The Indian media "Eurasia Times" published an article written by Indian expert Tanmei Kadan, claiming that once the People's Liberation Army is determined to liberate Taiwan by force, the People's Liberation Army will have enough strength to end the battle and clear Taiwan within 100 days. The army accomplished its mission objectives. Indian experts cited an on-island survey data, which showed that 51% of the respondents did not believe that the Taiwan military could survive 100 days in the face of the strength of the People's Liberation Army. Indian experts believe that the cause of this phenomenon is the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, which fully demonstrated the overwhelming military strength of the permanent members.
Although the United States-led NATO continues to provide various equipment assistance, Ukraine itself was among the best in Europe in terms of military strength before the war, especially its army strength, which was the second largest military power in Europe except Russia. , but after the war lasted for four months, the Uzbek army's devastating military defeat and strategic defeat still came unstoppably and occurred in Eastern Uzbekistan. This made the whole world realize that even a medium-sized military power would provide a large amount of military assistance. , it is still very unrealistic to confront a real military power head-on on the battlefield. While shattering some unrealistic illusions, it also helped to realize the cruelty of real large-scale wars.
Another point worth mentioning put forward by Indian experts in the article is that the Taiwanese army cannot, like the Uzbek army, cooperate with militiamen, regiment training and other wartime mobilization forces to delay the actions of the People's Liberation Army in urban street fighting, causing The reason is that the Taiwan military's recruitment system has broken the tacit cooperation between the reserve forces and the regular army, and the military service time has been continuously reduced from the original two years to a few months. This leads to the fact that although the island seems to have a "huge" reserve force that can be mobilized at any time, this is only "seemingly". The short military service period makes this reserve force seriously lacking in professionalism and low level, and most of them are "quick-shot on a large scale in a short period of time." The training time of the reserve force is only 2 days per year. So it just looks like the stalls are very large and numerous, and the numbers look good, and they can deceive themselves and others, but in fact their capabilities are very limited.
Compared with some of the "mainstream views" that the Western world keeps promoting, I have to say that Indian experts can still see some things that the Western media cannot see, or they can see some things and pretend not to see them, pretending to understand and pretending to be confused. . In terms of recognition of the strength of military powers, Indian experts rarely tell the truth. Whether it is the overall strength or the endurance of war, the degree of crushing of military powers cannot be easily matched by ordinary countries. Not even a relatively good military power in China. Even though there were some problems and setbacks in the early stage, the strong strength of the military power itself ensured a high enough fault tolerance, and it could quickly make adjustments to make up for it. Russia has proved this well with its own actual actions. What time is it.
Next is another point put forward by Indian experts, that is, the Taiwan military's urban street fighting capabilities cannot be reused. This is indeed true. After all, even the Taiwan military retreated to the edge of the city during the Han-Kuang military exercise, and basically did not consider the issue of street fighting. The Taiwan military itself is self-aware, and Indian experts are just Just stated the facts. The root cause is that the Taiwan military's rotten military service system has degraded to the point where it is difficult to train qualified soldiers, such as practicing diving in a swimming pool and drowning special forces, shooting targets on soft cushions under umbrellas under the sun, and getting a little warmer. As for the lack of rest in the barracks, everyone has heard a lot of the classic " strawberry soldier jokes" spread on the island in recent years. As we all know, urban street fighting is the most cruel part of modern warfare. Without a strong will to fight and excellent tactical skills, there is no practical significance to talking about street fighting.
Finally, let’s talk about the point that “the People’s Liberation Army has the strength to liberate Taiwan within 100 days.” Does the People’s Liberation Army have this strength? The Indian experts are right, there is indeed one, but the time limit is a bit too wide. It is unlikely that a recovery operation will be deliberately delayed for a hundred days.Whether it is the US military's own professional analysis report or some public statements made by retired generals of the People's Liberation Army, a quick decision with sufficient capabilities is the most likely situation. After all, if a decision is delayed for a long time, something will happen. War requires individual strength and speed. Cutting off the mess quickly before the Western quarrels and quarrels over mutual interests are over, can indeed avoid some unforeseen situations. As for how fast the action within 100 days will be, and how many days exactly? It is not good to draw an accurate conclusion now. I can only say that if such a day comes, it is better to wait until then to refresh the understanding of Indian experts and a group of European and American media about the mode of modern warfare among major powers and the true strength of the People's Liberation Army. Bar.
