These five predictions all sound exciting, but don’t forget that The Sun is a famous British tabloid.
Its reports are often very watery, so it cannot be ruled out that someone in the name of Baba Vanga made the prediction.
But the fifth item in the prophecy still sounded the alarm for people. The inspiration for this prediction should come from a tweet from Elon Musk in May.
Musk said that if South Korea maintains its current low fertility rate, the population will drop by 6% within the next three generations.
After reading Musk’s Twitter, a Korean netizen said: Brother Ma, you are still conservative. What is 6%? Who are you looking down on? 60% is about the same.
On the road of low fertility rate, South Korea has been racing all the way, going further and further. Since 2018, for four consecutive years, the national total fertility rate has been less than 1.0.
South Korea has entered deep water, and the whole world is queuing up behind him. Perhaps a turning point in human destiny is really about to come.
Today’s video may be the scariest one ever.
2750 AD, Seoul, 2:30 in the morning.
Korean Park Hyun-woo sat on the rooftop and finished a bowl of ramen cooked in a yellow aluminum pot with satisfaction.
Since thousands of years ago, the love for kimchi and ramen has been deeply engraved in the bones of Koreans.
Ramen is always a perfect match late at night, and it must be cooked in a yellow aluminum pot to get the best taste.
Although the night was already dark, Park Xianyu could not bear to fall asleep.
He recalled that when he spoke at the United Nations General Assembly yesterday, representatives from more than 100 countries applauded him warmly, and some even shed tears, but he was secretly sad.
As long as Park Hyun-woo doesn't sleep, no one in Korea will fall asleep early, because he is the last Korean alive.
Park Xianyu is very old, and he knows that in the near future, he will eventually bid farewell to this world.
If that day comes, he hopes that he can die late at night so that he can turn off the last light for South Korea.
And the history of Korea will also fall into eternal darkness as this light goes out.
Don’t think this is a random story I made up for you, although it is. But the fabrication of this story also has basis.
In 2006, David Coleman, a professor at the University of Oxford in the United Kingdom and a demographer, issued an early warning.
As the birth rate continues to decline, South Korea may become the first country in the world to disappear naturally.
At that time, South Korea’s fertility rate was 1.13.
In 2014, the Korean National Assembly Legislative Investigation Service (국회입법조사처NARS) released a report.
The report pointed out that if effective measures are not taken, based on the birth rate of 1.19 in 2013, South Korea will become an "empty country" by 2750.
But every subsequent year’s fertility data tells the government that you are still optimistic.
In 2018, South Korea’s fertility rate broke 1 for the first time, falling to 0.98. In 2020, South Korea’s fertility rate hit the world’s lowest record, falling to 0.84.
That year, for the first time in South Korea, the number of deaths was higher than the number of births, and the population began to grow negatively.
In August 2022, the Korean Statistics Office released data. As of the first half of 2022, South Korea's birth rate has dropped to 0.75.
What does this mean? This means that Park Hyun-woo's last Korean glory will come early.
According to the Korea Daily, in the past 15 years,
the Korean government has invested more than 225 trillion won (approximately RMB 1.15 trillion) in solving the problem of low fertility. However, the fertility rate has not increased, but has continued to decline. Why is this?
In 1798, Malthus, a British pastor, demographer, and economic and political scientist, proposed the "Malthusian Trap" theory.
He believed that the growth rate of population was geometric, but the means of survival, which at that time referred to food, was growing arithmetic.
The increased population will always be eliminated in some way, such as plague, famine, war, etc.
This is an ecological wall that humans cannot break through.
However, the industrial revolution has made people's productivity levels advance by leaps and bounds, and the growth rate of subsistence materials has exceeded the growth rate of the population.
Countries have gradually crossed the ecological wall expected by Malthus.
Take the United Kingdom as an example. During the 19th century, although the population more than tripled, the economy grew faster and people's average living standards increased.
