Weakness is not the original sin, arrogance is.
During Macron 's term, Macron moved around many times to expand his influence. However, the current diplomatic situation in France has deteriorated significantly, and the contradiction with Germany is also the highest point in decades (many consultations between lawmakers have not been held). So what is the fundamental reason?
First of all, we need to understand what Macron and French diplomacy need. Due to the tradition of de Gaulle , France has always been committed to becoming an independent and influential power. Although there are some relative proposals to integrate, Macron was obviously a loyal follower of Charles de Gaulleism during his administration.
Due to Trump 's actions against the contrary, his behavior is arrogant and high-profile, which aroused the disgust of many European countries. Macron began to vigorously promote European military organizations (European Army) that are independent of the United States.
We go back to the core of France's policy, the core problem of France's dream is its lack of strength. France itself does not have the ability to establish an independent military system, and its economic strength is average. Then, De Gaulle's traditional strategy is to establish a European organization and turn the power of Europe into its own use.
A European size is enough to support a system. Due to restrictions on defeated countries, Germany and Italy cannot fully dominate military affairs, so the military leader must be France.
But due to Germany's economic advantages and strength, Europe must be dominated by Germany economically. Then sharing power with Germany and jointly taking charge of Europe is the best solution for this policy. Merkel and Macron have a happy cooperation on this policy.
But this policy has failed this year and on the long-term Ukrainian issue.
Because we do not want British and American forces to enter Europe, France and Germany chose appeasement policy . After this year's crisis, it was even more attempted to use Ukraine to quickly eliminate it to prove the unreliability of the US power and to intimidate the rest of Europe to form a larger European Union .
One of the two countries even pretended to be "black-faced", Germany publicly announced that Ukraine could not resist for a long time; the other pretended to be "black-faced", Macron pretended to mediate.
But this move was shattered by Ukraine's tenacious resistance, and Britain and the United States quickly sent a steady stream of assistance, which was in sharp contrast to the initial appeasement of the two countries. The actions of the two countries also made everyone feel heartbroken: You can sell Ukraine’s interests today, but won’t you sell our interests tomorrow?
In the sharp contrast between Britain and the United States, Europe, especially Eastern European countries, are more united under the United Kingdom and the United States, and Ukraine's battlefield performance also gives them confidence. Swedish , Finland choose to join NATO .
At this time, Germany came back to its 180-degree turn, actively assisting Ukraine, leaving France aside.
Since US economy is not too optimistic, the European economy will still be in the hands of Germany. Although the United States is far more difficult to check and balance than France, it is also the only option that has suffered little losses and cannot be implemented in the French-German plan.
Macron was anxious and had no choice but to face this situation. The recent solution was to go to the United States to protest the United States' Anti-Inflation Act, and take a stance to seek interests for Europe.
is a pity, it doesn't work much.
analyzes all this, the root cause does not seem to be that Macron did something wrong, but that France's national strength cannot support that ambition. If France has the ability to compete with the Russians and take the lead in stabilizing the situation in Ukraine, perhaps the dream has become a reality.
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