To welcome the New Year, the Russian military used air superiority to launch another large-scale attack on Ukraine. It is reported that the wreckage of some Russian drones even has the words "Happy New Year" written in Russian. This shows that the Russian military deliberately "shows off its power" to Ukraine and uses air strikes as a "New Year's gift" to Ukraine.
However, the Russian army was severely "retaliated" by the Ukrainian army before they were proud. On the second day of the New Year, Russia received bad news from the front line.
According to a report by the Russian Satellite News Agency on the 2nd, the Russian Ministry of Defense claimed that the Ukrainian army used "Haimas" long-range artillery to carry out strikes. The temporary Russian military station in the Makeevka area of the Donetsk People's Republic was attacked, resulting in the death of 63 Russian soldiers.
For Russia, the one-time loss of 63 Russian troops was a heavy loss. Especially after the Russian army carried out large-scale air strikes against Ukraine, the Ukrainian army's counterattack achieved such great results. It can be said that the Russian army was severely slapped in the face by the Ukrainian army.
Also on the 2nd, the Russian Ministry of Defense announced that the Russian army had eliminated nearly 70 Ukrainian troops in the direction of Donetsk , and the Lugansk militia had eliminated as many as 50 Ukrainian troops in one day.
Regardless of whether the Russian war report is exaggerated or not, judging from the usual exchange ratio between Russia and Ukraine, Russia suffered a big loss this time. Russia’s Ministry of Defense has also made a commitment to provide necessary assistance and support to the relatives of the victims. The Russian army suffered heavy losses this time, and the Russian army is bound to regain its ground. But the question is, what kind of revenge will the Russian army launch?
The offensive power of the Russian army's ground forces has not changed much, and the Russian army's air raids have become commonplace. It seems that the Russian army's taking small strongholds or increasing the intensity of its air raids are not enough to save the Russian army's face. Since the Russian army withdrew from the city of Kherson, the Russian army has been in urgent need of a big victory to revive its morale.
Of course, on the line of contact between Russia and Ukraine, the Russian army should not give up its established strategy for the time being. The Russian army's tactics of tightly defending in the directions of Kherson and Zaporozhye while actively attacking in the direction of Donetsk to attract the Ukrainian army are quite wise. The Russian army not only reduced the defensive pressure in the direction of Zaporozhye, but also "bleeded" the Ukrainian army crazily with relatively low losses.
However, the attack on the temporary base in Makeevka once again exposed the shortcomings of the Russian army in information technology, which the Russian army cannot take lightly. The Ukrainian army has the information support of NATO , and can use the Haimas artillery to launch precise attacks on the Russian army's command center and weapons depot. However, the Haimas has a limited range, and the Russian army has air superiority and can use cruise missiles to destroy the Haimas system. Unless the Ukrainian army's ground forces achieve a far-reaching breakthrough, the Ukrainian army's threat to the Russian army in the state of positional warfare is limited.
As the Ukrainian army equips the "Patriot" air defense missile system, long-range missiles and drones from the West enter Ukraine on a large scale, the pressure on the Russian army will increase significantly. Russia originally counted on the power of the "winter offensive". However, this year's warm winter's impact on EU and Kiev was far lower than Russia expected. The ground in Ukraine could not be frozen for a long time. The long muddy period caused considerable restrictions on the Russian army and gave the Ukrainian army time to accumulate counterattack power.
For Russia, there is actually not much time left for the Russian army. If the Russian army cannot cut off the West's supply of weapons to Ukraine as soon as possible, or go directly to Kiev, with the arrival of a new round of Western aid, the possibility of the Ukrainian army tearing apart the Russian defense line and rushing towards Berdyansk is not small. Once the Ukrainian army achieves this goal, the Ukrainian army is expected to seal the victory.
On January 2, local time, Valdis Dombrovskis, the Executive Vice President for Economic Affairs of the European Commission, issued a warning that the EU must reduce its budget deficit and adopt a tighter fiscal policy. However, faced with the burden of aid to Ukraine, the EU still has no determination to get rid of the burden.
When issuing a New Year's address, French President Macron emphasized that France is committed to helping Ukraine achieve victory, and other Western countries also reiterated their support for Ukraine. Russia can hardly expect the West to give up aid to Ukraine and can only count on ending the war through military means.