Focus on the daily news of the A-share market and point out the investment direction for 200 million retail investors! Before reading the main text, you must know one thing: few main funds will be so stupid that they will push the stock price straight to the daily limit as soon as the positive news is released. So please be patient and let the positive news fly for a while. Maybe you will find different investment opportunities!
[Macro/Economic/Big Market Trend]
Central Bank: Don’t bet on the unilateral appreciation or depreciation of the RMB exchange rate. If you bet for a long time, you will lose. Resolutely curb the big ups and downs of the exchange rate!
After the market yesterday, some media reported on the situation of the national foreign exchange market self-discipline mechanism video conference the day before yesterday. At the meeting, the central bank made it clear that member units of the self-discipline mechanism should consciously maintain the basic stability of the foreign exchange market and resolutely curb the ups and downs of exchange rates. Quotation banks should effectively maintain the authority of the RMB exchange rate mid-price. Relevant departments should strengthen supervision, management, monitoring and analysis, strengthen expectations management, and curb speculation.
At the same time, after the market yesterday, the UK also suddenly stated that it would launch a temporary plan to purchase long-term government bonds, starting today until October 14, it will purchase British long-term government bonds on "any necessary scale" to stabilize the plunging pound exchange rate and postpone the originally scheduled launch of the UK Treasury bonds.
Pursuant to these two news, European stocks opened sharply yesterday, but eventually turned red and closed strongly. The three major U.S. stock indexes rebounded strongly simultaneously. The US dollar index plunged. The depreciation of the RMB exchange rate has dropped significantly.
【Comments on good news about industry/sector/theme concepts】
Sharp news: Export orders are booming! The European energy crisis heats up the domestic heating industry chain!
Event: According to media reports, Cixi City, Zhejiang Province is one of my country's heater production bases, with exports accounting for 30% of the country, mainly based on European and American customers. Currently, among similar products in Cixi City, exports to Europe are the first. Related companies have been busy making orders this year to cope with the "subscription wave" of customers in Europe and other places.
Comment: The European energy crisis has reached an irreconcilable point. Even though many countries are seriously short of air, they have no intention of reaching an agreement with Russia, so that orders for related heating products soared this winter! It has also driven domestic electric heaters, baby heating, electric blankets and other related products. According to the national export commodity trade month-on-month index released by the General Administration of Customs, the export sales of electric heaters-related categories have reached the highest value! There is no doubt that this will drive the domestic related industrial chains to continue to improve!
Nature of the message: mid-line
Explosion intensity: ★★★★
Related companies: Superstar Technology (002444), Disen Shares (300335), Shuaifeng Electrical Appliances (605336), etc.
Sharp news 2: Industry standards are about to be released! The concentration of outdoor power supply will be significantly improved!
Event: The only outdoor power supply (PES) industry standard formulated by government departments in my country, "Technical Specifications for Portable Lithium-ion Battery Energy Storage Power Supply" has been submitted to relevant departments for review and will be released by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, and will further define the capacity, application scenarios and quality of outdoor power supply products.
Comment: Outdoor power supply is an important branch industry that exploded with the camping economy. In the five years from 2016 to last year, the annual compound growth rate reached 150%, which can be said to be a doubling trend every year, and the growth rate will still show no signs of slowing down in the future. But after years of retaliatory growth in the industry, the quality problems exposed have become increasingly obvious. At this time, relevant standards will be issued, which will play a very little role in standardizing the healthy development of the entire industry. It is good for leading companies in the industry!
Nature of the message: short-term
Explosion intensity: ★★★
Related companies: Huabao New Energy (301327), Anke Innovation (300866), etc.
Sharp news three: Yunnan yellow phosphorus enterprises have completely reduced production suspension! Prices will soar sharply after the holiday!
Event: According to media reports, the "Energy Efficiency Management Plan for Energy Consumption Industry from September 2022 to May 2023" formulated by relevant departments in Yunnan Province shows that since the recent days, yellow phosphorus enterprises in Yunnan Province have completely reduced production and stopped production. As of September 28, Yunnan's daily yellow phosphorus production was 805 tons, a decrease of about 580 tons from mid-September, a decrease of 41.87%.
