Some people say that the United States is now in the 1970s equivalent to the Soviet Union, the Brezhnev era, with a rigid system, serious domestic conflicts and external expansion, which eventually led to the disintegration of the Soviet Union. Putin himself sees the United State

Some people say that the United States is now in the 1970s, which is equivalent to the Soviet Union, the era of Brezhnev , with a rigid system, serious domestic conflicts and external expansion, which finally led to the disintegration of the Soviet Union. Putin himself views the United States today this way, and some commentators in the United States also view it this way, because they feel that the main reason why some structural problems in the United States cannot be solved is that the United States does not have new thinking.

They are still continuing the old thinking from 200 years ago to maintain the operation of this country, so it will have some problems. For example, the National Defense Authorization Act, which they have just passed by Congress, is actually the military expenditure for the fiscal year 2023. This time, the law has approved a total of US$857.9 billion in military expenditure, which is an increase of US$80 billion from last year's figure in the previous fiscal year.

To put it mildly, Russia’s annual military expenditure is not that much, but it has increased this part to 80 billion US dollars. What is the concept of this? Generally speaking, the United States requires NATO member states, such as Germany and France, that their military expenditures should reach 2% of GDP. Then many countries in the EU , including many NATO countries in Europe, do not reach this amount.

Japan's peace constitution requires that their military expenditures cannot exceed 1% of GDP. The current Kishida government also wants to increase 1% to 2%, and the German Prime Minister has also said that Germany's military expenditures should also be increased to 2%. Despite this, they have not yet reached it. They are all in the transition period from 1% to 2%. I will calculate the amount of military expenditures in the United States this time. The approximate total GDP of the United States is 25 trillion US dollars.

US$857.9 billion out of the US$25 trillion accounts for about 3.4%. As we all know, this kind of expenditure cannot bring you direct economic benefits after the military shells are fired. It can only create a so-called advantageous situation for you. Your environment cannot directly see its economic benefits, so this method of spending will definitely bring down the United States. This is just like when the Soviet Union entered Afghanistan . The 10-year war in Afghanistan basically spent all the Soviet Union's expenses.

So One of the big reasons for the disintegration of the Soviet Union was that military spending was too large, and the United States is still expanding its military spending, and its Congress is particularly interesting. Biden does not want such a number. Last year, the number was 80 billion less than it is now, and now it has been increased by 80 billion, and the increase will include 10 billion within 5 years. Adding another 1 billion for ammunition, Taiwan's so-called military assistance will be 11 billion.

Among them, US$1 billion is for ammunition, which is more than the cost to Ukraine alone in 2023. There will be only US$800 million in military aid to Ukraine in 2023. However, the cost of military scientific research in the United States has increased by 20% this year, and it has increased by 20% all of a sudden. These things make people see that under the inflation in the United States, Even though the economy is not very good, its S&P index fell by 18%. This stock is not good, but its stocks are not good. Its arms stocks are like Rolls-Royce, Lockheed Martin, and Raytheon . These three major stocks have risen by 47%, 37%, and 15% respectively within this year.

Therefore, in this conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the American arms dealers have benefited the most. Not only the United States, but also the NATO series of arms dealers have taken advantage. Since Germany is a defeated country, its arms exports have strict restrictions. However, in 2022, Germany’s arms exports reached 8.35 billion euros. What is the concept of 8.35 billion euros? During Merkel's rule, Germany's arms exports were generally around 6 billion euros.

has increased by more than 2 billion euros this year, of which 2.24 billion has directly supported Ukraine. Since the support is particularly large, including NATO's inventory, more than 800,000 rounds of 155 artillery shells have been supplied to Ukraine. So what has happened? On the one hand, the stocks of the U.S. military industry are rising, on the other hand, the ammunition depot of the United States and NATO member states is decreasing. If it is reduced, the ammunition depot must be replenished as soon as possible.

There is now a factory in the UK that makes 155mm ammunition. It has received tens of billions of orders and is currently overwhelmed. It is estimated that even after three years of busy work, it will not be able to finish filling the inventory. Some ammunition depots only have two weeks of ammunition left in the inventory, and sometimes it is even said that there is only one week of ammunition. So from a situation like this, it can be fully seen that this war has brought not only the loss of human life, but also the economic loss of people.

So now both Russia and Ukraine are calling for a ceasefire, and Russia is also calling, but it finds that the United States ignores it at all. The United States thinks this is an opportunity to completely bring Russia down, or even disintegrate Russia, and Ukraine sacrifices its own lives, so Ukraine is still relatively active. Who is it looking for to lobby for India to call Modi? It hopes that Modi, as the chairman of the 2023 G20 meeting, can use this status to coordinate and promote peace, especially since India has good relations with the West and Russia.

So now the Ukrainian president hopes that Modi can help him to facilitate peace talks, but whether peace talks can be achieved, I personally think that there is no sign of peace talks in the current situation, because Putin is busy arranging his economic work, and this war has given Russia The economic impact on Russia is far smaller than people think. Russia's GDP will grow by a negative 2.5% in 2022, and the negative growth of 2.5% is due to the implementation of such a large military operation, and its opponent is the entire NATO system, not simply Ukraine as a country.