The Russian-Ukrainian conflict has brought about geopolitical shocks. Western countries are trying to take this opportunity to destroy Russia, while China and other countries maintain a neutral attitude out of the consideration of maintaining world peace. It is not difficult to find that there are signs of camp division in the world. Against this background, Iran , one of the "hot countries", has given its own answer.
Global Times quoted Russian News Agency as saying that Iranian Foreign Minister Abdullahyan said, "We do not support either side of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, and we should not provide weapons support to any side of the conflict, because that will cause the war to continue. We will mediate from it and facilitate the two sides to resolve the crisis through dialogue."
We know that not long ago, Iran's domestic drones appeared in the Ukrainian battlefield in large numbers, making considerable contributions to the Russian army. But Russia and Iran have always denied this statement, saying that this is something Western countries are interested in causing trouble, further stimulating tensions. In July this year, in response to the issue of "Iran providing drones to Russia", the Iranian foreign minister said during a call with the Ukrainian foreign minister that "those reports are unfounded."
Just two months later, Iran reiterated that it will not intervene in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. This move may send two signals to the outside world: First, on geopolitical issues, Iran maintains an independent strategic judgment and is never subject to any major power. Although Iran and Russia have good relations and the two countries are strategic partners, this does not constitute a reason for Iran to intervene in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. The essence of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict is caused by NATO's eastward expansion of . Once Iran intervenes, it will cause collective hatred by the United States and other countries, and will be subject to more severe encirclement.
Secondly, peace talks are still an effective way to resolve the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. At present, the four eastern Ukraine states have joined the Russian Federation through a referendum, and Russia has mobilized 300,000 people to prepare to defend its own security. Seeing the intensity of confrontation with further escalating, Iran's statement at this time may send signals to Russia and Ukraine at the same time, hoping that both sides will calm down and sit at the negotiating table.
However, the starting point of Tehran is good, but it is extremely difficult to implement. First of all, Russia and Ukraine have long lost their basic strategic trust. This war has not stopped until now. One of the major reasons is that Russia and Ukraine cannot reach mutual trust. Ukraine believes that relying on the United States and NATO can recover lost territory and restore national unity. Russia, on the other hand, needs a strategic buffer zone and does not believe that Ukraine will give up on the idea of joining NATO. Without strategic mutual trust, there is no room for mutual understanding and compromise, and there is no way to start the peace talks...
Secondly, the continuous intervention of the United States and EU has made it difficult for the Russian-Ukrainian conflict to cool down. Although Iran will not interfere in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the United States and Europe will not stop interfering. The Ukrainian army's major counterattack not long ago was "benefited from" the support of the West. Now, seeing that the four eastern Ukraine prefectures are about to join the Russian Federation territory and even change the geopolitical pattern of Eastern Europe will inevitably arouse more vigilance and uneasiness from the West. They are now beginning to worry that Russia will continue to "advance westward", so they will definitely choose to further aid Ukraine.
Third, even if Russia and Ukraine achieve a ceasefire, there is probably no major power or international organization that can guarantee that Russia and Ukraine will never stop fighting again. After all, the conflict between the two countries has reached a point where water and fire are incompatible, especially after the four states in eastern Ukraine entered Russia, this "national hatred and family hatred" may not be forgotten by generations.
believes that with the joint efforts of peace-loving countries such as Iran, Russia and Ukraine will eventually usher in a day of ceasefire, but it is difficult to predict whether it is a "final war" or just a temporary "truce".