"Golden Nine" becomes "Yin Nine". Can "Silver Oct" become "Yin Ten", some clues may be found from the broker's October gold stock list.
consumer 3 leader is favored by many institutions, and "Ningwang" has once again received attention from 4 institutions
. The list of securities companies' gold stocks in October has been released one after another. As of October 3, 24 brokerages have recommended 298 gold stocks. Judging from the nearly 300 gold stocks recommended by securities companies, the industry is distributed in dispersion, and there are many stocks such as consumption, energy, photovoltaics, , etc.; from the perspective of style, both value and growth have performed, but stocks with higher recommendation frequency are concentrated in the consumer industry.
From the perspective of the gold stocks recommended by securities companies, the cosmetics leader Perchoa is the most optimistic. The stock has been unanimously optimistic from 46 securities companies including CITIC Construction Investment , Galaxy Securities , Guangdong Securities, Zhejiang Securities , Guosen Securities , and Caitong Securities . The logic of Guosen Securities' recommendation is that the company continues to promote the strategy of large single products, actively acquire high-quality upstream core raw material resources, empower brand upgrades, and flexibly adjust channel structure to seize incremental opportunities through refined investment and diversified layout. At the same time, coupled with the comeback of the superstar anchor, the company's Double Eleven layout has also made the company's Double Eleven layout more calm.
The other two consumer leaders are liquor, and the high-end liquor Moutai and the sub-high-end Shanxi Fenjiu both received recommendations from 4 brokerages.
high-end liquor "Mao Wang" was obtained, and Dongxing Securities , Galaxy Securities, China Merchants Securities , and Industrial Securities . China Merchants Securities' recommendation reason stated that channel research feedback shows that in the event of a scattered epidemic in many places in Q3, the company's operating rhythm is still progressing smoothly. Before the peak season of the 11th, the company's delivery rhythm has slightly accelerated. In addition, i Moutai has contributed a steady increase in contribution, the growth in the third quarter is still worth looking forward to. It is expected that the company's annual revenue growth target of 15% is likely to exceed it, and profits are expected to show greater flexibility.
high-end Shanxi Fenjiu received unanimous recommendations from four brokers, including Shanxi Securities , Kaiyuan Securities , Debang Securities , and CICC Construction Investment. Debang Securities' recommendation reason stated that highlights such as the "three immersive sitcoms" of the Title Ceremony recreates the glory of Fenjiu in the past and highlights the charm of Fenjiu culture. Fenjiu's sales revenue in the first half of the year was 6.1 billion yuan, an increase of 56% year-on-year. We judge that the third quarter is expected to continue the trend in the first half of the year and continue to be optimistic about the high-end and nationalization process of Fenjiu.
CATL and Vanke A have also received recommendations from 4 brokerages.
It is worth noting that CATL began to adjust all the way after hitting a high of 574.35 since the rebound at the end of April on August 25, with a cumulative decline of nearly 28%. China Merchants Securities’ recommendation logic: In the short term, the company’s profit level will recover quickly as scheduled. In the long run, the company's global competitiveness is clearer and is currently in a stage of accelerated expansion, and the factors that restrict the company's development are being ruled out. On the demand side, electric vehicles/energy storage demand is strong, and more offline electric use scenarios are emerging, and the company's competitive advantage may maintain the company's scale to a considerable level.
As the real estate market adopts policies based on the city and the gradual positive impact of the guaranteed housing, the confidence of the real estate market has rebounded, and "Fangmao" Vanke A has also received recommendations from 4 securities firms.
In addition, Wanhua Chemical , Longi Green Energy, Juewei Food , Desai Xiwei , Kingsoft Office , and Mindray Medical all obtained 3 brokerages.
In addition, 25 stocks including Luzhou Laojiao , Midea Group , China Shipping, Haida Group , Satellite Chemistry, etc. were recommended by 2 brokerages.
From the perspective of style, among these 35 gold stocks recommended by more than two securities companies, large consumption accounts for 11, accounting for more than 30%; growth styles also account for more than 30%.
A shares 10 will come to great prosperity?
"Silver October" has arrived. For the continuous decline of A-shares in September, the market has obviously lacked confidence in the October market.However, looking at the performance of the five trading days before and after the National Day in the past six years, the market's probability of 83% decline in the week before the holiday, and the probability of 67% rise in the five trading days after the holiday.
Judging from the October strategy of securities companies, many securities companies said that the bottom characteristics of the market are gradually emerging. The current market average daily turnover, dynamic valuation, stock and bond yield difference and fund issuance scale have approached historical lows. As the loose currency is transmitted to loose credit and the domestic economic recovery, the market is expected to gradually usher in a recovery trend.
Shanxi Securities stated in its October strategy research report that the current transaction volume (5-day average) in the A-share market continues to shrink to around 650 billion yuan, ranking at the historical bottom. Previously, most high-prosperity industries have also adjusted to low valuation and low congestion ranges. October may be the better observation period and allocation period. On the main line, the growth that is expected to continue with high prosperity in the context of trend development, the boost of strong seasonal factors, the value of the third quarter report is better, and the value of the cost-effectiveness is better.
Zhongtai Securities also stated that there may still be complex geographical factors catalysis and endogenous major policy framework expectations that need to be corrected, which belongs to the "warm winter market" layout period. It is advisable to plan on lows in response to the idea, and adopt an industry configuration that controls positions and has both offense and defense. In the entire fourth quarter, as the economic stabilization policy may increase, and the framework is more proactive than the third quarter, we remain optimistic about the subsequent "warm winter market" in the fourth quarter, focusing on: electricity, domestic substitution, securities and other directions.
Ping An Securities also believes that the adjustment of the A-share market is coming to an end, and trading sentiment is expected to stabilize and recover. Since September, global risks have been released relatively sufficiently, and there is limited room for further interpretation of short-term uncertainty. In the future, as the positive signals of certainty increase, market expectations will become clear. Structurally, it is recommended to pay attention to two main lines: one is the sector where the policy direction is expected to gradually become clear; the other is the growth manufacturing sector with high prosperity and certain profits in the third quarter report.
Therefore, whether from the historical laws or the current position of A-shares, the probability of A-shares coming to good fortune in October is extremely high, and we will seize the current best configuration window.