Nowadays, social development is still on the rise. There is neither large-scale sustained famine nor serious resource depletion. Malthus’ theory cannot explain the population dilemma hidden in the prosperous age.
But a famous experiment conducted by another animal behaviorist, John B. Calhoun, in the 1960s may be able to provide us with some clues.
Warning from Universe 25
In the 1960s, the United States ushered in the post-war baby boom, and the influx of a large number of people into cities brought many problems.
Animal behaviorist John B. Calhoun, who was working at The Johns Hopkins University at the time, recognized the limitations of Malthusian theory,
and began to design a series of large-scale animal behavior experiments, trying to explore the impact of excessive population numbers on behavior and the resulting consequences.
Calhoun chose rats as the experimental subjects, because rats, like humans, are social animals.
He established a "paradise" living environment for mice. The
habitat is a large cubic box 2.5 meters long and 1.5 meters high. The box is divided into 16 sector-shaped areas, and each area has a water dispenser and food dispenser.
There are also mouse nests built on the wall, with a total of 256 nests. Each mouse nest can provide enough living space for at least 15 mice.
In other words, this place can accommodate at least 3840 rats. When the number of rats reaches 6100, the water supply will be insufficient, and when the number of rats reaches 9500, there will be a shortage of food.
In addition, in order to ensure that the mice live comfortably, Calhoun also equipped this artificial paradise with a constant temperature system and sent people to strictly guard it to prevent the natural enemies of mice from invading the paradise.
Calhoun named this artificial paradise "Universe 25".
Why is it called Universe No. 25? Because Calhoun has built 24 similar universes before.
But the previous 24 experiments all fell into a "Malthusian trap" due to lack of food and water. After the number of
population increases to a certain value, it starts to decrease, and then increases again, and the cycle starts again.
Calhoun believed that this was caused by limited material resources, so this time he created a "Universe No. 25" with almost no material resource restrictions.
But the ending of Universe 25 is more spine-chilling than the previous 24 universes.
Initially, Calhoun released 8 healthy mice, 4 females, 4 males, into this paradise. For the first ten months of the
universe, everything was normal. Calhoun divided these 10 months into two stages:
The first stage is from 0 to 104 days, which is called the "adaptation period". During this stage, the mice explore the environment, divide territories, and complete social construction.
The second stage is 104-315 days and is called the "development period".
The mouse population expanded rapidly, from 8 to 16 to 32. The number of mice doubled almost every 55 days.
At the same time, "class nature" gradually emerged among the rats.
Some strong male rats show dominant behavior in the rat group. They will take the female rats as their own and prohibit other rats from trespassing in their territory.
However, just when the rats entered the third stage, a strange phenomenon occurred.
The third stage lasts from 315 to 560 days, which is called the "stagnation period" by Calhoun. During this stage, the growth rate of the rat population has slowed down three times compared with before, and behavioral and psychological abnormalities have also appeared.
Male rats at this time are divided into two categories. One is the non-ruling class male rats, and they are numerous.
The other type is the dominant male rats. They are small in number but strong in body. They occupy the most comfortable rat nests and have many female rats.
The male rats of the non-ruling class were crowded into the center of Universe 25. They had no rat nests to live in and could only sleep in the Liao Tianye.
Some of them feel like they are lying flat every day, often in a state of sleep or hypnosis. When they are awake, in addition to eating and drinking, they comb their hair.
also does not mate with female mice, and does not care about the presence of other mice.
They look "autistic and narcissistic," and Calhoun calls these non-dominant male rats " sleepwalkers."
Another group of non-dominant male rats began to mate with rats of any age and sex, including mating with male rats in their territory.
Calhoun calls this type of mouse " pansexual".
During this period, the dominant male rats became more aggressive and would occasionally attack females and young rats.
Female rats who have lost the protection of their males also become extremely irritable, and some even abandon their cubs around the rat nest.
The most bizarre phenomenon is that more and more female rats seem to be losing their fertility.
Some pregnant female rats have their bodies absorbing the embryos of young rats in their wombs.
