Because of the epidemic, our lives are full of uncertainty. When life is full of uncertainty, it becomes difficult.
also caused us to have a deeper understanding of uncertainty due to the epidemic, so we need to know more about what to do in the face of uncertainty?
The most natural response strategy for many people is: return to the familiar world and find a sense of security.
In fact, most people are more willing to stay in a comfortable circle in a world full of uncertainty, unwilling to change, unwilling to move, unwilling to toss, unwilling to find certain things and new opportunities in a world of uncertainty.
But we can never really know what the future will bring.
Like the epidemic, it greatly disrupts our daily lives and completely destroys our best plans.
Therefore, we need to learn how to deal with uncertainty, learn to live this kind of uncertainty life, learn to coexist with uncertainty. Life is about various uncertainties. We must face it calmly and embrace uncertainty.
You know it will happen, it is called certainty. Deterministic, makes people feel safe.
may not necessarily happen, but what you know is the probability is called risk.
risk makes people feel anxious.
doesn’t even know the probability, which is called uncertainty.
Uncertainty can easily make people feel out of control.
Don’t worry or fear what has not happened yet.
Many times anxiety is because of worry and fear about what has not happened yet, that is, things with uncertainty.
What should we do when faced with uncertainty?
1. Face uncertainty directly
For uncertainty, it is not to escape or let go, but to face uncertainty directly and do your best to reduce uncertainty. We must cultivate super adaptability to adapt to uncertainty.
2. Continuously learn
Continuously learn, keep improving, keep growing, and constantly improve your abilities.
When you have the ability, you can have more confidence to face uncertainty.
3. Effective decision
Decision determines the future planning, what to do later, and how to do it, so a decision will increase uncertainty and can also reduce uncertainty.
decision-making is especially necessary to grasp the definite factors in uncertainty.
must stick to long-term value.
must look at the present from a future perspective.
in a world of uncertainty, it must be able to resolve accidents, travel through cycles, lock trends, and embrace planning.
resolves accidents through anti-fragile system,
goes through ups and downs,
locks down future trends,
makes plans based on future trends,
and vigorously executes plans.
may be more difficult in the future and may be more convoluted.
wants to seize the opportunity of certainty in such a difficult and cram-like market. The core grasp of
is not in price, but in cost and value.
reduces costs and creates high value.
must believe that in the future users value more value more than price.
The real ultimate experience, the real ultimate value, there will always be a market.
4. Super strong action
implements ideas, strategies and plans with actions. Without action, all plans, strategies and ideas are empty talk.
5. Anti-fragile
Be a rational and optimistic person who is not anxious.
An anti-fragile system designed to face the uncertainty of the future black swan event .
risks cannot be avoided in advance. Only by understanding risks and improving one's anti-fragility can one withstand the adverse effects of risks and obtain benefits.
"Anti-fragile" author Taleb divided all things into three categories, namely fragile, tough and anti-fragile, which is the same as what Teacher Liu Run said.
The first type is fragile things, and they like stable environments. Once the environment changes or has uncertainties, such things will be easily destroyed.
The second type is tough things. These things do not rely too much on the environment. No matter how the environment changes, it will not change.
The third type of things are anti-fragile things. This kind of thing is the most magical. The more fluctuating, random and chaotic the external environment, it will not only not be harmed, but will instead thrive with this fluctuating environment.
To be invincible in a changing world, everyone and every organization must embrace change and turn themselves into an anti-fragile system, and survive like life rather than like machines. This is because an anti-fragile system can benefit from uncertainty.
should make yourself and your company an anti-fragile system and be flexible.
So how can the anti-fragility system be established? Taleb gave three suggestions for three steps:
is to reduce vulnerability, adopt barbell strategy and attack rationally and actively. These three steps are progressing layer by layer.
(1) Reduce vulnerability
Reduce adverse factors to reduce vulnerability.
We need to reduce the probability of exposing ourselves to fatal risks,
do less things that are unfavorable to the future,
do certain things, long-term things, and valuable things,
do things that improve user experience and satisfaction, and provide high value with user-centeredness.