Comment: Yellow phosphorus is a high-energy consumption industry and is often reduced and stopped production when energy is tight. At the same time, the downstream of phosphorus chemical industry is the two major industries of fertilizers and new energy vehicles. Among them, new energy vehicles are a high-prosperity industry. Against the backdrop of steady increase in demand and sharp decline in supply, the price of yellow phosphorus will rise again. The latest data shows that the price of yellow phosphorus has been steadily rising in the past two days, and the price is expected to continue to rise after the holiday!
Nature of the message: mid-line
Explosion intensity: ★★★
Related companies: Yuntu Holdings (002539), Xingfa Group (600141), Tianyuan Co., Ltd. (002386), etc.
Far too much information: Bicycle sales doubled year-on-year, and the industrial chain is revitalized!
Event: According to reports, JD.com data shows that from January to August this year, the transaction volume of road vehicles in cycling equipment increased by 155% year-on-year, the transaction volume of cycling clothing increased by 130% year-on-year, and the transaction volume of cycling wearable equipment increased by 80% year-on-year.
Comment: In recent years, cycling has gradually become a way to exercise and fitness, and it is becoming more and more popular among people. This has also driven the sales of bicycles and related supporting products. In addition to domestic sales, my country is also the world's largest bicycle exporter, accounting for nearly 40% of the world's exports. As raw material prices decline and sales volumes increase significantly, the operating pressure of domestic related companies will be significantly reduced!
Nature of the message: mid-line
Explosion intensity: ★★★
Related companies: Xinlong Health (002105), Shenzhen China A (000017), Zhonglu Co., Ltd. (600818), etc.
Sharp news: my country's fourth line of West-East Gas Pipeline Project has been fully started, and investment in oil and gas pipelines will be significantly accelerated!
Event: On the 28th, the key project of the national "14th Five-Year Plan" oil and natural gas development plan, namely the West-East Gas Pipeline Project, was officially started. This is another major energy strategic channel connecting Central Asia and China after the first, second and third-line pipelines of the West-East Gas Pipeline. It is of great strategic significance for my country to make full use of international oil and gas resources and achieve energy security under open conditions.
Comment: Two years ago, my country began to launch the West-East Gas Pipeline Project, which is also the most important investment project in my country in addition to the Three Gorges Project, and is considered a landmark project for the development of the western region. According to relevant industrial plans, the scale of my country's oil and gas pipeline network will reach about 210,000 kilometers in the next three years, with an annual growth rate of more than 20%.
Nature of the message: short-term
Explosion intensity: ★★★
Related companies: Xinao Co., Ltd. (600803), Jinzhou Pipeline (002443), Huibopu (002554), etc.
【Company Announcement/Company News Comments】
Wan Liyang (002434) plans to invest 3.06 billion yuan in new energy vehicle alloy structural parts project. The company has been doing good things recently. In addition to the 3 billion investment in the new energy vehicle alloy structural parts project with an annual output of 120,000 tons, there is also a photovoltaic power station successfully connected to the grid to generate electricity. This 3 billion project is an important expansion of the company in the field of new energy vehicles. The company's financial report shows that its revenue was 5.4 billion last year, and the investment in this project accounts for more than 50% of its revenue last year. Although the company's current performance is still in a state of retracement, due to the sharp decline in the company's profits in the fourth quarter of last year, this year will be the year for the company's performance turning point to recover.
Shengli Precision (002426) plans to invest 5.6 billion yuan in the new energy vehicle functional membrane project. Recently, many companies have expanded production of projects related to the new energy vehicle industry chain. In addition to Wanli Yang above, Shengli Precision is also one of them. The total investment this time is 5.6 billion, and it will be invested in projects such as high-performance composite copper foil production lines and optical film production lines. Judging from the company's financial report, the company's revenue last year was 5 billion, and the total investment in the project exceeded the full year of last year.Due to the weakness of the consumer electronics industry in recent years, the company's performance has declined significantly. This time, the large-scale investment has shifted its business focus to new energy vehicles, which may have a positive impact on the company's future performance.
