Beijing time on December 9, 23:00, Beijing time, in the first match of the quarter-finals of the World Cup, the favorite Brazil team faced Croatia , which was dangerously advancing to the quarterfinals of 8. Judging from the authoritative data before the game, the Brazilian team after Neymar returns is considered to have a high probability of winning. In regular time, the probability of Brazil winning reached 70.27%, the probability of drawing to overtime is 19.11%, and Croatia has only a 10.62% chance of winning.
Croatia had 3 regular time to shake hands with the opponent. In 2 games in the group stage, they tied 0-0, and only 4-1 reversed Canada showed the team's offensive ability. In addition to this game that reversed Canada, Croatia only scored 1 goal in the other three games, and the physical fitness of core Modric is worrying, so it is normal for Croatia to be looked down upon before the game.
Brazilian team had "suspected" to face South Korea in the last round of the group stage and the quarter-finals. Even so, they still won a 4-1 victory against South Korea. Moreover, in 4 games, the Brazilian team, which is good at offense, only conceded 2 goals, and its defensive ability is also first-class. The top player Neymar returned to the game against the South Korean team and scored a goal. The Brazilian team is in good shape at present.
Since 2005, Croatia has faced Brazil 4 times, with only 1 draw and 3 losses, including 0-1 loss in the 2006 World Cup and 1-3 loss in the 2014 World Cup. Judging from the strength on paper and the team's in-fighting state, Brazil has completely gained the upper hand. Therefore, the authoritative data before the game believes that the possibility of Brazil winning in regular time reaches 70.27%, the possibility of the two teams drawing into overtime is 19.11%, and Croatia has only a 10.62% chance of winning.
From the analysis, the Brazilian team may easily get the top 4 places.