(2) Use barbell strategy
Use barbell strategy to enhance anti-fragility.
The barbell is heavy at both ends and light in the middle. For us, we must pay attention to both excellent and extremely bad situations, while we must avoid the mean situation in the middle.
For example, you can put most of the resources on things that have a certain income and a small enough risk, and at the same time put a small amount of resources on things that have high risks and may also have high returns, and finally give up those medium-risk and medium-winning things.
creates hot products with user-centeredness, and also be able to grasp the new needs of users to develop products.
(3) Take a rational and active attack
means taking risks, looking for opportunities, and actively struggling. Don’t be afraid of making mistakes. You must be brave enough to make mistakes, so that you can become more courageous as you setbacks, and enhance your ability to resist strikes. However, these risks and mistakes are based on a range that you can bear.
must be elastic, which is to give yourself a protective pad that suddenly falls from a high place.
For example, individuals must be prepared to suddenly lose their jobs,
At this time, do you have a certain amount of funds to live for how long, and
Do you have any value and skills that can provide to face the competitiveness of the workplace.
Do you have a passive income?
For the company, is there any preparation for bankruptcy at any time and may not be able to do business at any time?
At this time, does the company have a certain amount of funds to last for how long? Is the
business single or multiple business lines? At least one business line must not be affected.
6. People who have gone from "restrictive thinking" to " goal-oriented thinking"
Restrictive thinking do as big as they are.
The greater the ability to do with goal-oriented thinking.
solves the problem when encountering problems, and improves the ability if you lack abilities.
When encountering difficulties and problems, don’t retreat immediately, don’t think that it is impossible to complete, and don’t deny it immediately.
should think more about what efforts should I make, what resources should I need, what I can control, and then do it well.
7. From "negative passive" to "positive and proactive"
Negative passive means negative mentality, negative thoughts, and negative thinking, which leads to negative actions and negative growth, that is, regression or failure.
Negative actually means shirking the responsibility of difficulties and problems to the outside world, such as fate, others, and the environment, and then complaining about others and looking for psychological venting, but it is of no help to reality.
Passively encounter difficulties and will pay attention to difficulties. All you think about is how big the difficulties are, and what you focus on is the difficulty itself.
proactively means solving problems when encountering problems, solving difficulties when encountering difficulties, trying all kinds of ways to solve problems, and never saying that you are powerless. Will actively learn, grow and make progress.
Negative thinking will put you in trouble, and when you use positive thinking, you will get out of the dilemma and start looking for more possibilities.
Positive thinking means how to solve problems and difficulties when encountering them, and what is focused on how to solve problems, the inspiration, lessons or opportunities brought by this problem.
Some people have helpless thoughts and impossible thoughts are also passively accepted.
(1) Helpless thoughts
Subconscious mind will think that you are not good. Thinking that you can only leave it to fate. Then try every means to prove that you really can't do it, and can also list the reasons why you can't do it, and then give up your efforts and give up trying. This is helpless thinking, that is, you don’t want to help yourself.
(2) It is impossible to think that
thinks that this is not possible, that is not possible, this is not possible, that is not possible. If you talk to him about career, he thinks it is useless. If you tell him that learning is useless, he thinks it is brainwashing. You told him that you wanted to change, but he said that he couldn't change it, so he got used to it.
You told him to try, but he said that he would pay the price and effort to try. If he fails, wouldn’t it be in vain? Its thinking is "impossible", thinking that nothing is impossible.
In fact, no matter how difficult your situation is, you can still choose to be proactive.
Since we know that passive acceptance is not good, we must learn to use proactive initiative instead of passive acceptance.
How to make yourself proactive?
(1) Use positive thinking instead of negative thinking
From the state where you originally view problems and things, you are not concerned about life and work, switch to a positive state of looking at problems and things, and a positive state of working and life.
In fact, positive is not blindly optimistic, but if there is any problem, you will find a way to solve the problem.
