Breeding costs have increased, and now with high-priced pigs, is raising pigs this year a "bonus" year?

Hello everyone, I work in the countryside. Our country is a big agricultural country, not to mention the leader in the breeding industry. For the pig industry in our country, the average annual slaughter of pigs in the past few years was as high as about 700 million. There was no African swine fever. The price of live pigs was relatively stable at that time. The average price of a pound of live pigs was about seven yuan, but since the emergence of African swine fever in 2018, the pig industry has ushered in huge changes. .

The pig farming industry has gradually transformed from the former individual farmers to large-scale farming. That is to say, between 2019 and 2020, the price of live pigs in the market will basically be controlled by large-scale breeding groups Master, some people think that these large-scale breeding groups raise the price of live pigs on the market, making everyone feel that the price of pork is more expensive, and they make a considerable profit from the middle, just take the 2020 Muyuan shares. , Its total annual profit is estimated to be around 29 billion yuan, an increase of nearly 340% over the previous few years. It can almost be said that a day’s profit is around 80 million. In 2020, the annual sales volume of pigs will reach 18.11 million. With 50,000 live pigs sold every day, the profit of a live pig is almost more than 1,600 yuan. We can see that the profit of live pigs last year was very impressive.

The increase in the price of live pigs has also led to the continuous increase in the price of piglets. From the beginning, the price of a piglet is 500 yuan with a 30 kg piglet. Later in 2020, the price of a piglet has risen to 1500 yuan to 1800 yuan. This also drove a group of people. In order to speed up the pig raising industry, they had to buy piglets for the continuous increase of pig production capacity. According to relevant data, by the end of 2020, China's pig production capacity had recovered to 92% of the previous year. , The recovery of pig production capacity also makes many farmers feel that there is still profit to raise pigs in 2021?

Actually, from the perspective of the price of live pigs in the past two days, although the price of live pigs has risen for seven consecutive days, the current average price of live pigs has remained at around 31.7 yuan per kilogram. The decline in five provinces and cities, and the rise in 17 provinces and cities, the positive news of live pig prices also gave farmers in the pig industry greater confidence.

However, it is only the fifth day of the Lunar New Year today, and the price of grain, especially corn, has risen. At present, the price of coal transported by Heilongjiang has risen to 2,540 yuan per ton, and the price of corn in Beijing has risen to 2,998. In Liaoning, the price of corn has risen to 2907 yuan per ton. The price of corn in Anhui and Henan has risen to 2928 yuan per ton. In Hainan, the price of corn has risen to 3,200 yuan per ton. Estimated to be the highest price of corn in our country.

With the increase in the price of corn, the piglet feed has risen to 1.8 yuan per catty. That is to say, the cost of feed used by a pig to slaughter is as high as six yuan per catty, but the current piglet price is also In other words, the risk of raising pigs this year will increase. I also remind everyone not to blindly follow the trend, especially the second fattening pigs are more risky. The editor predicts that the pig price will not be The decline is too much, which is controlled by human factors, and there is also market demand. It is estimated that the profit of a live pig will be around 1,000 yuan this year. As for the pig industry this year, the editor also advises these people to stop in time. After all, live pigs The increase in production capacity will increase the risk of hog prices falling.

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