Some time ago, the heads of state of China and the United States met during the G20 summit. US President Biden made a "five no and four unintentional" commitment to China, once again reaffirming that it will pursue a one-China policy and will not support "Taiwan independence." However, facts have proven that the United States simply says one thing and does another.
Recently, the United States has continued to strengthen its illegal collusion with the Taiwan authorities and has continued to send officials to Taiwan. While Biden approved the seventh arms sales to Taiwan during his term, he signed the "National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2023", which contains a large number of negative provisions related to Taiwan.
Therefore, the United States keeps claiming that it wants to manage differences with China, but what they do is undoubtedly exacerbating the situation and creating artificial crises. In order to counter the above-mentioned actions, the People's Liberation Army recently dispatched 71 military aircraft to patrol Taiwan Island, sending a strong signal to the United States and Taiwan.
As the risk of conflict across the Taiwan Strait continues to increase, there are more and more voices predicting that the mainland will "contain Taiwan" with force. The most mainstream statements in the West currently say that the mainland will take action around 2027, and this conclusion has been confirmed by the Pentagon and the top brass of the US military.
In response, Kuomintang official He Yicheng, head of the Taiwan Youth Federation, issued a statement saying that the United States is the common enemy faced by China and the United States. Once the unification war begins, Russia may not directly "attack Taiwan", but will help the mainland block the US military. By then, the US military may not even have a chance to fight the People's Liberation Army. The
article pointed out that after the Biden administration successfully provoked a conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the Taiwan Strait issue is becoming their next target. In fact, in many other fields, the United States has clearly regarded China and Russia as opponents, so the latter can only choose to stick together for warmth.
To prove his point of view, He Yicheng also took the recent Sino-Russian joint maritime military exercise as an example. The main area of this exercise is located in the sea east of Zhoushan to Taizhou . It is the closest joint exercise to Taiwan in 10 years, even closer than Taipei to Kaohsiung .
Therefore, both the island and Western countries are highly vigilant about the exercise and have been paying close attention to every move of China and Russia. In fact, this is not the first time that remarks like Russia will assist the mainland in "containing Taiwan" have appeared.
As early as August this year, when the People's Liberation Army held the "Taiwan Lock" military exercise, some Taiwan media said that if the mainland chooses to use force, Moscow is likely to take action to check and balance Japan, and then it will be unable to intervene in the Taiwan Strait. The article concludes by emphasizing that when it is difficult for the United States and Japan to effectively intervene, the Democratic Progressive Party and "Taiwan independence" elements may not end well.
Frankly speaking, we have always adhered to the policy of "harmony and reunification" until now, and hope to achieve cross-strait reunification through political negotiations and other means. But the reality is that this road is extremely difficult. For now, let alone talking about reunification on the island, even if you say a few fair words to the mainland, you will be severely criticized by the Taiwan authorities.
In other words, even if we are unwilling, we must admit that the hope of "peaceful reunification" is very slim. It can be said that as long as the DPP and other separatist forces still have extensive influence in Taiwan, the two sides will not have the opportunity to negotiate. Therefore, the mainland must always be prepared for the worst.
Once "peace and reunification" is completely out of the question, or the Taiwan authorities break through our red line, the People's Liberation Army will never be soft when it's time to take action. Perhaps aware of the danger, the DPP is frantically looking for ways to save itself. For example, Tsai Ing-wen has just announced the extension of compulsory military service.
And some Western countries are also releasing information to confuse the public and try to make the Taiwan authorities firm in their determination to "reject reunification." The American think tank pointed out that if the mainland wants to successfully attack Taiwan, it is likely to need to use 1.2 million troops, which is larger than the Normandy landing .
However, the above conclusion obviously greatly overestimates the strength of Taiwan's military . Politicians on the island actually know better than anyone else what the level of Taiwan's military is, and the military level is secondary. The most serious problem of Taiwan's military is that it lacks the will to fight and does not know who it is fighting for.
In recent years, many knowledgeable people on the other side of the Taiwan Strait have begun to realize that reunification is the general trend, and have called on the Taiwan authorities to negotiate with the mainland as soon as possible.There is not much time left for the Taiwan authorities. If you don't want to become a sinner of the nation, you should make the right decision as soon as possible and don't do something that will be remembered forever for personal political gain.