: making money is very, very difficult.
You have to be a Stoic. Be calm and have few desires, follow the trend, be rational and resilient. Don't just go all in, just go through your brain. We have nothing and we lose nothing.
Finally, I would like to recommend a book to you: "Knowing in the Heart: Mathematical Thinking in Life", the author is Associate Professor, PhD Supervisor, and a widely popular teacher Liu Xuefeng from Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics. Teacher Xuefeng used vivid and interesting life cases to show everyone rigorous science and engineering thinking and mathematical thinking. Although liberal arts students are not aware of their sensibility, they can read with relish. More importantly, believe in science and stay away from everything that makes your efforts unrewarded. I have lived for most of my life and paid less IQ tax.
