The large-scale war between the two countries of Asia and Afghanistan over Naqqa finally achieved a ceasefire under the strong intervention of Russia.
There are several points worthy of attention in the peaceful settlement of the Asian-African conflict:
1, Russia has played the role of the sole arbiter of the conflict. The ceasefire agreement was signed by Russia, Armenia, and Azerbaijan. It neither invited the other two chair states of the Minsk Group, the United States and France, nor allowed Turkey to participate in it;
2, the Russian military "exclusively" played the role of peacekeeping in the disputed area Even if France and Turkey participate in the follow-up mission, they can only play a supervisory and auxiliary role.
3. After the intervention of the Russian army, its control over the two countries involved has actually been strengthened.
4. In this conflict, Armenia was forced to sign a peace treaty of "bereavement and humiliation of the country", a veritable loser. The reason why Putin has been reluctant to take action is generally considered by the outside world to "learn" the Pashnian government-blindly being close to the West will have to pay a painful price.
The situation in Armenia is a wake-up call to Ukraine, another former Soviet country. If Ukraine insists on going its own way and chooses to fight desperately against its strong neighbor Russia and resolve the Donbass and Crimea issues by force, it may be the end of Animea that awaits it.
Once Russia takes a decisive move, the "masters" that Ukraine relies on-NATO and the European Union are likely to just stand on the sidelines and will not directly intervene in the conflict. They will only make symbolic statements of condemnation and introduce some irrelevant sanctions.
In fact, NATO did not take action in the 2008 Russia-Georgia war, the 2014 Crimean crisis, and the Asian-African war this year. For NATO, countries such as Georgia, Ukraine, and Armenia are pawns to contain Russia, while for Russia, they are compatriots of the same language and kind, and brothers who have lost their way.
, a well-known Russian political scientist Satanovsky made a comment on November 22, pointing out that Putin’s actions in the Naka conflict left the top Ukrainian leadership "stunned" .
In the last few months, the Ukrainian authorities have been actively preparing plans to use military means to solve the problems of Donbas and Crimea. On the one hand, Kiev and NATO conducted joint exercises during which they practiced nuclear strikes and beach landings on Russia. On the other hand, Ukraine and Turkey are fighting fiercely, strengthening military cooperation with the latter, hoping that the latter can become Your own safety backer.
However, the final result of the Naka conflict made the Ukrainian military and political leaders feel jealous. Almost overnight, a large number of well-equipped Russian military clusters appeared in this disputed area of Naca. The lightning intervention of the Russian army caught Turkey off guard, and NATO did not have time to say a word.
As a hardline fighter, Satanovsky believes that if Ukraine decides to implement a military aggressive policy in the Donbass region, it will be a good thing for Russia: Russia can take the opportunity to let go and send troops into the area for maintenance. peace.
Satanowski pointed out that Moscow should not stop at regaining Crimea in 2014, but should take advantage of the situation to occupy the area east of the Dnieper River in Ukraine, including the adjacent Dnieper River.
However, the Naqqa conflict also shows to a certain extent that Russia is more cautious when it directly intervenes in the internal conflicts of neighboring countries, and will not take action easily if it is not a last resort.
Zelensky authorities should learn certain lessons from the Naka conflict. In resolving the Donbass issue, Kiev must be more careful to introduce external forces and give full consideration to the strategic bottom line of strong neighbors. (Author: LIU Sheng any)
