According to the latest news from foreign media, Ukrainian Ministry of Energy issued an announcement stating that in order to ensure the stability of its own energy system supply, Ukrainian announced that it would suspend foreign power exports from October 11 due to Ukrainian energy facilities being attacked by Russian military missile . Ukraine also pointed out that this move will intensify the energy pressure on EU , which implied: "I was attacked and I was almost out of power, so I can only shut down your power supply first." The news of
once again sparked heated discussions, and everyone speculated that Ukraine's move is further threatening the EU to increase its aid for it? Or is it really that its own energy supply is also in short supply?
Because just recently, on October 6, Ukrainian President Zelensky just issued a warning to the EU, saying that because of its insufficient heating energy and the fact that Ukrainians are still supplying cheap electricity to Europe at this time, in order to successfully survive the cold winter, they may stop supplying electricity to Europe in the near future, which may take a few days or weeks.
is really not a big deal for everyone to think too much, because you just posted a message a few days ago that you immediately announced that you were going to cut off the power after being attacked by Russian missiles today. Anyone can't help but speculate on this matter. So what is the truth about this matter? Let me analyze it for you today.
First of all, let me talk about my opinion. This matter is obviously Zelensky further threatened to seek assistance on the grounds that he was attacked by Russian missiles! Why do I think so? Because Ukraine's electricity is obviously very rich, there is no need to worry about its own energy supply!
First of all, we need to understand that Ukraine is a country with abundant electricity resources. Its domestic nuclear power generation , thermal power generation, wind power generation and photovoltaic power generation have all reached the world's leading level. It also has extremely rich uranium ore resources in the country, which is enough to support Ukraine's nuclear power generation for a long time.
Not to mention anything else, just in 2020, Ukraine's nuclear power accounted for more than 50% of the total domestic power generation. Think about other types of power generation facilities, do you think Ukraine will lack electricity?
As early as March this year, Zelensky announced that Ukraine would connect the power system with Europe to the grid, and also reached a relevant transmission agreement with Europe to export a large amount of cheap electricity to many European countries. Kiev also stated that Ukraine's electricity export potential to Europe may reach an astonishing 2,500 megawatts in the future.
Some people may say that the Zaporo thermonuclear power plant , which originally belonged to Ukraine, has been occupied by Russia and turned into a state-owned state, resulting in shortcomings in nuclear power generation in Ukraine and the power generation capacity has dropped seriously, so Ukraine wants to stop power supply.
But the fact is that Ukraine's Khmelniksky Oblast , Rovno Oblast, and Nikolayev Oblast still have a large number of nuclear power units for nuclear power generation. As long as these large nuclear power plants are present, even if Ukraine is deeply trapped in war, electricity will still be self-sufficient and even have some surplus.
During the period when the Russian-Ukraine conflict broke out, many places in Ukraine were defeated by the Russian army, and many domestic power plants were attacked and destroyed. Logically speaking, Ukraine's power generation should have become very limited at that time, but the fact is that Ukraine has never stopped exporting foreign power, which shows that their electricity production capacity is far beyond our imagination.
Someone may ask, is it possible that the missile attack on October 10 affected Ukraine's electricity production? I can only say that you are thinking too much. Let’s look at a set of data:
According to Ukrainian media reports, the Russian army launched a total of 75 high-precision guided missiles on October 10, 41 of which were intercepted. The remaining 34 missiles attacked Kiev, Kharkov , Dnepro, Lviv , Khmelniksky Oblast, Kreviri and other cities respectively. It is reported that the Russian army specifically attacked Ukrainian infrastructure this time, which seems to have little impact on power generation.
So, the lack of electricity in Ukraine itself is a false proposition.So why did Zelensky announce that he would stop exporting electricity to Europe?
Because just recently, the German government repeatedly refused to provide military assistance such as main battle tanks to Ukraine, and Kiev expressed strong dissatisfaction with this. But even so, Germany is still unwilling to continue to aid Ukraine. German Chancellor Scholz said that they had already given Ukraine enough military aid before, and if they supported this war, it would become very dangerous and difficult to control!
I believe Zelensky also saw that many European countries have gradually lost their motivation and interest in aiding Ukraine. Zelensky had to threaten Europe by cutting off power supply, and while venting his dissatisfaction, he achieved the goal of continuing to obtain a large amount of military aid. European countries must know this in their hearts. What is more funny is that Zelensky is not just a simple threat, but is making European countries "choose one of two". Few people know that shortly after the Crimea Bridge was bombed, Zelensky was invited to attend an online seminar of an Australian think tank. During the meeting, he suddenly led the topic to this so-called "choose one of two".
Zelensky said that like many EU countries, Ukraine has previously relied heavily on natural gas imports. Although there are some natural gas resources in China, it is still far from reaching the level of self-sufficiency. The outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict has caused Ukraine to be unable to import natural gas in Russia. Now that the cold winter is approaching, Putin has successfully taken the Zaporo thermonuclear power plant into its pocket. Ukraine lacks electricity and the people now lack heating resources, so they have to use excess electricity for heating.
In response, Zelensky proposed: Either European countries provide the Ukrainian people with natural gas resources that are enough for the people to spend the winter, or European countries will strongly support the Ukrainian army and help them regain the Zaporo thermonuclear power plant. Ironically, after Zelensky's speech, the delegates were silent, and until the end of the meeting, the delegates were unable to make any statement.
So will European countries provide Ukraine with enough natural gas for winter? This is obviously impossible! They themselves are so short that they have no spare time for Ukraine? Since Russia stopped supplying, they have to spend three or four times the price to import from the United States. Even a series of products such as "electric blankets" and "warm babies" in my country are selling in Europe. Want natural gas? It would be better to kill them!
Then there is only one option left! European countries knew in their hearts that Zelensky's purpose was to require the EU to provide Ukraine with more advanced offensive weapons and more economic assistance to help him regain the Zaporo thermonuclear power plant that was acquired by Putin, otherwise what awaits them is Ukraine to stop supplying power!
This time the Russian missile attack has even more reason to stick to this statement! Look, I was bombed by a missile, don’t worry about where I was blown up. Anyway, I’m short of energy supply now and it’s time to cut off the power supply. As long as you help me defeat Russia, the power will not be cut off, so come the aid quickly!
can only be said that this farce is somewhat ridiculous. Originally, Ukraine was just a tool to support Western countries to fight against Russia. Now, this "tool" has begun to prick them. It is really impermanent!
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