Since Russia launched the war, France has been undecided on the issue of aid to Ukraine. In the days before the war broke out, French President Macron also visited Moscow, the Russian capital, and held long talks with Putin . It was not until a long time after the outbreak of the war that France began to provide substantial assistance to Ukraine.
Now France has given many Caesars to the Ukrainian army, but that's all. The current French President Macron is even more eager to completely separate his relationship in the Russian-Ukrainian war, fearing that the energy crisis, or even the nuclear war, will bring a devastating blow to itself. Not long ago, French President Macron's statement caused an uproar in Europe.
Not long ago, French President Macron said in an interview with French TV 2 that France's nuclear weapons principles are based on the fundamental interests of the country, which means that even if Ukraine or this region is attacked by nuclear weapons , France's interests will not be directly affected. These words mean that even if Russia uses nuclear weapons in Ukraine, France will not respond with nuclear weapons. As soon as the news came out, the entire Western society began to generally point the attack on Macron. They believed that Macron's move completely exposed the West's "trump card" and broke the West's "strategic ambiguity" in the threat of Russian nuclear weapons.
If we only look at France's own national interests, then Macron's statement naturally has no problem. Even if Ukraine encounters Russia's nuclear strike against , then France should not be the first to provide Ukraine with a nuclear umbrella. You should know that the first to sign the Budapest memorandum in 1994 were the United States, Britain, Russia and Ukraine. Now the United States and Britain, which are most jumping on this issue, should also take action first. It is not France's turn to take action first.
In addition, for the Five Constables of the United Nations, the most important thing for other countries' nuclear security commitments is to make promises rather than counterattacks. In normal times, the so-called nuclear protection umbrella provided by the Five Constant Persons of the United Nations provides a deterrent force, but when it really needs to use nuclear weapons to fight back for protection, any country needs to consider its own national interests and measure which is more important to the so-called nuclear security commitment and its own national security.
Because once the first ballistic missile equipped with nuclear warhead is lifted off, it means that it is not only the country that is involved, but the world war may break out. How effective is this so-called nuclear security commitment? It should be based on the opinions of each country.
For example, Russia is also one of the countries that promised to nuclear protection to Ukraine. However, now Russia and Ukraine are in a state of direct war. So if Russia uses nuclear weapons against Ukraine, will Russia still launch a nuclear counterattack on itself? This is obviously impossible.
At present, Russia and Western countries have entered the brink of direct outbreak of a military conflict. Both major forces are constantly testing each other. Ukraine has gained a local advantage on the battlefield with the strong support of the West. At the same time, Russia began local mobilization. The next 300,000 Russian reserves will be put into the battlefield. It will inevitably take some time. This period is Russia's most dangerous moment, so they frequently issue nuclear weapons threats.
In the next period of time, if the West still supports Ukraine very much and Ukraine can still conquer cities and land like in the previous few months, then the possibility of Russia's desperate use of nuclear weapons is not ruled out.Now that Macron made this statement, in fact, it gave Western countries a vaccination in advance and then completely put his responsibilities away. France took the lead in using this appeasement attitude to push Britain and the United States to the forefront. This statement is undoubtedly very consistent with France's embarrassing situation in this war. After all, since Russia launched the war in February, France has been driven forward.