[Editor's note] This article is authorized by the author and reprinted from the public account "Mingshu Zatan". There is a lot of exciting content, welcome to pay attention.
On July 1, 2022, three major news hit us:
- The 25th anniversary of Hong Kong's return to , opening a new chapter of " one country, two systems " and "patriots governing Hong Kong". Hong Kong's "second return" is unstoppable;
- - The 101st anniversary of the founding of the Communist Party of China. The centennial party has led the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation and continues to write new chapters;
- China and Europe have once again announced major projects in cooperation. Three Chinese airlines have ordered 292 Airbus A320NEO aircraft, with a total amount of The order amounted to US$37.257 billion, which is more than 240 billion yuan in RMB, which is a "sky-high price order".
Some people may think that the first two big news are full of grand vision, and the third big news is more like an ordinary business cooperation. However, in the context of the game between China and the United States, this matter is also of very important significance. .
"One leaf falls and the world knows autumn." Through this seemingly ordinary "business news", we can actually see a lot of hidden important information.
Why does China buy Airbus aircraft , and buy 292 of them?
First of all, this is a normal commercial cooperation between Chinese airlines and Airbus.
China is the fastest growing civil aviation market in the world. Every year, major airlines need to purchase a certain number of aircraft, so China has become one of the world's largest markets for Boeing and Airbus.
According to the "2021 Civil Aviation Industry Development Statistical Bulletin", China's civil aviation industry has a total of 4,054 transport aircraft.
In 2021 alone, Airbus delivered 142 aircraft to Chinese customers.
Some people may ask, why don’t Chinese airlines buy China’s domestically produced C919 large aircraft ?
I personally speculate that C919 has received more than 800 orders of various types. Although everyone is very eager to support domestically produced large aircraft, it is obvious that as a "new player" in the global civil large aircraft market, the production capacity of the C919 itself is limited. of. In addition, it also takes time to obtain the airworthiness certificate for markets such as Europe and the United States.
Therefore, at this stage, on the one hand, we must ensure that the C919 can obtain enough orders so that its subsequent production and research and development plans can proceed smoothly; at the same time, in order to meet the needs of China's booming civil aviation market, Chinese airlines will continue to purchase certain A large number of Airbus and Boeing aircraft are also inevitable.
believes that the ultimate goal of China's large aircraft project must be "Stars in the Sea". In the future, it will not only occupy a certain share of China's domestic market, but also explore a larger international market.
However, as the "crown jewel" of modern industry, the aircraft manufacturing industry requires long-term accumulation of technology, manufacturing, and market. "The meal must be eaten one bite at a time" and "the road must be walked step by step."
As we all know, there are two major manufacturers of civil aircraft in the world, one is Boeing in the United States, and the other is Airbus in Europe. There is a mystery behind China's large purchase of Airbus aircraft.
For Boeing, I can only stand by and drool as I watch Airbus gobble up the Chinese market. I am afraid I can only blame myself.
In the past few years, Boeing's 737MAX aircraft has caused two civil aviation accidents with heavy casualties due to technical reasons, which has dealt a heavy blow to Boeing.
China is the first country in the world to ground the 737MAX, and it has not yet completely returned to and .
Safety is the life of the civil aviation industry, and it is also the life of aircraft manufacturers like Boeing.
Once there is a safety problem, Boeing's business will inevitably be hit.
In 2020, in the global civil aircraft market, Airbus delivered 551 aircraft and Boeing only delivered 154 aircraft. Comparing the two, Boeing is almost overwhelmed by Airbus.
In addition to itself, Boeing has to blame the US government.
Originally, as the United States is the world's largest single manufacturer of civil aircraft, and China is one of the world's largest purchasers of civil aircraft, the two sides have huge room for cooperation in the civil aircraft market.
China’s purchase of Boeing aircraft is not only to meet the needs of China’s booming domestic civil aviation market, but also to add important content to the mutually beneficial and win-win practical cooperation between China and the United States.
However, in the past four to five years, two consecutive U.S. administrations have been making troubles and making mistakes in Sino-U.S. relations. Strategically, the United States regards China as its biggest competitor and even a potential enemy, and its strategy towards China has shifted to containment; in terms of economic and trade relations, the Trump administration unilaterally launched a trade war against China on March 18, 2018. Biden The government continued this absurd policy after taking office on January 20, 2021.
As the old saying goes, the United States, out of its insecurity about the relative decline of its hegemony, "jokes" on Sino-US relations, especially on the highly complementary economic and trade relations between China and the United States. It goes back and forth without taking any advantage. , On the contrary, it is "shooting a stone and hitting yourself in the foot."
