Recently, the latest poll by the "Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation" showed that more than half of the people on the island believe that if the mainland "attacks Taiwan with force", the Taiwan military will not be able to survive for 100 days. Regarding this topic, in a political commentary program on Taiwanese media, retired Taiwanese army lieutenant general Shuai Huamin said that it depends on how the mainland "militarily unifies" Taiwan. If the People's Liberation Army adheres to the strategic concept of "the first battle is the final battle," the key is whether the Taiwan military can withstand the first wave of attacks. If it cannot, the war may be over within a few days. If the mainland adopts the method of "encircling Taiwan and calling for reinforcements", it depends on whether Taiwan's military reserves can last for 100 days. Shuai Huamin refutes that the combat methods listed by Taiwanese politicians are not in line with general military common sense and are completely impossible. Since this topic is already being discussed hotly on the island, we might as well talk about it. Assuming that the day comes when the two sides of the Taiwan Strait come to war, what will the Taiwan military really face?
First of all, the Taiwan military has to face a long-range strike force that cannot be intercepted. The new generation of weapons represented by the hypersonic weapon will be used to accurately strike fixed military targets on the ground. For example, military airport , radar system, communication command center, port facilities, government facilities, proven military ammunition depots, etc.
hypersonic strike system cannot be intercepted by existing means. Even if the Taiwan military claims that the density of air defense firepower is denser than and Israel , it is useless. It can deal with such targets that cannot escape with accuracy. Losing these early warning, command, communication and logistics systems is equivalent to being deaf, blind, and voiceless on the battlefield. The anxiety of being paralyzed in an instant is enough to cause huge chaos.
Secondly, it is an electronic information combat system that is far beyond our own understanding. The Taiwan military has always focused its operations on anti-landing, almost outside the world's mainstream military development concepts, and lacks a basic understanding of electronic countermeasures operations. In addition to purchasing an electronic warfare aircraft from the United States at the end of the last century, the Taiwan military's only expectation is the electronic countermeasures system on the latest F-16V fighter aircraft .
Our army has developed a complete combat system for electronic warfare in its battle of wits and courage with the US military's reconnaissance and countermeasures over the years. Not only are they equipped with professional electronic reconnaissance aircraft, but they even pulled out the "Suona Eagle" last year. In modern warfare, electronic warfare is a critical aspect. Powerful electronic interference will make the remaining air defense missiles and fighter jets of the Taiwan military unable to be used normally after being hit by a long-range attack, or they will be blinded after taking off and fend for themselves.
and the air defense system of the People's Liberation Army that is far more powerful than the Taiwan Army. Although the Taiwan military has been clamoring that the "Hsiung Feng" missile can reach Shanghai and the "Tiangong" missile can reach Beijing. Even if the Taiwan military's missile does slip through the above-mentioned electronic suppression and can be successfully launched, what they have to face is the radar early warning system all over the coast of the mainland, and this does not include the areas where various shield ships are built at sea. Air defense network, as well as the field air defense system of the Army's combined forces. However, considering that the missile that the Taiwan military mistakenly fired at its own fishing boat was captured by our military radar a few seconds after it came out of the barrel, how many missiles will the Taiwan military's limited number of missiles be able to hit?
also has one-way transparent battlefield awareness capabilities. According to the experience in the Russian-Ukrainian battlefield, it is inevitable that the US military will provide intelligence to the "allies", and the means may include spy satellites, as well as the THAAD system information data deployed in South Korea. But these can only be called auxiliary systems, and reconnaissance systems that do not reach the front line are of little significance. THAAD can still be interfered with and suppressed through electronic warfare systems. It is useless if the intelligence from spy satellites does not respond within the time limit.
Moreover, our army also has these systems. In addition, the People's Liberation Army also has a huge advantage, which is an extremely large number of drone networks. Anyone who has seen the US military's " Global Hawk " will know how terrifying these drones that integrate "inspection and combat" feel.All-weather airtight cruises, unless the Taiwan military acts as a turtle, shuts down and remains motionless, it will be easily discovered if there is any movement and directly invite long-range attacks.
Finally, it is the PLA’s ace force at sea. Since we were not sure whether the US military would intervene, we made everything based on the worst-case scenario. The "size" of Taiwan's naval fleet, except for the Tuojiang ship , which is a slight threat, the rest can be basically ignored. At most, you will either see the Sea Dragon King or enter the museum within a week. If the US military wants to support the Taiwan military, it will face a heavy blockade by the People's Navy fleet, and even airdrops will not be able to land.
Speaking of which, the real opponent of our aircraft carrier is actually the US military’s aircraft carrier Asia-Pacific fleet. If it comes to this step, the battle for air and sea control will still have to be discussed. However, no matter how deep the U.S. military intervenes or how troubled the situation becomes, no one can change the unified outcome. All that needs to be considered is the determination and will of both sides and the price they are willing to bear. And neither the US military nor the Taiwan military can afford this price!
