Russia has launched its first nuclear deterrence exercise since the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, codenamed "Thunder-2022" .
What signal did this exercise send? Will Russia really use the devastating nuclear weapon against Ukraine?
Nuclear weapons have always been a deterrent force that restricts the world. In almost everyone's impression, once nuclear weapons are activated, they will bring about a chain reaction and cause devastating disasters to mankind. If an nuclear bomb is put into Kiev , will Ukraine completely collapse?
A foreigner who claimed to have studied the nuclear war for 40 years put forward a shocking view. He believes that nuclear winter is a scam, and the power of nuclear weapons has been exaggerated. Even if all Russian nuclear arsenals are invested in Ukraine, it will not bring substantial changes to the war process, and it will not benefit Russia. This completely subverted my understanding of nuclear weapons.
Next, let’s introduce the basis for his 40 years of research. Do you agree with it?
Counterexample
From 1945 to 1992, the United States conducted a total of 1054 nuclear tests , up to 15 megatons and down to 20,000 tons of equivalents. All kinds of nuclear weapons have been tried, and it has not caused nuclear winter. Just imagine, the number of nuclear explosions in the world has been combined. Isn’t it not that the earth has not yet been destroyed? tml5
Besides, the United States invested two atomic bombs in Japan during the World War II . People say that there has been destroyed and the impact of nuclear radiation will reach a thousand years. However, after less than 100 years, we will look at the population of these two cities, which is close to 1.5 million. The locals are still eating locally produced agricultural products, and their lifespan is still the highest in the world. How can I explain this?
also has greater power than Hiroshima atomic bomb, such as the famous Chernobyl incident . is the largest concentrated radioactive material in history, which is equivalent to 400 times that of a nuclear bomb . When it comes to it, it always says that there is no suitable for living creatures to survive within a thousand years, but what about the fact? The Chernobyl ruins were overgrown with wildlife reoccupied there. nuclear weapons cannot destroy the earth. The earth has amazing recovery capabilities, but humans cannot recover.
Even if nuclear weapons cannot destroy humans, what is the real lethality if they are in the area of nuclear bomb explosion?
nuclear weapons real lethality
When the nuclear bomb explodes, the radioactive core instantly converts into energy and radiation , but the lethality of these radiations is differentiated.
Most radiation belongs to thermal radiation and visible light radiation, and disappears in just a few minutes of a second. If you are not exposed directly, you may survive even within the explosion range. , and hard radiation that really has fatal damage, has a short half-life of , and usually consumes in a few days. What does this mean? If Russia dropped a nuclear bomb into the center of Kiev, the main building of the city would still be there after the explosion, and no one even noticed that it was a nuclear bomb explosion. Because the combustion range of a nuclear bomb explosion is only two or three square miles, it is probably necessary to cover Kiev, 200 nuclear bombs . No matter how powerful nuclear warhead is, it cannot kill millions of people.
As for the "nuclear winter", he believes that it is just a statement that scientists deliberately exaggerated in order to curb the nuclear battle between the United States and the Soviet Union during the Carl Sagan period. As stated in "Star Wars", the power of the nuclear warhead seems insignificant under the power of a major volcanic eruption.
Secondary hazard of nuclear weapons
But don't get me wrong, the above just shows that the power of nuclear weapons has been demonized, and it cannot cause human destruction or the instantaneous overturn of a country. But it does not deny the danger and catastrophicity of nuclear weapons. Because as long as a nuclear bomb falls into Ukraine, Ukraine may collapse, not because of the explosion itself, but because of the global panic. There may be general bank runs, rush to buy items, traffic congestion, medical paralysis, chaos in public security, etc. Therefore, the economic and social structure destruction behind the nuclear explosion is the most serious . Nuclear bombs may not kill millions directly, but it can kill millions indirectly, and more.
This is not only a nuclear bomb. Look at the performance of the United States after the epidemic, Japan's mineral water purchase wave after the water supply is affected, etc. The most destructive thing in the world is always humans themselves . Those who always say that all human nuclear bomb explosions can destroy the earth N times are manifestations of arrogance. Earth has encountered meteorite impacts that are more powerful than human nuclear bombs. Earth's organisms have been extinct for several rounds, but the earth is still the same earth, and what is destroyed is only the organism . As human beings, we should cherish and maintain this short-lived hard-won peace.
Do you think Russia will use nuclear weapons against Ukraine? If it is used, what impact will it have?
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