On the 560th day, Universe 25 enters the final stage: the death period.
On this day, the number of births and deaths of rats is equal.
The total number of rats at this time is 2200, which is also the peak population of the world. The number
lasted for about 40 days.
On the 600th day, the death rate completely exceeded the birth rate, and thereafter the number of mice began to decline off a cliff.
On Day 1588, only 27 mice were born in Universe 25, including 23 female mice and 4 male mice. In the 24 mouse universes previously built by
Calhoun, the population will start to decline after reaching its peak, but will rebound again and mice will thrive again.
But this time, even if the mice were moved to a new paradise and given new mates, they still no longer reproduced. On the 1700th day of the
experiment, with the death of the last mouse, Universe 25 died.
Why did Universe 25, which has no natural enemies, no diseases, abundant food, comfortable environment, and no "Malthusian Trap", still face the fate of destruction?
Calhoun’s own explanation is behavioral sink (Behavioral Sink).
He believes that in an environment where the social density is too high, it will not starve to death, but it cannot escape,
species will give up struggling, become dull, closed, irritable, and aggressive, and eventually die due to psychological "sinking".
In 1973, Calhoun published his research results in the Proceedings of the Royal Society of Medicine under the title "Death Cube: Explosive Growth and Death of a Rat Colony".
To this day, this experiment is still talked about. It is difficult for everyone not to connect the experimental results with today's human society.
htmlThe various behaviors of the rats in Universe 425 are like a microcosm of today's society:
The pace is fast, the pressure is high, social status is solidified, parents neglect to take care of their children, and crime is high...
If we want to draw a timeline for the history of human civilization, we may now be in the "stasis period" of Universe 25.
To put it more pessimistically, many countries are making great strides from the "stagnation period" to the "death period".
html Will the ending of universe No. 425 be the future of mankind? I don’t think anyone can give a clear answer to this question.
But in fact, I personally think that another mouse experiment conducted by Yale University in 1939 seems to be better able to explain the terminally ill fertility rate of humans than Universe 25.
Mouse Class Experiment
In 1938, American behaviorist psychologist B.F. Skinner designed a famous experimental device for studying animal behavior, called the Skinner box.
There is a lever on one side of the box that can be pressed, and there is a food delivery device next to the lever.
When the small animal presses the lever in the box, the food delivery device will release the food into the box, and the animal can eat.
Skinner conducted a series of experiments using his Skinner box.
He put a small white mouse that had been fasted for 24 hours into the box.
The mouse began to explore the box and accidentally pressed the lever and obtained food.
The white rat may not notice the food falling at first, but after several repetitions, it develops a conditioned reflex of pressing the lever to eat.
Later, Skinner applied electricity to the box.
The current will not kill the mouse, but will only make it feel slightly uncomfortable. The mouse presses the lever and the power is stopped. As a result, the mouse forms a conditioned reflex to press the lever and cut off the power.
In 1939, Orville Morell, a psychology professor at the Yale School of Human Relations, decided to upgrade the Skinner box experiment.
In the past, a white mouse was put into the box. What would happen if 3 white mice were put in at once this time? The results of the
experiment surprised Professor Mowrer.
Mowrer first marked each mouse's back with a black dot.
One black dot represents mouse No. 1, 2 black dots represent mouse No. 2, and 3 black dots represent mouse No. 3.
The three mice have the same physique and health level. They have also received preliminary training in the Skinner box and have developed the conditioned reflex of pressing the bar to feed.
Mowrer made a slight modification to the Skinner box and moved the food delivery device to the opposite side of the pressure rod.
In other words, now that you press the lever, the mice need to run to the opposite side to get food, and the workload is even greater.
On the first day of the experiment, all three mice pressed the lever desperately and then ran to the other side of the box to look for food.
After 90 minutes of labor, they were exhausted, but still not full. On the second day of the
experiment, the results were similar. The mice rushed to press the lever. After working for a long time, they still got very limited things.
