An urgent practical question lays before China: When the United States has exhausted almost all its means, will it use war as the last "compensation" method. If so, what kind of strategy will the United States adopt: and China will be tough, or will they entangle allies and engage in "group fights"?
Given that the United States is at a watershed from prosperity to decline, this more radical response than the Cold War deserves extra vigilance.
On January 15, the Russian "Free Media" website published an editorial article titled "The Main Problem of the Era—Can the United States Block China's Development". The article pointed out that has been unable to prevent the rise of China through peaceful economic means, so the United States may be forced to adopt a more radical approach. The core problem is that once the United States takes the risk and China dies, then Washington will become the “outcast” of the times, and the world will face serious consequences.
The views of Russian media tend to adopt more crude and dangerous political methods by the United States. Especially in terms of overall strategy, Biden has previously stated that they are more willing to piece together an anti-China alliance and force China to submit to it through joint military and political pressure.
So specifically,With Biden officially taking over the White House on the 20th, what changes will he make compared to Trump?
First of all, Biden has a high probability of inheriting part of Trump's political legacy, but he will not completely deny it.
Throughout the more than 1,000 days of Trump’s performance, we will find a specific pattern: Whether it is his visit or participation in international conferences, it basically revolves around the main line of "America First" . The essence of the US priority is to protect the US's hegemonic position in the world through political, economic, diplomatic, military and other means.
After Bi came on stage, although it is unlikely to engage in Trump 's comprehensive attack method, he will also focus on the light and make precise strikes. As Biden said, he sees China as a direct trade competitor . This involves a point of knowledge- Many people think that economic warfare cannot be compared with modern warfare in terms of scale and intensity. That is a big mistake.
After the end of the Cold War, the idea of war as a means of victory has fallen behind, and all countries have devoted their energy to emerging energy wars, information warfare , and technological warfare.
Among them, technological warfare should be the main body, and the trade side has given the former a wider display space. The US's suppression of Chinese electronics companies such as Huawei and ZTE shows this trend. To put it bluntly, Biden's coming to power will still follow the idea of a trade war, but the focus of the attack is different.
Secondly, the United States is in the dual crisis of economic decline and political division, and the White House urgently needs to reunite and unite.
So what is the way to pass on the crisis? The answer may point to Asia-Pacific , to be precise about China's defense strategy. Australian media’s recently declassified US confidential document reads: The US uses the first, second and third island chain to block China in a three-dimensional way, and set the focus of defense on Taiwan Island. At the same time, the United States will conditionally help Japan and the Taiwan region to enrich its combat readiness to support the United States' Asia-Pacific strategy.
This document was published during the Cold War, more than 30 years ago. That is to say, when the United States is fighting the Soviet Union, it has already arranged a post-measure to guard against the rise of China. The United States has worked hard for its position in power. But the United States has ever thought about this question: If China and the United States go to war, will allies fight together?
To know that the era when the United States was the only one has become the past,Traditional allies of the United States, such as the European Union, began to shrink and even stand in line in the face of the rivalry between China and the United States. This shows that the cold war confrontation approach is no longer feasible. Countries such as France and Germany will not let themselves become strategic pawns driven by other countries for the so-called friendship.
Thirdly, Biden is likely to play the "balance card" with a large probability, and share the risk of confronting China with allies, and may make a partial compromise.
The biggest advantage of this is that the United States does not need to take the lead, it just needs to be a good "king of the mountain". But at the same time, there are problems- China's economic strength is faintly surpassing the United States. China-led Sino-European trade agreement and RECP will largely restrain the pace of US allies. Compared with confrontation, the foreign side pays more attention to cooperation; compared to the promise of the United States, the foreign side pays more attention to immediate interests.
In this way, the United States cannot restrict China and can only secretly hurt itself? We cannot look at the problem so superficially.
Although the United States is on the downside, it still has enough power to engage in so-called major power confrontation. As the American media said, Trump’s term failed to launch a foreign war, but when the Democrats came to power, everything may change. So, the Russian media’s concerns are not unreasonable, and it may also be kind.
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