The conflict between Russia and Ukraine has entered a white-hot state. The West has always been more aggressive, but from the perspective of the frontal battlefield, the Western agents Ukraine are in a very bad situation. Luhansk has been completely controlled by Russian troops. It does not admit that Lisichansk was lost, but admits that the Ukrainian army has retreated.
Judging from the overwhelming Russian offensive, victory over Ukraine is only a matter of time. Regardless of whether the West admits it or not, as long as it does not send troops to intervene in the conflict, it cannot change the outcome of the Russian army's victory.
Ukraine's failure means the failure of the West. At the same time, it will completely defeat one of the West's wishes - to completely isolate Russia and then use the same method to deal with China .
According to Russian satellite communications reports, Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko stated that the West’s goal is to create provocations and prolong conflicts. The European Union and NATO hope that the conflict in Ukraine will continue, first clean up Russia and Belarus, and reach out to the main opponent - China through Russia.
This argument has appeared since the beginning of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, that is, "after Russia, there will be China."
Judging from a series of operations by the United States and the West, this does mean that they just want to create a system to suppress other countries. Stimulate the situation through constant provocations, then provoke conflicts, ignite the powder keg, and then suppress it through sanctions and other means, supplemented by military assistance, watch the fire from the other side, and constantly add fuel and firewood, so that the fire can wait and grow stronger, and you can sit back. Harvest profit.
I have to say that the idea is very good, but the implementation is not realistic. The Russia-Ukraine conflict has lasted for more than four months. The situation of the West is obvious to all. The West did not directly participate in the war, but it paid a considerable price.
You must know that Russia's economic level is very average, but it not only withstands the pressure exerted by the West, but also makes the West pay a huge economic price.
The reason why the West has not given up yet is because it thinks that Russia may soon be unable to bear the pressure, so it wants to increase the pressure to see if it can crush Russia. Therefore, a series of suicidal sanctions have recently been launched.
In the long run, Russia’s economy will be affected to a certain extent. If dozens of developed countries join forces, there is nothing they can do about Russia’s economy. 1G D P is no longer a "goalkeeper" in the top ten in the world.
According to the previous estimate of the governor of the Russian Central Bank, Russia's capital reserves can still last for about 3 months. The current economy has not completely collapsed because of these capital reserves. When the reserves are gone, Russia's economic situation should fluctuate. .
Of course, this does not mean that the Russian economy can only survive for three months. This is already the case, reforms are bound to take place, and it is impossible to wait for the economy to collapse.
What the West wants now is to hold on until the winter. If it cannot suppress Russia, it will not be able to continue to exert pressure, because Europe still has to count on Russia through the winter. Sri Lanka’s natural atmosphere.
So, will the United States and the West, which cannot even suppress Russia, choose to take major actions to deal with China?
Definitely not possible. First of all, the United States and the West have nothing to do with Russia, so how can they deal with China? Although China is not an energy powerhouse like Russia, China is the engine of the global economy and an indispensable link in the global supply chain.
Now that energy prices are soaring, you can still buy energy, but if a blockade is implemented on China, you may not be able to buy many things even if you have money.
Secondly, from the trade war to the new crown epidemic, and then to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the international economy has been unable to recover. In this context, other Western countries will not follow suit even if they do not have the will. After all, there are no strategic conflicts between China and Europe, and there is still a lot of consensus, such as adhering to multilateralism.
The European Union can not be completely "annexed" by the United States precisely because of China and Russia. The United States pulls Europe to suppress Russia and deal with China because it is also worried that the EU will no longer play with it. If the EU comes together with China and Russia, the advantages of the United States will be wiped out.
Therefore, the "China after Russia" imagined by the United States is simply impossible to occur, even if Russia is really crushed as the United States wants.