On the third day of the experiment, something interesting happened.
At first the mice became very irritable and even started banging on the food trough.
At this time, mouse No. 3 pressed the pressure lever, and mouse No. 1 and mouse No. 2 happened to be next to the food trough.
As soon as the food fell, they started eating it immediately. When mouse No. 3 ran over from the opposite side, the food had been eaten and wiped clean.
html Mouse No. 43 could only go back and press the lever again, but the result was still the same. The dropped food was eaten immediately by No. 1 and No. 2.
html Mice No. 41 and No. 2 pressed the pressure lever less than 50 times respectively, but they were already full.
On the fourth day of the experiment, mouse No. 3, who was extremely hungry, started working as soon as he entered the box.
And No. 1 and No. 2 are waiting next to the food trough.
Mouse No. 1 only touched the pressure lever twice. Mouse No. 2 was even more exaggerated. It was right next to the food trough and did not move at all.
In just 4 days, classes were formed in the mouse society.
html Mouse No. 42 is undoubtedly the exploiter, and Mouse No. 1 is equivalent to the middle class.
Poor Mouse No. 3 is naturally the lowest working class.
This experiment later became known as the "Rat Class Experiment." A horrifying detail in the
experiment is that the social class of mice was created entirely because of an accidental condition. Mice No. 2 and No. 1 happened to have food, that is, the resources were relatively close to each other.
Today, humans have long relied on wisdom to break the cycle of food scarcity and overcome the "Malthusian Trap."
But the feeling of scarcity still lingers in the minds of most people.
This is because the subject of competition today is no longer food, but the distribution of power.
The last wave of the population wave
We have been talking about fertility rate. So what exactly is fertility rate?
This is a term in demography, which refers to the average number of children per woman in a country or region during their childbearing years.
The fertility rate is equal to 1, which means that women in this country or region will only have one child on average in their lifetime.
Demographers usually define the total fertility rate as 2.1 as the generation replacement level, which is the level of fertility that can maintain the total population without increasing or decreasing. Why is
2.1? To put it simply, to create a human being, two people are needed: a man and a woman.
When children grow up, their parents will die one day.
If accidental factors such as car accidents and diseases are taken into consideration, the fertility rate of 2.1 is a relatively safe number to maintain the current population.
But different countries and regions cannot generalize. Take China as an example. The ratio of men to women in China is not 1:1. According to the "Main Data Bulletin of the 2006 National Population and Family Planning Sample Survey", the gender ratio of babies born between 1996 and 2005 reached 127:100.
Under this circumstance, China's total fertility rate must reach about 2.3 to maintain the level of generation replacement.
As we all know, the current global population is about 7.8 billion.
Before discussing in depth why more and more countries today have half-dead fertility rates, let's first take a look at How Homo sapiens developed into such a large ethnic group.
According to a controversial theory in academia, a super volcano erupted on the Indonesian island of Sumatra about 75,000 years ago.
The low temperature lasted for hundreds or even thousands of years, killing other prehistoric human populations around the world. Only a group of 1,000 to 10,000 people in Africa survived.
Some scholars believe that this may be the first disaster faced by Homo sapiens after the emergence of the species.
After the climate stabilized, this ethnic group of less than 10,000 people began to leave Africa and spread to all parts of the world.
In other words, the current 7.8 billion people in the world are descendants of these 10,000 African Homo sapiens.
Although the theory of 's African origin is still controversial, mainstream academic circles agree that it did take more than 70,000 years for Homo sapiens to multiply from the original 10,000 people to 1 billion people in 1800 AD.
British demographer Paul Moran published the book "Population Waves" in 2019,
describing in detail the global population trend since the beginning of British modernization in 1800.
The first industrial revolution began in the UK, and the UK became the birthplace of the population wave.
With the advancement of modernization, the infant mortality rate has dropped sharply, the life expectancy of ordinary people has increased significantly, and the female fertility rate has remained at the pre-modern high level for a certain period of time.
