Brazilian Current president, "tropical Trump" Bolsonaro , encountering former Brazilian president, "one of the most respected leftist politicians in Latin America" Lula ... On Sunday, one of the most competitive and most polarized elections in Brazil's modern history will hold the first round of voting.
Seeing the presidential candidate wearing bulletproof vest on the streets to run for election, and even the death of candidate supporters one after another, the US media couldn't help but sigh, "In Brazil's fierce presidential election, anything can happen", and also mentioned the riots on the US Capitol Hill last year.
does seem to be a repeat of history. Bolsonaro, who is more than 10 percentage points behind in many polls, has claimed that the electronic voting system of the election may be manipulated. After the left-wing presidential candidates from many countries in Latin America achieved a key victory, Bolsonaro even called out to the United States on Fox News: If he loses the election, the United States will be actually isolated.
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As the voting day approaches, Brazil has banned any guns from entering the polling station within 100 meters that day. Under global attention, UN human rights experts also issued a statement urging Brazilian authorities, candidates and political parties to ensure a peaceful vote.
"Tropical Trump" vs. "One of the most respected left-wing politicians in Latin America"
Comprehensive CNN (CNN), National Public Radio (NPR) and other foreign media reported on September 30 that although there were 11 presidential candidates on the ballot, all eyes were focused on two people: the current right-wing president Bolsonaro (Jair Bolsonaro), and the former left-wing president and leader of the Labor Party Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva.
As two giants in contemporary Brazilian politics, they are completely opposite. Antonio Lavareda, head of Brazil's polling agency Ipespe, described it as "these are two well-known figures, the second of the most heavyweight and unique leaders in Brazil's political circles in the past 20 years."
67-year-old Bolsonaro is known as "tropical Trump", and represents the conservative Liberal Party, which is running for re-election, and NPR calls it a "popular nationalist."
The core of his campaign and re-election plan is what he calls freedom of right: freedom of speech, freedom of life and freedom to develop for the future, increasing the use of the country's natural resources, including mining and other agricultural enterprises. Bolsonaro's job creation strategy is based on industrial investment, especially in the field of technology. The former paratrooper also supports expanding citizens’ chances of owning guns from themselves.
However, Bolsonaro's performance in his first term may be a disadvantage. He has been widely criticized at home and abroad at Brazil for improper handling of the new crown epidemic in Brazil, resulting in more than 685,000 deaths and a surge in the area of Amazon deforestation in Brazil during his term of office.
Lula is 76 years old and was a metalworker. He has been re-elected for two terms from Brazilian President since 2003. US media calls it "one of the most respected leftist politicians in Latin America."
During the campaign, Lula mostly emphasized that Bolsonaro was stepped down, relying on his previous tenure. He once stepped down with a 90% approval rating and lifted tens of millions of Brazilians out of extreme poverty through the "family allowance" welfare program. When
officially accepted the party’s nomination in July, Lula said this: “I don’t need to be president again. I can keep the title of ‘the best president in history’ and spend the last days of my life peacefully. But I have witnessed the destruction of this country. I saw a person who doesn’t like education to manage education. So, I decided to return.”
“I don’t need to make any commitment to you.” Lula also said in a recent Sao Paulo campaign, “My policy has been endorsed by my political legacy over the past eight years and is very successful for the country and all walks of life.”
However, he also has to overcome voter suspicion. In an investigation into state-owned Petrobras, Lula was found guilty of corruption and money laundering in 2017, despite his continued claiming he was innocent. After serving less than two years in prison, a Supreme Court judge declared his conviction of Lula void in March 2021, clearing the way for his sixth presidential campaign.
Several previous polls have shown that Lula is in the lead. On Thursday, the latest poll released by Brazil's authoritative research firm Datafolha showed that he was 14 percentage points ahead of Bolsonaro, with only three days left before Sunday's vote.
After Datafolha eliminated the gap and pending votes, its model found that Lula had a 50% approval rating in the valid vote and Bolsonaro had 36%.
"If I lose, the United States will be actually isolated."
US media commented that Brazil's election vote this Sunday will be one of the most watched elections in Latin America, and two completely opposite ideology are competing for the position of Brazil's president.
Brazil is one of the countries with the worst deaths in the world. Coupled with the impact of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, Brazil is facing global economic turmoil in a difficult situation. Economic issues, high inflation and public dissatisfaction with inequality and corruption have led to the "turning left" in other countries in the region.
Singapore Lianhe Zaobao pointed out that from 2021, Latin America has officially entered the election year, and left-wing presidential candidates have successively won key victories in Bolivia , Peru , Chile , Honduras and Colombia.
At the end of June, Bolsonaro indirectly called out to the United States in an interview with Fox News in the United States. He said that if the left wins in the Brazilian election in October, they will never step down and South America will turn completely red, effectively isolating the United States.
The first round of voting for the Brazilian general election will begin at 8 a.m. on Sunday and end at 5 p.m., with parliamentary and governoral elections also taking place. Because of the use of the electronic voting system, the voting results will be announced at the earliest in the capital Brasilia at 9 pm.
candidates need to obtain an absolute majority, that is, more than 50% of the votes, in order to win directly in the first round of voting. If no candidate meets the requirements, the two with the highest votes will hold a runoff on October 30.
"U.S. Capitol Hill riots, which may repeat in Brazil"
However, fear factors may lead to a large number of voters abstaining from the power this Sunday.
In this extremely fierce competition, Bolsonaro and Lula are using Twitter , YouTube, TV debates and large-scale political rallies to show their positions and attack each other everywhere. The violent remarks of their supporters have made many voters even more afraid of what is about to happen.
According to a Datafolha poll in August this year, more than 67% of Brazilian voters are afraid of being "physical attack" because of their political stance. Brazil has issued a ban on bringing guns into the polling station within 100 meters on the day of Election Day.
During the campaign, both candidates were seen carrying security personnel and police officers, sometimes wearing bulletproof vests.
Bolsonaro has been wearing a bulletproof vest since the re-election campaign was launched from Juisdifora last month. It was here that he was stabbed in the intestine during the 2018 election.
At an event in Rio de Janeiro , Lula also wore a vest. In July this year, a large group of his supporters were projected here with a homemade stinky bomb .
Without showing evidence, Bolsonaro has argued that the electronic voting system may be manipulated, and even said that the system has been tampered with in the past. But US media said that since 1996, Brazil's electronic votes have not shown any fraud records.
In addition, he also questioned Brazil's highest election court, "if we don't win the first round of votes."
Critics warned that just as the U.S. Capitol Hill was violently hit by Trump supporters on January 6 last year, Bolsonaro's remarks could lead to violent incidents and even refuse to accept the election results. In two fatal incidents registered by Brazilian police last weekend, one of the victims was identified as a supporter of Lula and the other died wearing a Bolsonaro T-shirt.
"This election is different from any time in more than 30 years. There are many Brazilian voters who are afraid to talk about politics and are afraid to talk about elections. This may directly affect the number of people who go to vote."Brazilian political scientist Creomar de Souza said that, considering the heavyweights running for Brazilian president this year, there are fewer pending voters.
, a confrontation between voters, has attracted global attention. Earlier this month, UN human rights experts issued a statement urging Brazilian authorities, candidates and political parties to ensure peaceful votes.
(original title: "U.S. Capitol Hill riots may repeat in Brazil")
Source: Beijing Daily Client According to Observer Network
Process Edit: tf002