Text/Ye Tan Finance Shi Chenchen
Recently, a software called AI painting is popular all over the Internet. It can create intelligent paintings through several keywords entered by users or pictures given by users. The finished products are very exquisite, comparable to those drawn by mature original painters. Even a novice with no foundation can easily draw beautiful pictures with it.
In addition to its low cost and high cost performance, the most amazing thing is its evolutionary speed.
can only draw AI paintings with excellent blocks and unformed patterns in February this year, and it has evolved and matured into a powerful software that can master various styles and imitate various compositions in less than a year.
The imitation power, computing power and exponential growth evolutionary ability of artificial intelligence all remind people of those games a few years ago.
On May 11, 1997, IBM Supercomputer Deep Blue defeated Chess World Champion Kasparov; in March 2016, AlphaGo developed by DeepMind, a subsidiary of Google , defeated Go world champion Lee Sedol; on May 27, 2017, facing the advanced version of AlphaGo, the world's number one Chinese Go genius He Jie shed tears of sadness.
This time, he asked a soul question in the dynamic: art students or related practitioners how to view AI painting?
We might as well deepen the problem and ask ourselves, how do humans view AI work?
Artificial intelligence once completely captured the fortress of human wisdom with its destructive power, and they did not use this as the end point , but a start . On October 18, 2017, AlphaGo evolved into AlphaGo Zero again, which no longer requires human data or human past wisdom. In the once proud fortress of wisdom, artificial intelligence is the only one who is not yet a place to lose.
Human language, vision, hearing and other fields are constantly being challenged by artificial intelligence. After obtaining the Saudi citizenship, Sophia, a humanoid robot developed by Hanson Robotics, even said she wanted to get married and have children.
Everything comes too fast No one can stay out of the matter
Everything comes too fast, before we are ready, we enter the era of reconstruction of faith and philosophy, and no one can stay out of the matter .
Our lives will change dramatically. Painting , Go, translation, medical care, lawyers, one industry after another falls. Robots are not limited to rough, dirty and dangerous jobs, but not just replace migrant workers or low-level workers, they can replace the work of the vast majority of people.
In the past, old professions disappeared and new professions appeared. No matter how it changes, people can always find jobs that are better than machines. may be different this time.
Advanced algorithms, powerful processors, and precision machinery, there may not be many jobs that humans will dominate in the future. "A Brief History of the Future " author Yuval boldly predicted that 99% of people will fall into useless classes in the future.
machines replace manual labor, which is an economic law. Unemployment is not far away. In the future, many people may experience more miserable than those who left Beijing during cold nights.
Artificial labor is getting more and more expensive, robots are getting cheaper and cheaper
)
The popularity of robots around the world is very fast, and they are becoming more and more popular in China. According to CCTV.com Xinhua News Agency published an article in November, according to the "2022-2027 China Industrial Robot Industry Market Panoramic Research and Development Prospects Forecast Report" released by China Research Institute of Industry and Technology, the operating income of the entire robot industry exceeded 130 billion yuan in 2021.Among them, the output of industrial robots reached 366,000 units, a 10-fold increase from 2015, making it the world's largest industrial robot market. It is estimated that the size of China's robot market will reach US$17.4 billion in 2022, with an average annual growth rate of 22% over the past five years.
Since 2013, China has become the world's largest robot consumer for several consecutive years. The price of robots is constantly falling, and labor costs are constantly rising .
China will be a big robot country. " Made in China 2025", "China Industrial Robot Industry Market Panoramic Survey and Development Prospects Forecast Report 2022-2027", as well as preferential policies of local governments will prompt a significant drop in robot costs. There are more than 40 robot industrial parks that have been built and under construction in the country, mainly concentrated in , the Yangtze River Delta, , Pearl River Delta and Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei regions.
The cost and price of industrial robots are decreasing year by year at a rate of 4%, and their service life is getting longer and longer.
From the perspective of cost-effectiveness, machine replacement is the general trend
machine replacement advantages have emerged. Foshan As the only comprehensive reform pilot for the transformation and upgrading of manufacturing industry in the country, it is comprehensively promoting the digital transformation of manufacturing industry. His plan to invest more than 10 billion yuan in fiscal investment, and set up a Guangdong (Foshan) manufacturing transformation and development fund with a total scale of 30 billion yuan and a first-term 10 billion yuan.
This temptation has made China the main driving force for the development of the industrial robot market. According to CRIA and IFR statistics, in 2021, the Chinese industrial robot market sold a total of 271,000 industrial robots, and increased by 50.1% year-on-year, accelerating by 30.1 percentage points from the previous year.
At present, China's secondary industry still accounts for as high as 40%, and the number of industrial employment is still very high, which also means that the number of industrial industry in the industrial field after is very large.
industrial robot applications cover 60 major industries and 168 medium-class industries in the national economy. According to statistics from relevant institutions, the density of robots in my country's manufacturing industry reached more than 300 units per 10,000 people in 2021, an increase of about 13 times compared with 2012.
The industrial field with high standardization is the first to be affected. Can people engaged in the service industry rest assured? Don’t forget that there is another robot called: service robot .
Painting robots, Go robots, sweeping robots, lawn repair robots, window cleaning robots, milking robots, medical robots, logistics robots and entertainment robots have all appeared.
According to statistics from the International Robot Alliance, Global professional service robot sales increased by 37% in 2021, which is an amazing growth rate, with Asia's growth of 30%. Sales of new consumer service robots increased by 9% in 2021, mainly including three categories: household cleaning robots, gardening robots and nursing robots. There are the most service robots used for housework, with a total of nearly 19 million units sold in 2021, an increase of 12% year-on-year.
robots replace people. People have two ways out, one is to surpass robots, and the other is to be replaced by robots. Therefore, people are divided into two categories: high and low.
McKinsey Global Research Institute has released a serious report, covering 46 countries, reports have classified predictions on the impact of automation progress on employment. With the relatively ease of automation development, robots will replace 400 million jobs worldwide by 2030.
According to McKinsey's estimate, the global population will need to change careers and learn new skills in the future, and about 75 million people will need to change careers.
Currently, there are about 3.3 billion labor force populations around the world, and China has nearly 800 million labor force population. This means that China's 91 million labor force needs to transform careers and learn new skills, and about 18.18 million labor force needs to change careers. If they can't adapt to this, there are still nearly 100 million people in China that will become low-income populations.
By 2030, there may be a global art exhibition organized by AI painting robots, and where should we go?
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-