From this fertility rate map, we can intuitively see what the population wave looks like.
It scattered from the United Kingdom, crossed the Atlantic Ocean to the west and reached the Americas.
went east across the European continent, and then affected China and Japan in East Asia. Going south, it spread across North Africa and other places, and also affected Australia.
In 1927, the world's population reached 2 billion. This time it doubled from 1 billion to 2 billion. It only took humans 123 years.
It has been 48 years since 1974. Although the world's population has not yet doubled, it is already fast.
However, with the passage of time, under the combined effect of factors such as urbanization and the increasing education level of women, the female fertility rate has begun to decline.
In an agricultural society that relies on the sky for food, people are willing to have children because population is productivity.
However, with the development of society, children are no longer the family's labor force and heavy assets .
Many people have discovered that having children nowadays not only cannot improve the overall competitiveness of the family, but can also exhaust parents to death.
The industrial revolution has become the best contraceptive pill in modern society.
Sub-Saharan Sub-Saharan Africa is the least modernized region in the world and the last wave of the population wave.
It is conceivable that when Africa also achieves comprehensive modernization, mankind will completely enter the final stage of Universe 25.
Choi Jae-cheon (최재천), professor of animal behavior at Seoul National University, once made some shocking remarks.
also stated the root cause of South Korea’s extremely poor fertility rate.
He said that people who choose to have children in Korea must be fools, and their IQs are probably not even in double digits.
Indeed, it is already too difficult to live in South Korea, let alone raise children.
In a country with a population of more than 50 million, there are more than 100,000 cram schools on record.
70% of the income of ordinary families is spent on tutoring for their children. Many families would rather go into debt to send their children to tutoring classes.
Work takes up most of the time in life, leaving little time for Koreans to sleep.
On March 19, 2021 Global Sleep Day,
OECD and Simmons surveys jointly announced the sleep situation of Koreans:
Koreans sleep on average 7 hours and 51 minutes a day, which is at the bottom compared to other OECD member countries and is a proper "sleep poor country".
Even if you have been in a state of imbalance between work and rest for a long time, you still have to face workplace bullying when you go to work.
According to data released by the National Human Rights Commission of Korea (국가인권위원회) in 2017,
75.7% of Koreans in their 20s have experienced bullying in the workplace at least once in the past year.
For Koreans in their 30s, the percentage drops to 70.9%.
The most terrifying thing is the "2021 Causes of Death Statistics" report released by the Korean Statistics Office.
Looking at each age group, suicide is the number one killer among young people aged 10 to 39.
In 2021, a total of 13,352 people died of suicide in South Korea,
which means that on average, 36.6 people end their lives every day.
South Korea has ranked first among OECD member countries in terms of suicide rate for several consecutive years.
There is a bridge on the Han River in Seoul that connects Mapo-gu and Yeongdeungpo-gu in Seoul at both ends.
Although this bridge is not the most magnificent bridge on the Han River, it is the weirdest one.
Because in addition to its official name " Mapo Bridge ", it also has an alias "Suicide Bridge".
Between 2009 and 2012, as many as 110 people committed suicide by jumping from Mapo Bridge.
In mid-2012, the Seoul government and Samsung Insurance Company held the "Building a Bridge of Life" event.
renovated the bridge.
Whenever a pedestrian passes by, the lights on the bridge guardrail will light up and display a series of warm greetings.
For example, "You are very tired", "Don't be sad", "Look up" and so on.
However, what is ironic is that in the second year after the bridge was renovated, the suicide rate here increased six times.
Some experts said that ordinary people may feel warm when seeing these slogans,
but for people who have already thought of committing suicide, these slogans are particularly dazzling.
"I am already so desperate, do you want even a bridge to mock me?"
For young Koreans, life is full of thorns from the starting line.
In this introverted, repressive, and even deformed social environment,
they have no courage to live, so how can they expect the arrival of new life?
