Some time ago, when the country began to relax its epidemic prevention policies, people who had been suppressed for three years were almost cheering, but the epidemic situation in the past few days has made many people worry.

Some time ago, when the country began to relax its epidemic prevention policies, people who had been suppressed for three years were almost cheering, but the epidemic situation in the past few days has made many people worry. Internet V Hu Xijin also said that he was ready to be infected. I myself have also heard people around me say that in the future, most people may be infected with the new coronavirus. At present, even schools where crowds gather have resumed classes, but many parents dare not send their children to school at all. In some classes, there were only three or five students coming to the classroom. After two days, I found that the teacher was so angry that I had to put the students home.

Maybe many people thought that after the release, they would be able to return to normal life: those who should go to work and earn money to support their families, those who should go to school, those who should go to school, those who should go to school, those who should go to school, those who should go to school, those who should go to school, those who should go to work, those who should go to school, those who should go to school, those who should go to school, those who should go to school, those who should go to school, those who should go to school, those who should go to school, those who should be positive for are afraid of people in their classmates and teachers, and when the weather is cold, they doubt whether they are positive if they have symptoms of cold... In the past, people went to buy medicine to treat the disease when they got sick, but now people are rushing to grab a bunch of cold medicines and stocking them up at home waiting for the disease.

During this period, jokes about "yang" can be seen everywhere: the streets are full of " Yang Guo " and "Yang Kang" - people who have tested positive and those who have recovered after the positive. What's more amazing is that there are "Wang Chongyang" and "Ouyang Feng" - people who have been exposed again and again and again and those who are going crazy after the positive. The names of "Yang Di" and "Guo Xiang" have been registered as trademarks: the former is because it is homophonic to Yang Di, while the latter is the so-called "never Yang Di" in life. Some people even said: "If you don't know a 'Xiaoyang person', please review your social skills." Recently, big data experts have deduced the arrival of the first round of infection peaks across the country through the Baidu search index.

According to Former deputy director of the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention and member of the expert group of the National Joint Prevention and Control Mechanism for the New Coronavirus Pneumonia, said: "When the first wave of large-scale shocks reaches its peak, the infection rate in our population may reach about 60%, and then it will gradually fall back to a stable period. In the end, we may experience infections of 80%-90% of people." From this point of view, it seems that most people will be positive sooner or later. Now many people even say, "Since everyone will have yang sooner or later, then chiyang is not as good as dawn sun."

Is it true that most people will be positive sooner or later? First of all, I want to tell you that the current medical experts say is based on model speculation. As professionals, they have scientific basis for saying this, but since it is speculation, it cannot guarantee that it is absolutely 100% accurate. Experts must fully consider all worst-case scenarios when speculating on the future epidemic situation. In this way, we can be relatively calm in dealing with the epidemic in the future. It is always better to do more useless preparations than to realize that the preparation is not strong when the disaster comes.

In other words, experts have inferred the most serious situations that may occur in the future based on scientific models. As for whether the situation will be so severe at that time, it depends on the epidemic prevention work in the future. Judging from the experience of the United States after the liberation, about one-third of people have passed. You should know that the United States will release it much earlier than we do. Of course, one out of every three people is a very high proportion, but this also proves that at least more than half of the people in American society have not yet been positive. Of course, without conducting large-scale nucleic acid test for at the social level, some asymptomatic positive people may not be exposed.

From this, it is speculated that the positive people who appear after the United States has relaxed should account for at least 1/3 of the total population. As for how many positive people are in actual positives, it is hard to say. As we all know, in the past three years, we have been stricter than the United States in epidemic prevention and control. Even after the relaxation, we should still adhere to some necessary epidemic prevention measures: wear masks when going out, maintain social distance, adhere to washing hands frequently, and try to avoid crowded places... Each of us must be the first responsible person for our own health. Only people who are diagnosed with illness in the United States will wear masks, and the remaining residents generally do not take any protective measures.

