Quotation:
"Once upon a time, whoever controls oil controls the world; in the future, whoever controls natural gas controls the world." This is especially true in in this year of great competition in 2022.
Today, Electric Power and Energy will check the natural gas production and rankings of various countries in the latest statistics, and make a brief analysis to see the specific rankings of my country and its influencing factors. You should know that in today's world, whoever has higher resource reserves and output will have more choices and bargaining chips!
1. Current latest statistics
The 2021 natural gas production statistics released in 2022 this year are still the latest data. The table below shows the 17 countries with the largest natural gas production in the world in 2021, and the imbalance is quite obvious.
According to this latest statistics, we can see that the production of these top 17 countries:
- The United States' natural gas production is the world's first, accounting for about 23.1%; Russia is the second, accounting for about 17.4%, so Russia and the United States alone account for about 40% of the world's natural gas production .
- China ranked fourth, accounting for about 5.2%; plus the third place Iran accounts for about 6.4% and fifth place Qatar accounts for about 4.4%, so the total output of the top 5 gas producers is 56.5%, exceeding half of the global output, , that is, the top 5, exceeding 50% of the global output;
- , the total output of the top 10 natural gas producers accounts for about 72.6% of the global total output; while the top 17 places add up to about 83.4% of the global total output, that is, 80% of the global natural gas production, currently concentrated in the hands of more than ten countries, becoming another real case of the typical "two-eight principle" .
2. China's natural gas production is the latest ranking in the world
From the above statistics and the pie chart below, we can see that China's annual gas production ranks fourth in the world, among which China and Iran have little gap in production capacity, but it is far from the United States and Russia (about 3 to 4 times the relationship);
Look at the trend chart below again. It can be seen that nearly 70 years since the founding of New China, my country's annual natural gas production has generally shown a trend of rising and rising, and this trend still has a lot of room for growth. I believe that my country's natural gas production ranking will likely rise further in the future and will easily surpass Iran. However, it is difficult to predict whether it is possible and when it can surpass the United States or Russia. After all, the two are more advanced than China in developing natural gas and have richer reserves.
Last year, China's annual natural gas production was 209 cubic kilometers, while in 2021, the proven reserves of were released 6654 cubic kilometers, and it is expected to be mined for 37 years. This number of mining years is not actually the larger the better, it seems to be more beneficial to be in a reasonable range.
So, what is China's annual output level and the remaining exploitable years in the world? What about other countries? We will further analyze it below.
3. Comparison of output and reserves, what level is my country at?
"Looking horizontally, it is a ridge and a side that is a peak, with different distances and heights." From the ranking alone, China's natural gas exploitation volume is currently the fourth in the world and is expected to become the third in the world soon, which is definitely a good thing;
If we combine it with my country's natural gas reserves, the remaining number of natural gas can be mined in our country, and its ranking and position among the top 17 gas-producing countries, are as follows.
From the above comparison of the relationship between annual output and total reserves and zoning research, we can see that:
- Currently, my country's natural gas development output intensity is in the top 5 levels, and the remaining exploitable years are at the medium level, ranking about 10th among the top 17 gas-producing countries. At present, it is better than the United States and not as good as Russia, and is similar to Uzbekistan ;
- Some countries, such as Iran, Qatar, Turkmenistan, Saudi Arabia, Nigeria, etc., have more than 100 years of natural gas exploitation years, but these countries are basically not very good in their overall economic and development conditions, and there is still a lot of room for improvement. It seems that only reserves and development process are relatively lagging. It is better to be able to develop and utilize within a reasonable period of time. Simply put, it is possible to monetize in a timely manner.
- Some countries with low reserves or low output and are not among the top ones, if some of them are major gas users, they should also attract special attention. This article is not listed yet.
Overall, my country's natural gas development and utilization level and progress are currently in a medium-level and rapid development period, but from a long-term perspective and historical development level, the utilization of natural gas is also phased and will be exhausted one day. Sustainable new energy development will eventually shoulder the banner of destiny in the long-term technological evolution track.
4. Analysis of the main factors affecting my country's natural gas production
Objectively speaking, the factors affecting my country's natural gas production should be multifaceted. Among them, there are both macro and meso-level; both technical and market levels. Therefore, in a sense, the feedback information of indicators such as annual output needs to be deeply explored and detailedly identified.
