text/Fatty eggplant
The Russian-Ukrainian conflict has not yet come to an end, and the crisis in West Asia has arrived. Recently, West Asia confronted and showed off its force at the border, and there was a battle to roll up its sleeves and fight. So, has this crisis escalated into a war?
(Iranian army is in exercise)
According to Global Network , citing AFP on November 22, a couple of "enemy" located in West Asia started to make trouble again, they are Iran and Azerbaijan . Recently, Iran suddenly mobilized heavy troops to carry out a large-scale military exercise in the northern area near the Azerbaijan border, dispatching a large number of tanks, , infantry fighting vehicles, drone , engineering troops, etc., and even the Revolutionary Guards' ballistic missile was launched. is not difficult to see that this exercise is for Azerbaijan.
The other party provoked to the door of his house, so naturally Afang would not sit idly by. In response, the Arab side also quickly mobilized a large number of armored troops to travel to the border and demonstrated to the Iranian side through "exercises". For a time, the two countries had hoarded more than 100,000 troops on the border, and the situation was unprecedentedly tense.
(Azerbaijani armored forces participated in the exercise)
As of now, it should be Iran that took the initiative to provoke this geopolitical crisis. However, Iran, which is mainly concerned about the affairs of the Middle East, should "roll up his sleeves" to Azerbaijan, a small country on the northern border for no reason? It turns out that the grudges between these two countries have been gone for more than a day.
Since Azerbaijan publicly supported the actions of the United States and Israel in 2016, relations between the two countries can be said to have deteriorated rapidly. , especially in , Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, Iran directly supported Azerbaijan's opponent Armenian , which made Azerbaijan so angry that he directly supported US sanctions on Iran. By last year, the two countries had already carried out "large-scale exercises" near the border, marking that the direct military confrontation between the two countries had reached a more serious level.
(Iran and Armenia hold leaders' meeting)
What is the direct cause of this conflict? It is . Because the big money owner behind Azerbaijan Türkiye , it is planning to vigorously promote the construction of a "Zangzur Economic Corridor" with Azerbaijan. The line is similar to the "Eurasian Caucasus Corridor" project and will directly connect Azerbaijan, Armenia and Turkey. Once is completed, it will greatly enhance the influence of Turkey in the Middle East. As a supporter of Armenia and an old rival to Turkey, Iran cannot sit idly by such matters, and naturally needs to use military means to curb its construction.
(Iranian armored forces maneuver on the border)
, while Russian expert Yasin pointed out that the grudges between Iran and Azerbaijan are more derived from "national issues." He pointed out that Azerbaijan has been part of Persian Empire in history until Persian lost in the Russian-Polish war, resulting in Azerbaijan being divided into Russian Empire at that time. You should know that Iran and Azerbaijan are currently the countries with the largest Shiite population in the world.
and have always dreamed of reviving Persian and recreating the "Shi'ite glory" Iran regards Azerbaijan as its "lost land". However, Azerbaijan has always been "involving his elbow". Not only has he hooked up with the United States and Israel, but he has also become an important partner of Turkey. This time, the direct contact has touched Iran's most sensitive nerves. can be said that even without that "Zangzur Corridor", the deepening conflict between the two sides will one day break out for other reasons.
(The Iraqi army fired rockets during exercises)
So, is this crisis escalating into a de facto war? Yasin said that the possibility is still very small at the moment - Although Russia has to focus all its energy on Ukraine, Turkey also maintains close relations with Russia, and Turkey and Iran are both Russian partners. At this time, it is probably not a good idea for Erdogan to provoke Russia. . Iran's current main security crisis comes from the United States and Israel that are eyeing covetously. Drawing out large troops to fight Azerbaijan will only allow the West to take advantage of the situation. Under such circumstances, the two countries may just be "pretending to be" on the border and emphasize their own positions just like last year.
