Biden was overjoyed, and the Democrats locked in control of the Senate, and were too happy.
U.S. midterm elections votes are coming to an end, and as Democrats take another shot in the Nevada Senate seats, Democrats have now seated 50 seats in the Senate and will continue to control the Senate.
picture shows Harris
Because even in the Georgia Senate candidate runoff election on December 6, Republican can win this vote, and the two parties formed a 50-50 situation. At that time, Vice President Harris can still break the deadlock with the critical vote in her hand and let the Democrats defend the Senate.
In response to this, US President Biden was overjoyed. When meeting with other leaders in Phnom Penh, he said, "I am looking forward to the next two years, and I also know that I am becoming very strong."
So, is Biden happy too early? We still need to take a look at the election situation in the House of Representatives.
According to statistics from the United States Limited TV News Network, as of November 15, the Republican Party has won 212 seats in the 435 House of Representatives, while the Democrats are behind 8 seats and have only won 204 seats. Although the Democrats and the Republican Party have not won more than half of the 218 seats, according to the election situation, the Republican Party is likely to seize control of the House of Representatives from the Democrats with a slight advantage.
If the Republicans take the House of Representatives, Biden's joy will inevitably make people feel that he is a little happy a little early. Because in the context of American political polarization and sharp deterioration of internal strife between the two parties, if the Republicans control the House of Representatives, Biden's next two years of administration will definitely not be able to have a better time.
picture shows Biden
First of all, Biden may have to face a series of "investigations" of the Republican Party. The Republican Party has already made a statement that if they "take charge" of Congress, then they will start a political "liquidation". There are various investigations involving Biden, including censorship of possible corruption during the Biden administration; there are also investigations on the FBI's raid on Trump's private estates to engage in "political witch hunting"; and investigations on the possibility of "power-money transactions" between the Biden family and foreign governments. These various investigations have made Biden, who is already old, physically and mentally more tired, so he saw him anxiously saying: "If you lose, I will be impeached."
Secondly, the Republican Party has to control its money bag, which has led to the policies implemented by the Biden administration facing " money shortage ". The Republicans believe that the "big government" policy vigorously promoted after the Biden administration came to power is the culprit of high inflation. In this regard, the Republicans emphasized that once they take control of the House of Representatives, they will control their money and not allow the government to spend a lot of money. It is conceivable that the Biden administration will not want to implement new policies in the future, and even the clean energy plan and welfare policies that have been implemented may face the embarrassing situation of being out of stock.
The picture shows McCarthy
Again, while the Republican Party constrains the Biden administration in its internal affairs, it is of course also to achieve its own political goals. After the Republican Party controls the House of Representatives, it can continue to implement its own conservative policy concepts. Two months before the midterm elections, Republican lawmakers led by House Minority Leader McCarthy proposed a policy called "Commitment to the United States", which covers multiple fields such as economy, security, and culture. At the economic level, it emphasizes the need to reduce fiscal spending, curb inflation, and achieve energy independence; at the security level, it is necessary to crack down on illegal immigration, ensure border security, and enhance national defense construction capabilities; at the cultural level, it is necessary to oppose the radical ideology , emphasize the importance of personal freedom of speech, etc. Obviously, the Republican Party not only needs to overturn the Democratic Party's policy agenda, but also implement the Republican Party's policy agenda with great fanfare.
The above three points are the pressure that the Democrats may face in their internal affairs after losing control of the House of Representatives. Finally, in terms of foreign policy, Biden will also face a series of challenges, and the editor has also listed three key areas.
The picture shows the US military aid to Ukraine
First, on the issue of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, the Biden administration's aid to Ukraine will be subject to more supervision. Before the midterm elections, House Minority Leader McCarthy warned the Biden administration that if the Republicans can gain control of the House in the midterm elections, they will limit aid to Ukraine. McCarthy stressed that the reason for reducing aid to Ukraine is that the Republicans will pay more attention to domestic issues after controlling the House. However, the outside world should not expect too high expectations for the Republican Party’s claim to limit aid to Ukraine. Although the two parties have different views on the aid policy of Ukraine, there is no essential difference in general, and they all emphasize that they will continue to support the Zelensky government. Of course, after the Republican Party controls the House of Representatives, it may also urge Russia-Ukraine to negotiate while continuing to aid Ukraine.
Second, in terms of relations with China, the Republican Party also stated that it will strengthen its attitude towards competition with China. The Biden administration's policy towards China is still a tough policy that continued the Trump era. But even so, Republicans are still not satisfied, and they think Biden is still too "weak". Once the Republican Party takes control of the House of Representatives, McCarthy will also become the new speaker. McCarthy had previously clamored that once he becomes the House of Representatives, he would also enter Taiwan. Not only that, although the midterm elections are still in progress, after the new members of the parliament came to power, the so-called Taiwan Policy Act is expected to be submitted to the House of Representatives for deliberation, and the United States' strategy of "using Taiwan to control China" will be more radical. In addition, China and the United States have entered a critical 10 years, and the Republican Party will dominate the United States and China in all-round competition.
Third, Biden's climate diplomacy may be subject to strong obstacles from the Republican Party. During Trump's administration, he directly withdrew from the Paris Climate Agreement, which caused the United States' influence and credibility in the international community to plummet. After Biden took office, he returned to the Paris Climate Agreement, trying to once again grasp the right to speak on climate change issues. The Republican Party has been threatening the Biden administration to get the United States back out of the Paris climate change agreement. Although Biden is unlikely to submit, it will be difficult for him to use climate change issues to enhance his diplomatic advantages. Against the backdrop of Republican tightening of their money bags, the clean energy program implemented by the Biden administration and the international community's commitments related to climate change will fail because of insufficient financial support.
Finally, the editor wants to say that although Biden may have a "small defeat" in the midterm elections, this is not entirely a bad thing. As the saying goes, "lost the east corner and gain the slutty". In the next two years, if Biden can seize the opportunity and make a difference in diplomacy, especially in dealing with relations with China and Russia, and then get out of some obstacles set by the Republican Party, then this can at least add a strong mark to Biden's governing career.