The Japanese government has recently expanded the scope of military intelligence exchanges with foreign countries. In addition to the exchange of intelligence with the US military, the " Military Intelligence Protection Agreement " was signed with the United Kingdom, France, Australia, India and NATO. In recent days, Japan is in contact with the Philippines, hoping to share intelligence on Chinese military aircraft with the Philippines while exporting radars to the Philippines. However, due to the easing of relations between China and the Philippines, it is uncertain whether the Philippines can sign this agreement with Japan.
Japan uses air defense radar to lure the Philippines
Recently, in order to strengthen the surveillance of 东海 and Chinese military aircraft in the South China Sea, the Japanese government is discussing the sharing of Chinese military aircraft-related intelligence with the Philippines. In fact, as early as the beginning of 2016, the Japanese government had started to negotiate with the Philippines and Vietnam to discuss the signing of the "intelligence protection agreement". At that time, Japan thought that Japan, Vietnam, and the Philippines would improve the performance of their defense equipment. Information sharing was achieved in the actions of other countries' military forces, but later, due to various reasons, this agreement did not proceed.
Japanese FPS-XX radar
And this year, Japan and the Philippines put this issue on the agenda again. At present, due to the impact of the new crown pneumonia epidemic, government staff in Japan and the Philippines cannot sign the agreement face to face, so the two countries sign import and export contracts by mailing documents. If the Philippines signs, the contract will be signed within July.
Japan intends to export to the Philippines 3 sets of fixed radar systems and 1 set of mobile radar systems manufactured by Mitsubishi Electric. The Philippines plans to deploy radars in the northern region to monitor the airspace over the Bashi Channel between Philippines Luzon Island and Taiwan Island. This deployment location is very important, and it is necessary for Japan to share information about the South China Sea 巴海峡 and the East China Sea Miyako Strait with the Philippines.
Japan’s calculation is that if a Chinese military plane crosses the Bashi Channel northward and enters the Pacific over the Pacific, Japan’s weak radar surveillance system may cause the Chinese military plane to approach Japanese airspace. Chinese military aircraft have frequently flown over the Pacific Ocean in recent years, and entered the waters of Japan's Kii Peninsula in 2017. If Japan can obtain intelligence while the Chinese military aircraft flies through the Bashi Strait, it can dispatch early warning aircraft and fighter jets to prevent the Chinese military aircraft from approaching Japanese airspace.
More importantly, if the agreement is signed, it will take 4 years for Japan to complete the installation of radar in the Philippines. During this period, Japan can further deepen relations with the Philippines. If Japanese personnel can provide first-line guidance to Philippine military personnel, Can directly share the intelligence of Chinese military aircraft. After that, the signing of the "Military Intelligence Protection Agreement" with the Philippines was a matter of course.
However, due to the uncertain position of the Philippines, if Japan wants the Philippines to agree to the agreement on the exchange of information this time, it is estimated that it will not work hard.
Japanese exports to the Philippines, plus Taiwan’s interests
Japanese media stated that mainland China seeks to ensure the aviation advantage of attacking Taiwan when it regains Taiwan. Since 2016, Chinese Continental Army aircraft have frequently used 宫古海峡 and Bashi Channel as entrances and exits to fly around Taiwan, familiar with the flight route and surrounding environment.
Japan wants to try from the Philippines and conclude military exchange agreements with ASEAN countries.
Therefore, Japan believes that if Japan-Philippines intelligence sharing is implemented, it will be easier to connect Kyushu-Taiwan- The Philippines’ first island chain blockades the Chinese army, which is also indispensable for cooperation with Taiwan.
If Japan’s plan is known to some people in Taiwan, it may be touched. Because as the People's Liberation Army's activities in the sea and airspace around Japan and Taiwan Island become more frequent, the Taiwan authorities have always hoped that Taiwan and Japan can institutionalize the exchange of security information.
Straits TV current affairs commentator Jiang Minqin commented in this regard that Taiwan may be wishful thinking, and Japan will not exchange military intelligence with Taiwan, because in order to gain more mainland markets, Japan cannot deviate from the one-China principle.
Japan-Korea "Military Intelligence Protection Agreement" was cut by trade sanctions
In order to obtain first-hand military intelligence in time, Japan has taken great pains in the field of intelligence acquisition. However, there are also times when the ship capsizes.
Japan stated that if South Korea does not restart the "Military Intelligence Protection Agreement", the relationship between Japan and South Korea will be difficult to ease.
Japan and South Korea signed the "Military Intelligence Agreement" on November 23, 2016 Protection Agreement, "Agreement" is valid for one year, unless one of the parties object, the expiration of the automatic extension. However, in 2019, Japan and South Korea continued to conflict due to Japan's export control issues. Therefore, on August 22, 2019, South Korea announced that it would no longer renew the "Military Intelligence Protection Agreement" with Japan. However, South Korea said in November 2019 that if Japan removes export control measures, it can consider restarting the South Korea-Japan "Military Intelligence Protection Agreement."
Recently, the relationship between the United States and the Philippines has been cold. The strengthening of defense cooperation between Japan and the Philippines is of great significance for supporting the US-Philippines alliance. Japan has been building a gentle and friendly relationship with China. China and Japan have joined hands to fight the epidemic as an example. I believe that Japan should not cross the border in this matter and should not undermine Sino-Philippines relations and Sino-Japanese relations for the sake of US-Philippine relations. (Demining soldiers)