With the lowest fertility rate and the highest suicide rate, South Korea is really domineering.
But we don’t need to laugh at South Korea.
The fertility rate in more than 30 countries around the world has fallen below the warning line of 1.5, most of which are developed countries.
Internationally, it is generally believed that the fertility rate of 1.5 is a "highly sensitive warning line."
Once the fertility rate falls below 1.5 and maintains it for a period of time, the country or region is likely to fall into the "low fertility trap" and never climb out.
Many countries are eager to compete with South Korea for the low birth rate championship.
Asia's most powerful countries include Japan and Singapore, and Europe's Spain, Italy, Greece , Finland are also eyeing it.
Among developed countries, only Israel has a fertility rate that has reached the generation replacement level of 2.1.
The reason why Israel’s fertility rate is so outstanding is not only the series of policies promulgated by the country to encourage fertility and the unique education system, but also historical factors.
We have said before that the Jews were repeatedly bullied and massacred in history, and the Jewish nation has never forgotten the danger of national subjugation and genocide.
In recent years, even China has sounded the alarm on population.
Before the 1970s, China's total fertility rate once exceeded 6, and then the far-reaching family planning policy was launched.
After the 1980s, the government stipulated that a couple could only have one child, and those who had more children would have to accept financial and administrative penalties.
The one-child policy has lasted for more than 30 years, until the "two-child policy for single parents" was opened in 2011, the "two-child policy for single parents" was opened in 2013, and the two-child policy was fully launched in 2016.
In 2021, the central government launched a three-child policy.
But at this time, the total fertility rate, which has been falling all the way, is like a wild horse that has escaped the reins and cannot be pulled back.
China’s seventh census data shows that in 2020, China’s total fertility rate fell to 1.3, the lowest in the world.
The fertility rate announced by the National Bureau of Statistics in 2021 is even more exaggerated, only 1.15.
Japan, which has a serious aging population, still has a fertility rate of 1.3.
House prices remain high, education is inflamed like crazy, work has little money and many things to do, coupled with the economic shutdown caused by the epidemic, young people now dare not even get married. Why do you still want to have children?
With sluggish policies, an unfriendly fertility environment, and a lack of childcare support, no one can say whether China will fall into a "low fertility trap."
But the current situation is indeed not optimistic.
The most terrifying thing is that the "Research Report on the Current Situation of Infertility in China" shows that
the incidence of infertility in China has climbed from 2.5% to 3% 20 years ago to 12.5% to 15% today.
html The infertility curse on the mice in universe No. 425 is coming true in human society.
What we may lose is not only the desire to have children today, but also the ability to have children tomorrow.
The United Nations once predicted that the world's population will peak at 10.4 billion around 2080,
and dynamically maintain this number until 2100, and then begin to decline slowly.
However, many demographers hold different opinions. They believe that the turning point of population is just around the corner.
Speaking of this, someone must have asked, isn’t population reduction a good thing?
With fewer people, it should be easier to find a job, right? The competition shouldn’t be that fierce anymore, right?
Houses should be cheap, right? Life should be better, right?
If this is what you really think, I can only say that you are still too young and too simple.
Low Desire Society
On January 7, 1989, Emperor Showa (Hirohito) of Japan passed away.
That night, Tokyo’s Ginza was filled with white lanterns. However, the people under the lanterns had no intention of being sad.
They lingered in front of the bright windows, laughed in luxurious restaurants, and some were disappointed because their idols' concerts were canceled during the national mourning period.
After World War II, Japan quickly rose from the ruins and created a world economic miracle.
Ideas such as "Japan is No. 1" and "There are no poor people in Japan" ran through the entire 1980s as an ideological myth.
In the last five years of Showa , from 1985 to 1989, Japanese personal wealth doubled.
At the end of the year, Tokyo companies have to pay more than ten months of monthly salary as year-end bonus.
Legend has it that there was a construction company that only launched its business for 6 months. As a result, executives complained everywhere that it was "not in a recession."
