Just after New Year's Day, disturbing bad news came. According to reports, the US strain XXB1.5, which is spreading in the United States, has settled in Shanghai. It is reported that three cases have been found. Look at the Spring Festival is coming soon. More and more people are going home to celebrate the New Year. With the dense flow of people, it is very likely that it will infect the whole country. Can we not worry about it?
Recently, experts from all walks of life have made predictions one after another in public. We ordinary people don’t know which one is accurate and which one is not accurate. What should we do?
Expert Zhang Wenhong predicted in a recent interview that the second wave of infections will peak around the Spring Festival, and 80% will be contagious. We can’t help but ask, if the first wave is not over yet, why is the second wave coming soon? Isn’t it said that 3-6 months after illness is the time when immunity is strongest? Where did our immunity go after the first wave of infection? How was this ratio predicted? We are indeed puzzled.
Academician of the Chinese Academy of Sciences Zhong Nanshan said some time ago that in March 2023, the new crown epidemic will be over, and people will return to their normal life and work. We are full of expectations for this. The three-year epidemic has finally come out. However, after listening to expert Zhang Wenhong's prediction that the second wave of the new coronavirus epidemic will arrive during the Spring Festival in 2023, and the number of infections may reach about 80%, we are full of doubts again. Will the epidemic end in March? When will it end?
Let’s look at what the famous epidemiology expert Zeng Guang predicted at the “2022 Phoenix Finance Summit” on December 29-30. Beijing new crown infections are estimated to exceed 80%. The storm in the first wave (of the epidemic) is relatively large, which indicates that the second wave will be very low, because the dry wood is almost burned out. After two weeks of infection, at least you won’t have to wear N95 masks like now, and you don’t have to wear masks in some places.
After listening to Zeng Guang’s prediction, people are full of hope again. Let alone not wearing a mask, just wearing a mask will prevent the second and third waves of infections from happening again, which is what we want.
However, take a look at Wu Zunyou, chief epidemiologist at the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention , said in an interview on December 29 that during the Spring Festival, as people move more frequently, faster, and over larger distances, the faster the spread and the more frequent the spread. Therefore, the Spring Festival travel season has made the epidemic more complicated. Therefore, we feel that the Spring Festival is indeed a hurdle. The epidemic is highly contagious and there may be large infections.
Recently, we have read the predictions and judgments of experts one by one, and we feel that we don’t know which expert to listen to.
However, it is said that the second wave of virus is expected around the Spring Festival. Others say the virus is different this time and attacks the intestines instead. The last wave caused high fever, and the second wave struck after the Spring Festival. This virus caused diarrhea. I heard that people in Shanghai were rushing to buy and store montmorillonite powder again. Is this true? Alas, I would rather believe that it exists than believe that it does not exist. It is better to prepare some medicine in advance so as not to be unable to buy it later.
Experts from all walks of life have their own opinions and reasons for their predictions. Compared to us ordinary people, they are all experts’ predictions. We feel that what they say is reasonable. It is really difficult to judge who is right.
Just after the first wave of infection, let’s see what the doctors said. A small number of people will have myocardial involvement within two weeks of being infected with COVID-19. Are we still worried? Now, with so many experts predicting, it’s really confusing.
I do think that experts should get together to conduct sufficient research, comprehensive analysis and judgment, form a scientific consensus, and publish such a consensus so that ordinary people like us can have a recognized view and avoid such confusion and panic. Isn’t this the case? #headlinescreationchallenge#