If you want to change, you must first think about changing from the bottom of your heart, and then change from the inside out, from the change of your mindset to the change of your thinking, and then from the change of your thoughts, words, behaviors, and responses.
There is a sentence among the seven habits of high-efficiency people: "Proactiveness not only refers to the attitude of acting, but also means that people must be responsible for their own lives. Personal behavior depends on their own choices, not the external environment. Human beings should have the enthusiasm and sense of responsibility to create a favorable external environment.
Yes, people are responsible for themselves, and even in the most difficult and lowest troughs, they still have the courage to create an external environment that is beneficial to themselves.
When the environment is not conducive to themselves, they can actively create a favorable external environment.
When the environment is not conducive to themselves, they can take the initiative to create a favorable external environment.
When the environment is not conducive to themselves, they can take the initiative to create a favorable external environment.
When the environment is not conducive to themselves, they can take the initiative to create a favorable external environment. Your own environment.
We should turn passive into activeness and negative into positiveness.
Negative people will complain, and positive people will act.
(2) Positive responses instead of negative responses
Giving yourself time to think between stimulation and response, don’t rush to make a conclusion first, give yourself at least 30 seconds to think about it.
For example, if someone makes a point that does not match your opinion, don’t rush to refute at this time, calm down and give yourself 30 seconds Think about it for a while.
Think about it: is
really wrong? What is wrong with
? Why is
not right? What is the reason?
is mine?
Why is mine right?
Why is mine right? What is the reason?
Don’t underestimate these short 30 seconds. It can help you regain the "right to choose" from the first reaction emotions, and then hand it over to reason.
response is not only a response to others, It is also an action to things.
So we should also use positive actions instead of negative actions.
(3) Use positive language to replace negative language
Negative language is to shirke responsibility over and over again. You will be brainwashed by yourself over and over again, becoming more like complaining and only complaining.
And if you choose to use positive language instead of negative language, you will find that everything is actually hopeless and helpless as you imagine.
For example, there is something that is very difficult to complete. Don’t say it’s so difficult at the first time that you will definitely not be able to complete it. Instead, I'll find a way to complete him. Then think about what you need to do, what efforts you need, and what resources you need to do.
(4) Replace negative growth with positive growth (regression)
① Active growth
Active growth
Active learning, actively break the circle, constantly review, make continuous progress, actively and deeply think.
receive more information and stimulation from the outside world, listen to different opinions and suggestions from the outside world, and think deeply and analyze in depth.
More go and see the outside world, contact different people, receive different information, understand and learn different knowledge, read different books, and be sure to get out of your comfort zone.
allows your mind to be open when receiving external information.
Never set limits for yourself.
faces uncertainty and chooses to embrace rather than doubt.
②Nequivalent growth
sticks to your own circle, thinking, and thoughts, and does not learn or make progress, and has limitations on cognitive and thinking.
When you encounter difficulties and problems in life, try a way to make yourself proactive.
We can divide everything in life and work into three categories:
Category 1: We can completely control it.
Category 2: We have no control at all.
Category 3: Can control but cannot control.
In fact, the third category that you encounter the most, the most entangled and difficult in life and work is the third category.
Try everything to do to do it well for the first type of things you can control.
completely ignore the second type of things you cannot control. After all, you cannot make subjective decisions on your own. Then it will be useless to worry about it, and it will only make you more anxious.
The key to treating the third category is to keep a clear mind and be good at analysis. We must extract the part that can be controlled, focus only on the things that can be controlled, and then do everything we can to do it well.
We can fully control it, such as reading 30 books in a year.
What we cannot control at all is that our subjective actions cannot be changed, such as if it rains tomorrow and the boss will get rich.
We can control it but cannot control it. For example, we cannot control the promotion and salary increase, but we can list some of the points we can control for promotion and salary increase, and then do it well, such as diligence, motivation, willingness to learn, strong ability (improve ability), etc.
Once you develop the habit of being proactive, you will find that no matter how difficult the status quo is, you can find a way out.
Finally, I hope everyone will do a good job in the uncertainty, pay attention to the future; keep your feet on the ground and look up at the stars.
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