Gremie (002340) and Weiming Environmental Protection (603568) and others have signed an investment agreement. The total planned investment of the Wenzhou New Energy Battery Materials Low Carbon Industrial Park project is about 10.8 billion yuan, and the total planned investment of the green circular economy industrial park is about 2.2 billion yuan. Greenmei's market value is close to 40 billion yuan. This time, it spent 13 billion yuan to build a green circular economy industrial park for scrapped automobiles and power battery recycling, and to deploy related new lithium battery materials projects, which is an expansion of the company's main business. It is conducive to continuously enhancing the company's influence in the entire industrial chain of the global new energy industry and further enhancing the company's core competitiveness and sustainable profitability.
AVIC (600372) exchanges shares for A shares and merges AVIC by issuing A shares, and AVIC is the absorption merger party. This year is a critical period of the three-year action plan for state-owned enterprise reform, and the deepening of integration and restructuring of the military industry group will be the top priority. Among them, the asset integration of AVIC has also entered the field of airborne systems. After the completion of this transaction, AVIC's related assets and liabilities will be loaded into AVIC. As a surviving company, AVIC will integrate, absorb and merge resources from both parties, optimize the industrial layout of the airborne sector of the aviation industry, and effectively enhance the core competitiveness of the surviving company.
Heli Technology (603917) plans to raise no more than 805 million yuan for large-scale integrated molds and precision aluminum alloy parts intelligent manufacturing projects. Heli Technology is mainly engaged in automotive casting molds, hot stamping molds, aluminum alloy parts related products. This private placement is the company's preparation for building a leading intelligent production base in the industry. After the project reaches full production capacity, 75 sets of medium and large integrated molds will be added. According to the company's research, the investment return period of this project is about 9 years, indicating that it will increase the company's profits every year in the future. The company's annual profit last year was only 65 million, which means that the company's performance will achieve a significant increase in the project's performance!
[Institutional seats/northward funds/hot money trends]
Institutional funds are bought in a single day (10 million+): Wanhe Electric 002543, air heat pump, 1 institution buys 56.96 million, accounting for 4.38%, which is the stock with the largest net purchase in institutions yesterday. Baoli Food 603170, pre-made dishes, 2 institutions bought 2 institutions sold, and the institution netted 32.95 million, accounting for 15.61%, making it the stock with the largest proportion of net purchases in institutions yesterday.
Institutional funds are purchased continuously within 10 days (10 million+): None yet.
Institutional capital sector adjustment: On Wednesday, institutions bought 7 stocks with net purchases of more than 10 million and sold 10 stocks with net purchases of more than 10 million. Compared with Tuesday's data, the market's neutral pullback engulfed all the gains on Tuesday, institutional funds contracted slightly, selling increased significantly, and institutional funds turned into net outflows. Judging from the capital flow in the main hot sectors, no main line direction has been increased; natural gas has been reduced in positions in a moderate manner, and air heat pumps, lithium batteries, photovoltaics, energy storage and consumer electronics have been reduced in positions in small quantities. In terms of non-main hot spots, a small number of positions have been increased in retail, duty-free shops, pre-made vegetables, textile manufacturing, traditional Chinese medicine, pharmaceutical e-commerce, cosmetics and small household appliances; a medium-sized position has been reduced in sodium ion batteries, flexible screens, metal nickel, salt lake lithium extraction, fuel cells, household products, energy conservation and environmental protection sectors. Overall, there are signs of avoiding previous hot spots in the direction of increasing positions in institutional funds, and at the same time, they mainly reduced their positions in sectors that rose against the trend on the day, indicating that the sentiment of the powerful Gao is obvious.
Trend of northbound funds: Net inflows of northbound funds in a single day are -3.84 billion yuan, and net inflows of -8.293 billion yuan in the past month. Sungrow Power Supply, China Merchants Bank and China Duty Free Group received net sales of RMB 322 million, RMB 307 million and RMB 222 million respectively. Wuliangye ranked first in net purchases, with an amount of 443 million yuan.
The hot money boss focused on sniping: Liyang Road: Buy 23.66 million and sell 34.1 million and Sunrise East, Buy 47.96 million and sell 32.6 million and Electric; Shangtang Road: Buy 21.5 million and Huatian Hotel, Buy 30.77 million and Haiou Housing; Zhang Alliance Leader: Buy 18.78 million and Bangjie shares; Brother Zhao: Buy 1282 Shandong Molong.
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