In the case of such a situation in the United States, the positive persons who have been exposed can still be controlled at about 1/3. If we could do better than Americans, how could it happen that 80%-90% of people are infected? , which has been raging for three years, still sees no signs of disappearing. Now it seems unlikely that the new crown will suddenly disappear like SARS in the past. Therefore, to solve this problem, we can only rely on the future development of human biomedical technology. This means that the new coronavirus will exist for a long time in the future. This is almost universally known, but how long is this long term?

Now no one in the world can tell when the new crown epidemic will end. The worst case scenario is that the new coronavirus will continue to exist in the next few decades and even hundreds of years. This means that most of us may not see the day when the epidemic ends. Of course this is the worst case. This may not necessarily happen in the future. If we assume that the COVID-19 pandemic will really last for decades or even more than a hundred years, then it is really possible that most people will be infected at least once. After all, for such a long time, anyone may respond to the old saying, "If you walk on the night long, you will hit ghosts."

Of course I also said that this is just the worst case. No one can accurately predict whether this will happen in the future. We cannot imagine what will happen decades later. Now we only say that 80%-90% of people will be infected in the peak stage of the epidemic in the next few months. Of course, whether this will happen depends on our behavior: if each of us takes personal protection with a responsible attitude towards our own health and safety, we can avoid this phenomenon; if we take an irresponsible attitude towards our own health and safety, it is hard to say.

A strong virus with an excessively high mortality rate in cannot survive the host after it dies. This determines that the mutation trend of virus is that the infectivity gradually increases, the treatment time increases, and the pathogenicity of gradually decreases. The current Omickron has decreased compared with the original strain of the new coronavirus and other subsequent variants of , but at the same time, the infectiousness of Omickron has been further enhanced compared with the previous strain. Omickron may not have a big impact on some young people with strong immunity, but may have a big impact on the elderly, children and some people with underlying diseases.

What's more, the new crown is different from infectious diseases such as measles , rubella , hepatitis A : infection with the new crown once will not be immune to for life. Even if you have strong immunity and can withstand it, once the infection will reduce your immunity. Therefore, repeated infection will increase the risk of severe . Since the general trend of virus mutation of is that infectivity gradually increases and pathogenicity gradually decreases, the later the infection will cause lower overall harm to the body. Although Omickron's toxicity is lower than that of previous new coronavirus strains, the mortality rate is still higher than that of the cold virus. If you take a step back, even if you can avoid the cold virus, you should avoid it as much as possible.

night infection is better than early infection, and less infection is better than more infection. Imagine what would happen if 180%-90% of the people in the country were infected at the same time? This situation will inevitably lead to a run of medical resources across the country. Many people may not be able to see a doctor at all by then. Besides, 80%-90% of people are sick and who else will go to farm? Who works? What do people eat and drink? If we take a step back, even if national 80%-90% of people are infected at the same time, then if one-third of people in the country are infected like the United States, it will be a heavy blow to our economy.

At present, we must try to make ourselves and the people around us infected late and less infected. takes a step back and says that even if you are unfortunately infected, you must actively cooperate with the treatment.Taking personal protection seriously is to be responsible for the health of oneself and others, and to contribute to the national epidemic prevention work with practical actions. The new coronavirus is highly transmissible. Especially in confined spaces and between family members, it is easier to spread, so whether you want to reduce the chance of infection at home or going out, you should effectively "isolate" and "disinfection". can keep a certain isolation from your family even at home: Stay alone, eat alone, and keep a distance when talking.

The confrontation between humans and viruses is the confrontation between immunity and virus toxicity. Staying up late, smoking, and drinking are all behaviors that may lead to a decrease in immunity. Proper exercise is beneficial to to enhance immunity , but excessive vigorous exercise will lead to a decrease in immunity. Maintaining good hygiene habits is also an important aspect of reducing the risk of infection. No matter what time you are, you should develop the good habit of washing your hands frequently: wash your hands before and after meals, wash your hands when you come back from going out, and wash your hands in time after touching the surface of some high-risk items. Be careful not to touch your mouth and nose with your hands before washing your hands. At the same time, you should also pay attention to ventilation at home and do a good job of daily cleaning...