(Focus on actual combat, prediction in advance. Personal opinions, for reference only.)
Happy New Year
1. Index review
2. Practical guidance
★★★ The Shanghai Stock Exchange daily line is below the level. This week, the shock rebounded, and the highest point on Friday happened to reach the technical pressure line of this level. The falling trend is unfavorable to the trend of this level. The 60-minute level still has the momentum to go higher, with the pressure at 3126 points, and the 80-minute level pressure at 3110 and 3133 points. If it can move upward early next week, it can be further optimistic. At the 120-minute level, the highest point is exactly at the pressure level converted by the level. It is touched twice and is slightly deliberate, which can be regarded as neutral and bullish. As mentioned in the past few weeks, "Since the strength of the wave from the low of 11.28 to the high of 12.7 is pretty good, there is a high probability that there will be a new high of after ." This view will be retained for the time being. integrates all levels of the small cycle. There will be a small pressure at the beginning of next week, and then it needs to be judged in conjunction with larger levels.
★★★★After the daily level rebounded this week, went sideways , Shanghai Composite Index regained its 60-day moving average, which is beneficial to the market outlook. From the perspective of the moving average system, the index will face slight pressure on the first trading day next week, and will slightly increase in the following days. Last week, several indexes, such as science and technology innovation, entrepreneurship, Shenzhen Stock Exchange, and All-Share Index, etc., hit lows of nine on Thursday and Friday. By this week, they have expired and there is no need to consider them again. The pressure level of is near 3127 points. If it reaches this position next week and the strength weakens, you can consider reducing your position appropriately.
★★★★★ weekly level, this week closed the small positive line, compared with last week's decline, the strength is limited, can only be regarded as a neutral trend. As mentioned last week, there will be a certain level of moving average resonance in the next second week (next week). The resonance of and has the meaning of bottom or top in my analysis system. The particularity of this time is that this resonance point can be regarded as the coincidence point of long and short. That is, if it fell before, it would be good, and if it rose before, it would be bad. It was also mentioned before that "the Shanghai Composite has the support of MACD's bottom deviating from and the counter-strength of the moving average system, and there is little risk of breaking 2900 in a big cycle." This view is still valid. The medium and long-term trend of is still bullish, but it faces greater uncertainty in the short and medium term. If it cannot move upward in the near future, it does not rule out the possibility of returning to the April low.
★★★★★In actual terms, the position this week is 9%, and can be reduced to 70% if it is unable to rise next week.
3. Long and short sectors
This week’s sector hotspots, positions increased in three days, slightly.
heat map, omitted.
4. Analysis of Shanghai Stock Exchange
Strategy.
(Focus on actual combat, prediction in advance. Personal opinions, for reference only.)