Boeing has its own safety issues, and the U.S. government continues to torment one of Boeing's largest markets, China. Will Boeing's life be easy?
Seeing that Airbus has won such a large "sky-high price order" in the Chinese market, Boeing must have regretted it.
Why do I say that the large order signed by China Airlines and Airbus shows China's "great wisdom" in the game between China and the United States?
This is to analyze the different patterns and strategies of China and the United States in the Sino-US game.
For the United States, there is something wrong with its "brain" in formulating its strategy towards China.
Some people in the United States believe that China is booming and will replace the hegemony of the United States in the future. Therefore, the United States must try its best to contain China and disrupt the plan for the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation before China becomes fully powerful.
To this end, they do not hesitate to launch a trade war to coerce the global industrial chain to move out of China; they have grossly interfered in China's internal affairs on Hong Kong, Taiwan, Xinjiang and other issues, and slandered and attacked China in the international community; they have tried to organize the United States in the international community Europe and Japan have a united front against China to isolate and contain China.
Fundamentally speaking, this is a problem with the US strategic thinking towards China.
In the eyes of the United States, only " zero-sum game " is left between China and the United States, and only "you lose and I win", this narrow binary opposition thinking. This kind of thinking is simple, crude, and has been repeatedly proven to be ineffective in the real world.
Unlike the United States, which is anxious, panicking, and waging war, China has always had a very clear and consistent position on Sino-US relations, that is, China and the United States must establish a new model of "mutual respect, peaceful coexistence, and win-win cooperation." relations between major powers.
China and the United States will both benefit from cooperation and lose from confrontation.
China and the United States are both major countries, and only through cooperation can we lead the world in responding to various challenges.
China and the United States will continue to carry out pragmatic cooperation, and businesses and people on both sides will benefit from it.
On the contrary, if the United States unilaterally provokes great power competition between China and the United States and sets off a new round of geopolitical competition around the world, it will not only worsen Sino-US relations and even risk conflict and confrontation, but also bring harm to the whole world. The world brings unpredictable consequences.
In the face of the irrational behavior of the United States, China, on the one hand, resolutely safeguards China's sovereignty, security and development interests, dares to fight, and is good at fighting; on the other hand, it has also been admonishing the United States with practical actions. China and the United States are indeed " Cooperation will benefit both sides, and confrontation will hurt both."
Moreover, in the future we will tell the United States with more and more confidence that both China and the United States will benefit from cooperation and suffer from confrontation, but the United States will definitely be hurt more seriously and recover more slowly than China.
China gave the "sky-high price order" to Airbus instead of Boeing. This is not only the result of commercial negotiations based on market rules, but also a true portrayal of the current relationship between China and the United States.
It is impossible for the United States to think about containing, suppressing, besieging and slandering China while also thinking about "dancing, running, and making money." It really treats China as a punching bag and money bag. This is completely whimsical.
In the Sino-US game, China’s strength lies in its population size, market potential, economic vitality, industrial strength, trade influence, etc. China’s strengths are precisely the weaknesses of the United States.
The United States is strong in its military strength, its ability to manipulate public opinion, and its influence in mobilizing allies to create small circles.
In the game between China and the United States, both sides want to bring this century-old dispute back to a battlefield they are familiar with and comfortable with.
For the United States, the most comfortable "playing method" is to continue to slander and attack China under the guise of ideology and values, and continue to strengthen the military and political alliance against China established under the leadership of the United States. Bring the Sino-US game back to the "old era" of the 19th century when "countries were bigger than fists" and "great powers competed for hegemony."
For Anglo-Saxons , they love this "war".
Britain and the United States defeated Germany in two world wars , and the United States defeated the Soviet Union in the next Cold War . This is a battlefield that they are very familiar with, like very much, and feel very comfortable with.
However, China is exactly the opposite.
For China, the game between China and the United States is not about hegemony, sphere of influence, or so-called ideology and values.
The game between China and the United States is about their respective domestic governance systems and capabilities to see who can create a better life for their people.
The competition between China and the United States is about their contribution to the international community and all mankind, to see who can better safeguard world peace and promote world development, and who can better enable the 8 billion people on the planet to live a better life.
Faced with the "old game" in which the United States provokes great power competition and is obsessed with the geopolitical game of the "old era", China has given full play to the wisdom and heritage of an ancient civilization with a history of about 5,000 years and dared to fight in the face of the United States. , good at fighting.