From the analysis level, Electric Power Energy Jun sorted out some important factors that affect the annual output of natural gas development. It can be used as basic reference information for understanding the energy field, and can also be used as an effective reference in such data analysis.
. First of all, exploration technology and actual reserves determine that our country has a large amount of oil available. If the amount of is too small, we will not be able to produce natural gas at all; the aforementioned basic reserve data of my country's natural gas and the natural gas reserves in my country have shown a steady growth trend in recent years. For example, the data shows that China's remaining technical recoverable reserves in 2020 were 6.3 trillion cubic meters, 6.5 trillion cubic meters in 2021, and the forecast of the remaining technical recoverable reserves in 2022 is 6.7 trillion cubic meters, etc., have provided strong guarantees in terms of volume. In this regard, we are not currently or in the short term, which is showing vitality like the "growth period".
. Secondly, the technical level and application demand of natural gas are necessary factors that affect the mining efficiency and output. In terms of the development technology level, my country should be said to have introduced advanced technologies and accumulated rich experience in the past, but there is still a lot of room for improvement compared to the hero of the United States; and over the past decade, my country's natural gas industry and natural gas infrastructure construction have made outstanding developments, the demand for natural gas consumption and utilization has increased greatly and the scope of application has been expanded many times, ensuring the strong demand in the natural gas market. In general, with the support of technological progress and infrastructure facilities over the past 20 years, China's oil and gas industry has comprehensively improved its scale and strength, and has entered a new stage of development, and the oil and gas market economic system has been built. With the rapid development of China's economy, China's demand for natural gas is still increasing, and my country's development level and supply capacity need to be further improved, which is an important guarantee for meeting new severe challenges.
. At the same time, the general environmental factors of policy and policy are important regulatory factors that lead or inhibit the development and utilization of natural gas. In the past, my country has given different regulatory and guiding policies during the development and application of natural gas in different periods.
For example, the " Natural Gas Utilization Policy " was issued in 2007. At that time, the supply and demand of my country's natural gas market was very tight, and "tight gas" or "gas shortage" occurred frequently across the country. The main purpose of the policy was to "curb unreasonable demand and alleviate the contradiction between natural gas supply and demand";
In 2012, the National Development and Reform Commission issued a new "Natural Gas Utilization Policy", which made major adjustments, modifications and redefines in basic principles and policy goals, natural gas utilization areas and orders, guarantee measures, etc. It was proposed under the background of phased progress in natural gas infrastructure at that time and the market needed low-cost and high-efficiency energy forms. The main purpose was to curb natural gas chemical projects and at the same time improve natural gas. The utilization volume, expand the scope of natural gas utilization, reduce emissions and carbon reduction, and clarify that the National Energy Administration is the main department for natural gas utilization management; National Energy Administration has proposed in the "Guiding Opinions on Energy Work in 2021" that it is necessary to "promote oil and gas storage and production increase, ensure that the investment in exploration and development remains unabated, and strengthen the basic geological survey and exploration of oil and gas in key basins and sea areas." With the superposition of current national policies, the scale of exploration and development investment in China's oil and gas industry will be further improved, which will encourage various oil and gas production enterprises in China to increase China's oil and gas exploration and development efforts, promote the construction of capacity projects, and strive to break through key technologies for oil and gas exploration and development, and at the same time increase the development of unconventional oil and gas resources. Therefore, China's natural gas production is expected to continue to grow.
. In addition, the development and application of natural gas and the actual output value will also be affected by other relevant or interfering factors. such as breakthroughs in new technologies and progress in engineering management levels, major discoveries in unconventional oil and gas exploration, major strategic transformations or huge investment reductions in oil and gas enterprises, the impact of the new crown epidemic, as well as variables in my country's imported natural gas trade situation, political conflicts or local wars, etc., will also have certain stimulation or impact on our internal natural gas production. These multi-dimensional secondary factors will inevitably bring certain local or volatility impacts.
This article author quoted some basic materials from the Internet during this data sorting and analysis. If there is any inappropriateness, please point it out.
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