Time is changing, prices are also changing, Mid-Autumn Festival During the holidays, people travel more, gasoline consumption increases, and oil prices "rise soar". After experiencing continuous declines in the past four days, pig prices ushered in a rebound on September 11, with strong rises in the northwest and southwest. The price of eggs continues to fall. Let’s take a look at the specific price changes.
1. Oil prices "raise". On September 11, the price of gasoline of 92 and 95
In recent days, oil prices have risen and fallen. First, it ended the longest decline cycle in the past three and a half years, and the price of gasoline has increased by about 0.2 yuan. , on the first working day after the oil price adjustment, international oil prices plummeted, and international crude oil prices fell to the lowest level in the past six months, and then entered a continuous rise. As of press time, the price of US crude oil was US$86.21 per barrel, and the price of Brent crude oil was US$92.49 per barrel, up US$2.67 and US$3.34 respectively compared with the previous day.
Fortunately, the cumulative decline of the new round of oil price adjustments has exceeded 8% at the beginning. The sharp rise in crude oil prices has not affected the expectation of a decline in oil prices. It is expected that the domestic refined oil price will drop by 400 yuan/ton, with a price reduction of 0.3-0.36 yuan per rise. However, if the changes in international oil prices continue to the current state of change, it is not impossible for oil prices to rise again when they adjust on September 21. After all, some recent events in the international market are not conducive to the continued decline in crude oil prices. First, OPEC+ announced that it will cut oil production in October; second, the European Central Bank hikes rate by 275 basis points; third, energy demand in Europe and the United States is tight, especially the rise in energy prices such as natural gas and coal.
September 11, the domestic gasoline price of No. 92 remained around 8.4 yuan. Except for Hainan and Tibet, the highest oil price was 8.57 yuan in Yunnan, followed by 8.55 yuan in Guizhou, the lowest was 8.14 yuan in Xinjiang, and the second was Shaanxi. 8.3 yuan. The price of No. 95 gasoline remains around 9 yuan. Except for Hainan and Tibet, the highest oil price is 9.2 yuan in Yunnan, followed by 9.16 yuan in Guangxi, the lowest is 8.75 yuan in Xinjiang, and the second is 8.77 yuan in Shaanxi.
2. Pig prices stop falling and stabilize, and the northwest and southwest rise strongly
On the one hand, the changes in pig prices will be affected by the supply of live pigs, and on the other hand, the pork consumption will be affected. At this stage, as colleges and universities start school one after another and Mid-Autumn Festival stocking is over, pork consumption is cold. On the other hand, group pig farms are more enthusiastic about slaughtering at the beginning of the month, pig supply is stable, and it is difficult for slaughtering enterprises to collect pigs, and prices have begun to be reduced. With the strengthening of regulatory measures, domestic pig prices have just experienced a wave of six consecutive declines. On September 11, domestic pig prices stopped falling and stabilized, and pig prices in the southwest and northwest regions rebounded strongly.
Anhui rose 0.45 yuan, the price reached 11.8-12 yuan, Henan rose 0.1 yuan, the price reached 11.3-11.7 yuan, Heilongjiang rose 0.2 yuan, the price rose to 11.2-11.4 yuan, Shaanxi and Gansu rose 0.15 and 0.05 yuan, respectively. Prices rose to 11.3-11.7 yuan and 11-11.6 yuan respectively, Sichuan rose to 0.2 yuan, Guizhou rose to 0.2 yuan, Chongqing rose to 0.35 yuan, and pig prices in the entire southwest region also rose to 11.1-12.3 yuan. Other regions remain stable, with the average price of three yuan at home and abroad at 11.65 yuan and the average price of three yuan at 11.47 yuan.
Pork consumption has become calm and the supply of live pigs is relatively strong. There should be several reasons why pig prices can stop falling and stabilize? 1. Although the current production capacity is high, the number of live pigs available for supply and output is not large. 2. Feed prices have risen again, and free-range farmers are reluctant to sell. 3. Although the concentrated consumption of pork is getting colder, the daily consumption of pork is improving with the changes in the climate. From this point of view, although it is unlikely that pig prices will rise sharply due to regulatory factors, market factors in all aspects do not allow a sharp drop in pig prices.
3. Egg prices "fall in cold weather" and have to fall
0 The sudden rise of egg prices in early September caught many people off guard. Traders and grassroots consumers rushed to buy stocks, causing the egg price to rise by 6 in a short period of time. Yuan, the retail price once rose above 7 yuan. However, the price increase, which lacks consumer support and a significant decline in production capacity, will not last long.
Egg prices have been falling coldly in recent days. On September 11, Heilongjiang fell to 5-5.5 yuan, Hebei fell to 4.95-5.31 yuan, Fujian fell to 5.9-6 yuan, Zhejiang fell to 5.95-6.05 yuan, Shanghai fell to 5.95-6. To 5.61-6.55 yuan, Jiangsu and Shandong fell to 5.17-5.6 yuan and 5.83-5.7 yuan respectively, Anhui fell to 5.17-5.9 yuan, in central China, price overall dropped to 4.95-6.24 yuan, and Guangdong fell to 5.93-6.07 yuan , Shaanxi dropped to 5.5-6.1 yuan.
The subsequent egg price is likely to continue to fall: 1. Previously, the trader had a certain inventory in his hands. 2. The epidemic has repeatedly affected egg catering consumption. 3. When profits are plentiful, egg prices will continue to decline, and the enthusiasm for shipping on the breeding side will be relatively strong. 4. There are still some eggs in the cold storage.