In response to the United States launching a united front against China from the United States, Europe and Japan in the international community, China must make full use of itself as the world's second largest economy (will become the world's largest economy in the future), the world's largest trading nation, the largest consumer market, and the largest The competitive advantage of industrialized countries is to open the door and take the big road, expand the pie of mutual benefit and win-win with enterprises and people of various countries, replace "zero-sum game" with a community of interests, and replace decoupling and the new cold war with a community of shared future for mankind.
China’s royal rule will surely defeat the tyranny of the United States.
For China, it is necessary to make full use of the conflicting interests between American politicians, the military-industrial complex and a few interest groups, and the vast number of American companies and 330 million American people, and use the big pie of mutual benefit and win-win between China and the United States to curb American extremes. The impulse of politicians and the military-industrial complex to adopt extreme policies toward China.
For American companies, rather than caring about American hegemony, they are more concerned about whether they can obtain greater development opportunities in the Chinese market, and they are more concerned about whether the Chinese market pie will be eaten by competitors.
For the American people, they also don’t care about American hegemony. They are more concerned about whether their living standards have improved and whether the price level has dropped. They are more concerned about whether women have the constitutionally protected right to abortion. They are more concerned about How to control guns so that the tragedy of mass shootings will no longer happen in the United States.
It can be said that today’s American ruling class has completely degenerated into the spokesperson of interest groups such as the American military-industrial complex and the medical insurance industry, running counter to the aspirations of American enterprises and the American people.
To use the "class struggle language" that the older generation of Chinese are very familiar with, today's U.S. government is a reactionary government, a corrupt government, and a government that is divorced from the American people.
For China, it still needs to use the "connected horizontal" approach of the 21st century to counter the "unified vertical" approach of the United States. The more the United States wants to establish a united front between the United States, Europe, and Japan against China, the more China will establish a united front with Europe, South Korea, etc. form an intertwined and inseparable community of interests.
Europe and the United States have the so-called special transatlantic relationship. This is a fact. After all, they fought together in World War and World War II . They once hugged each other and kept warm during the Cold War. There are similarities in so-called ideologies and values, as well as race. However, there are obvious differences and contradictions between the United States and Europe in terms of specific economic and trade interests and geopolitics.
is very simple. For example, the interests of Airbus and Boeing are opposed.
In terms of geopolitics, the vast majority of European countries feel that the biggest threat is Russia, not China. Central Europe are located at both ends of the Eurasian continent. China has never threatened Europe's security. At this time, European countries are asked to give up their huge economic and trade interests in China and regard China as a rival or even an enemy. Of course, they cannot understand. Of course they don't want to.
Finally, China must make full use of the contradiction between the Western white Christian world, led by the United States, and the vast number of emerging markets and developing countries around the world.
The United States wants to maintain its hegemony, continues to adhere to unilateralism, and bosses other countries around. White Christian countries such as Europe, Australia and New Zealand will inevitably praise the "stinky feet" of the United States. However, regardless of the number of countries or populations of these countries, They are all minorities in this world.
China must fully develop its relations with Southeast Asia, Central Asia, the Middle East, , Africa, Latin America and other countries and regions, so that China will become their largest market and their largest source of imports. In the future, we will continue to Let China, which has embarked on a prosperous road to national rejuvenation, become the object of their admiration, learning, and reference, and the source of inspiration and practical support for them to realize the rejuvenation of their nation.
This is the great Chinese wisdom behind CEIBS’s “sky-high price order”.
America, if you want to make trouble, I will let you shoot yourself in the foot.
Airbus has made rapid progress in the Chinese market. Boeing, which has been left behind, can only blame itself and the US government.
China and the United States will both benefit from cooperation and lose from confrontation. However, China has the strength, potential, and confidence to make the United States hurt more seriously and recover more slowly.
The world is very big. In addition to the United States, there is also Europe. In addition to the United States and Europe, there is also the vast world of Asia, Africa and Latin America.
"The great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation has entered an irreversible historical process."
Let's understand the true meaning of this sentence, as well as the confidence, philosophy and laws behind it.
For the United States, in provoking the competition between China and the United States, there will definitely be "little followers" who praise the United States' "stinky feet", but the United States' feet stinky , haven't you figured it out yet?
Just like me, my feet have been smelly for many years, so I should wash my feet frequently and change my socks every day. It is best to find a secret recipe to cure it.
In the game between China and the United States, the United States cannot win by just talking.
