As winter gets closer, the Russian-Ukrainian conflict is about to enter a critical period. Whoever wins the final victory may depend on the situation of the winter, and the cold weather is not good for Ukraine or Europe. By then, the Ukrainian army will face various logistical difficulties. Although they are fighting on the local level, the lack of energy such as natural gas and will be a big trouble for the Ukrainian side. In addition, the Russian-Ukraine conflict is essentially not a conflict between Russia and Ukraine, but a game between Russia and , NATO , so it is very necessary to restrain NATO countries. Winter is Russia's "magic weapon" to make it compromise.
This trick was originally very effective. Previously, some European countries had intended to bow to Russia, hoping to buy energy from Russia again. However, due to the explosion of the Nord Stream pipeline, this trick has obviously become a "scrap chess" and the winter battle situation will become confusing. What worries Russia even more is that the Ukrainian army may make big moves in winter because the United States is adjusting its military aid tactics. Although the Russian side issued an nuclear threat to , warning the US not to aid Ukraine and other destructive weapons such as long-range missiles , the United States does not seem to be afraid at all and continues to aid Ukraine's major weapons, and the number of "anti-Russian killing weapons" will double.
As we all know, the most lethal weapon among the U.S. aided Ukraine is the "Haimas" rocket launcher , which not only gave the Ukrainian army long-range strike capabilities, but also caused the Russian army to suffer heavy losses, and it is a veritable "anti-Russian artifact". However, the Russian army has not destroyed a " Haimas ", but the Ukrainian army is about to obtain more rocket launchers . It is understood that the United States has added a batch of US$1.1 billion military aid plans, including 18 "Haimas" and ammunition. In this way, the firepower of the Ukrainian army will double, and the Russian army's subsequent battle may not be easy to fight. In addition to "Haimas", there are hundreds of armored motor vehicles, heavy trucks and heavy trailers.
In addition, tactical communications, optical surveillance systems and drones are also among the assistance. It is not difficult to see that the US aid tactics have changed, and the Ukrainian army's tactics will also be replaced. Next, the Ukrainian army may pay more attention to firepower and rotational attacks, launch fast attacks as much as possible, and launch attacks before the enemy can react. It can also be regarded as " Blitzkrieg ". The characteristic of "Haimas" running after fighting can fully support this kind of playing style. If the Russian army's supply line is cut off again, the "good intention" retreat is likely to happen again.
So the Russian army must avoid this situation. The best way is to cut off the supply line of the Ukrainian army and prevent US military aid from arriving in Ukraine. This is what the Russian army should have done from the beginning. If the route of aid to Ukraine can be cut off early, the situation may not be like this. There are still many variables in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. Now the Russian army has fallen into a passive position. Even if it mobilizes 300,000 troops, it may not be sure to win in winter. The Russian army will definitely fight fiercely next.
(text/Xile)
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