In 1990, the United States' New York Times published a news article:
Japan, which is only the size of California, has a total land market value estimated at US$15 trillion, five times that of the entire United States.
This makes Americans wonder, who won World War II?
At that time, all Japanese people believed that their economic train would never stop.
On December 29, 1989, the last working day of the first year of Heisei, the train speed reached its peak,
The Japanese stock index reached 38,915 points. Then, a harsh brake sound sounded, and the train derailed and rushed into the wilderness.
Since then, Japanese economy has started a lost 30 years.
In 1995, Japan's fertility rate fell below 1.5, and it has never been able to get out of the "low fertility trap" since then.
After 2003, the number of children under the age of 15 in Japan was less than the total number of cats and dogs in Japan.
Since 2010, Japan’s total population has begun to decrease. So are the Japanese living a better life today?
The famous Japanese economic critic Kenichi Ohmae published a book in 2015 called "Low Desire Society".
He lamented in the book: Today's Japanese young people have no desires, no dreams, and no motivation. Japan has fallen into a low-desire society.
The concept of a so-called low-desire society is that no matter how prices change, consumption cannot be stimulated and the economy does not grow significantly.
The number of young home buyers is declining year by year. Most young people have no interest in buying cars, houses, getting married, or having children. The stay-at-home culture is prevalent and people eat three simple meals a day.
The Japanese stock index fell all the way from more than 38,000 points to more than 7,000 points at the lowest point.
Many people’s life savings were wiped out. The property market has not escaped the fate of collapse.
Fewer people are buying houses, so it seems natural that house prices should fall.
But many people bought a house when the price was high, and then the house price dropped to half or even one-third and a quarter of the original value.
The loans available were only a penny, so they had to live frugally and spend the rest of their lives paying off the debt.
Another problem that goes hand in hand with low fertility rate is aging.
According to 2021 data released by Japan’s Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications,
Japan’s elderly population over 65 years old has reached 36.27 million, accounting for 29.1% of Japan’s total population.
is truly the "oldest" country in the world.
25.1% of Japanese people over 65 years old are still working.
If the age range is narrowed to 65 to 69 years old, the proportion is as high as 50.3%.
If the elderly do not retire, where will the young people get the opportunity to take up the job?
Some people say that old people will die one day. When the time comes, there will be fewer people, and the competition will naturally not be so fierce.
When looking at the relationship between population and employment, we should not only see the population as a "producer",
we must also see the population as a "consumer".
With a declining birthrate and an aging population, society lacks not only labor force, but also consumption power.
When the population decreases and overall social consumption declines, capitalists will naturally reduce recruitment.
What is even more unfortunate is that in this race between workers and capitalists,
capitalists with a keener sense of smell can always run ahead. The decline in the number of jobs is always faster than the decline in the number of workers.
Japan’s today may be the tomorrow of many countries. So is there any way to reverse the decline?
Unfortunately, in a world with serious class solidification, it is extremely difficult to find effective solutions.
French writer Alexandre Dumas said in a letter at the end of "The Count of Monte Cristo":
All human wisdom will be contained in these two words: Wait and hope.
The real reason why people are not getting married and having children today is that they have lost hope for tomorrow.
There is no such thing as low desire, it is just helplessness towards reality.
Maybe we can find some kind of solution in the future, but we don’t know how much time is left for mankind?
As a prediction video for 2023, I actually don’t want to feel so sad.
Finally, I would like to give you some words from Teacher Luo Xiang, hoping it can heal your life every day.
Not everyone’s dream must be to “earn another 100 million first.”
Not only photography, diving and traveling around the world can be called a hobby.
Life is like a marathon, but there are countless ending points. Everyone has their own track.
We live in this world and there will be a lot of pain.
But only after experiencing pain can we better understand ordinary happiness and how happy it is.
wishes everyone no illness or disaster in 2023, happiness and good health, and the ability to experience ordinary happiness without experiencing pain.
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