Latest news, today is October 14th, A shares will soon open . Last night, four important news came from the securities market, which caused heated market discussions and may have a significant impact on related sectors. What happened? This article gives you a clear interpretation of the views. After reading it, friends who agree with it will follow, like and comment, and the system will push the latest article to you as soon as possible next time.
News 1. TSMC has obtained a one-year license from the United States for production in the Nanjing factory.
Interpretation: This news looks weird. The United States has not blocked us, so why has it relaxed the restrictions? From the perspective of industrial logic, restricts us is essentially different from restricting Japan. Japan only has exports and no domestic demand, and we have a strong consumer market . If the United States restricts us, it will lose one-third of its sales, which will also be a huge harm to the United States and its allies. Therefore, the United States will relax restrictions on TSMC, Hynix , Samsung and other in China. To put it bluntly, it is a double standard, which only limits the development of Chinese companies. However, this practice is too obvious, so we are also changing. Domestic substitution is a path without choice, and we have strong domestic demand as support. The United States' trick will only delay our development and there is no way to limit it at all. . The recent decline due to this negative may be a gold pit for many companies.
Message 2, National Bureau of Disease Control and Prevention : "Silence" cannot be used instead of control, and schools and catering outside the risk area should be resolutely avoid "just shut down".
Interpretation: The global epidemic is still at a high level, and recently there have been signs of rising epidemics in various places. The epidemic has the characteristics of "many points, wide areas, and frequent occurrence", which has put a lot of pressure on epidemic prevention and control . Compared with foreign epidemic prevention and control measures, China's " dynamic zero " policy demonstrates our country's strong governance capabilities. The repeated epidemic has had a huge impact on the economy, and the catering and tourism industries are the first to be affected. Like the tourist attractions that were crowded in the past, there are very few people now. Relying on catering, hotels, shops, etc. with tourist attractions, a wave of transfer has been set off. The silent control of one-size-fits-all model has a great impact on the economy. Senior officials emphasize accelerating precise liquidity surveys. is a good thing for consumption recovery, minimizing the impact of the epidemic on the economy to the extent possible, and boosting the recovery of market sentiment .
Message 3, JPMorgan Dimon: Many markets have scarce liquidity, and it is predicted that the crisis will occur.
Interpretation: Many markets are now in liquidity crises, and the biggest reason is the increase in safe-haven funds. The US Treasury bond yield hit a new high in ten years, and even exceeded its highest in 2018, which means that many funds have begun to hedge at present. The US dollar continues to strengthen, and continues to raise interest rates in and policies, and the US dollar reaps global financial markets. Against this background, many funds automatically lower their expectations in the financial market and market liquidity will inevitably decline. If the rate hike of the Federal Reserve cannot be slowed down and geopolitical conflicts cannot be resolved, the risks in the financial market will intensify. These so-called risks are created by Western countries. No matter what, it is definitely correct to lower expectations. Black swan events are frequently occurring, which is undoubtedly the culprit that has shaken the financial market .
News 4. Nearly 90 billion revenue cannot be exchanged for a "peace of mind". Moutai's stock price fell below 1,700 yuan. Is the liquor industry expected to recover in the fourth quarter?
Interpretation: Moutai has fallen six times. This wave of adjustment has attracted the attention of all value investors. Liquor has always been the core of large consumption. If it cannot stabilize, it will greatly affect the performance of the index. In the previous index adjustment stage, many investors expected that when will the wine experience a sharp drop in and , and when will the index bottom out.Does the continuous adjustment of liquor prices at this stage indicate that the index has bottomed out? At present, some wine companies have released their third-quarter performance forecasts in advance. Judging from performance analysis, most wine companies have a positive performance. With the gradual disclosure of the third-quarter reports, the stabilization of the wine sector is approaching soon. With the arrival of the fourth quarter liquor Spring Festival stockpiling season, the decline in the sector will be alleviated. After waiting for stabilization, the sector performance is still worth looking forward to .
Next, let’s talk about the market strategy:
Now many people are discussing . Whether the market stops falling and stabilizes, and whether 3000 points is the bottom. However, in the eyes of straight men, discussing these things is not very meaningful, because some stocks have not adjusted with the adjustment of the market, and have hit new highs since April, while some stocks are weaker than the market and have fallen below the low point in April. At this stage, the sector trends have undergone serious differentiation. The strategy we adopt is to give up the weak sectors and focus on the direction that can make money. , such as domestic substitution, agricultural breeding, food processing, oil and natural gas, etc. These sectors are obviously stronger than the market, so we will follow the trend to .
The most important thing in the early stage of the rebound is position . As the rebound gradually removes the weak and remains strong. This is a point we talked about yesterday. Therefore, in the following trading process, we should pay attention to what sectors are strengthening and which sectors are weakening. should follow the direction of resonance with the index on the day. This is the focus of the next trading stage . You should know that even if you return to April, there are only three or four directions that have a real money-making effect. Therefore, if you are in a group, the local market is still the main theme.
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