The international situation is turbulent, and the regional conflict between Russia and Ukraine is intensifying. The war between Russia and Ukraine has been going on for about three and a half months, and there is still no sign of a ceasefire. But Ukraine is not the biggest enemy. NATO has always been Putin ’s confidant. When the Russian army was fighting the Ukrainian army, NATO frequently intervened, not only providing large amounts of weapons and supplies to Ukraine, but also sending mercenaries. fights with the Russian army in the Ukrainian battlefield.
Among the NATO countries, which country is the most anti-Russian, the first ones to bear the brunt are Poland and Lithuania . Since Lithuania is too small, it does not pose a threat to Russia for the time being. Poland is different. Since Russia and Ukraine Since the outbreak of the regional conflict between the two countries, Poland has been active in Eastern Europe as an anti-Russian vanguard.
The Ukrainian army is fighting with the Russian army in the east, while western Ukraine is infiltrated by Poland. According to Russian media reports, the Polish army has entered western Ukraine, and Poland has even taken over part of the tax system in western Ukraine. Therefore, in the future, the Russian army If you want to attack western Ukraine, you may have too much contact with Poland.
Poland also seems determined to stay in western Ukraine. Just when the Russian army recently threatened to launch missiles into western Ukraine, Polish Brigadier General Kozei proposed to place NATO air defense weapons in Ukraine. In order to better protect western Ukraine, when Russian missiles are launched, they can intercept them as soon as possible. But at the same time, Kozei also emphasized that Poland should not draw fire and ask Poland to place NATO air defense weapons in Ukraine and keep them as far away from the NATO border as possible. Not only that, the Polish side also focused on the Russian enclave of Kalinin, and even prepared to send troops to the Chenbing border. However, the Russian army sternly warned the Polish side, saying that if it got involved in Kalinin, the Russian army would use nuclear weapons to retaliate against Poland. square.
And as Sweden Finland wants to join NATO, Kaliningrad is becoming increasingly important in the Baltic Sea . Although Poland has not taken any action yet, this will pave the way for the subsequent crisis, so , the Russian army had to prepare in advance to deal with possible crises in the future.
Since the Russian army has a huge advantage in the battlefield of Donbas, Poland and other countries do not dare to test the bottom line of the Russian army. However, once the Russian army fails in the battle with the Ukrainian army, the Polish side is likely to take the opportunity to send troops to Kalinin. Golla, and even directly help the Ukrainian army fight against the Russian army.
Only when the Russian army shows its full advantage on the battlefield in Ukraine can countries like Poland be prevented from taking advantage of the situation. However, the regional conflict between Russia and Ukraine is currently intensifying. Peace negotiations have been fruitless for several times. Zelensky will suddenly appear at every critical moment. After returning, the United States also secretly supported Ukraine to continue the war, which laid a foreshadowing for Russia.
Not only is Poland interested, but Japan in Asia is also eyeing Russia. Japan has always coveted Russia's Southern Kuril Islands area and wants to take this land as its own. Because the Southern Kuril Islands area is of great strategic significance, and secondly, because the territorial waters around the islands have extremely high economic value, and due to the intersection of cold and warm seawater, the area is rich in fishery resources.
Since the regional conflict between Russia and Ukraine broke out, Japan has begun to support Ukraine, condemn Russia, and even prepared to send troops to the Southern Kuril Islands. Although many people believe that a head-on confrontation with Russia with Japan's strength is simply an egg against a stone. But Japan does not think so. In the Russo-Japanese War in the early 20th century, Japan single-handedly defeated Tsarist Russia. From then on, Japan embarked on a path of confidence. To this day, Japan is full of confidence and believes that "Russia is not worth a fight." "Mention", constantly dispatching ships to patrol the Southern Kuril Islands area.
However, the most fundamental reason why Japan has not taken action is because of Russia's nuclear deterrence. Putin had already said that if anyone dares to attack Russia, the Russian army must use nuclear weapons to fight back. This has deterred Japan to a certain extent. But Japan is not willing to give up and is ready to find a way out elsewhere.
The opportunity came soon. Some time ago, US President Biden visited Japan, which brought the so-called " Indo-Pacific Economic Framework " and the "Four-Nation Strategy" to Japan. In response to the call of the United States, Japan resolutely joined. The United States reciprocated, and Biden stated in public at the meeting that the United States could support Japan's entry into the permanent membership when the United Nations reform is completed. This is a good signal.
Seeing the support of the United States, Japan then requested that the United States transport nuclear weapons to Japan to achieve "nuclear sharing." If nuclear sharing is achieved between the United States and Japan, Japan will also have a nuclear deterrent, but the United States does not Agree to the request immediately and indicate follow-up communication instead.
Japan has many reasons for requesting "nuclear sharing", the most important of which is to prepare for external war. Once Japan also has a nuclear deterrent, when Russia warns Japan again, Japan can also use its nuclear weapons to speak. Therefore, if Japan wants to take advantage of the situation and rob the Southern Kuril Islands region, it will have no scruples.
Russia’s geopolitical conditions are very complex. Since the regional conflict between Russia and Ukraine broke out, many “landmines” have appeared around Russia. However, because the Russian army currently has the advantage in the Donbas battlefield, other countries are not willing to take risks. To test Russia's bottom line, but once Russia loses on the frontline battlefield, threats from Poland, Japan and other regions will erupt together in the future. By that time, Russia will face a huge crisis.
The most important thing now is to end the regional conflict between Russia and Ukraine as soon as possible. The longer this war goes on, the greater the danger for Russia. Although the Russian side looks like a quick victory, the Russian side has also noticed that in Under the constant fire from the United States, it is unlikely that the regional conflict between Russia and Ukraine will end in the short term. Therefore, the Russian army has adopted a steady and slow approach. Because of this, although the war situation is slow, it is constantly approaching victory. .
Generally speaking, Putin is currently facing a huge crisis. Several landmines have been planted around Russia. He is just waiting for the regional conflict between Russia and Ukraine. Once the Russian army loses, these crises will erupt together, threatening Russia's western front. It's not big. The most terrifying thing is Japan in Asia. Japan is more dangerous than Poland.
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