Recently, it has snowed in , Kiev, , the capital of Ukraine, and the temperature has dropped below zero. Will the "General Winter" help Russia or Ukraine?
Some foreign media said that winter has helped Russia win the most difficult wars many times, including Napoleonic Wars and World War II . This time is no exception. The cold weather will help Russia.
However, everything has two sides, one time and another. In fact, this winter is a severe test for both the Russian and Ukrainian troops.
For the Russian army, the advantages of winter combat include:
First, Ukraine has been on an offensive as a whole in recent months and has regained a large number of territory, including Khlsong . However, winter combat is more conducive to the defense side. The Russian army has a lot of experience in winter defensive operations. It is very difficult for the Ukrainian army to continue to regain territory.
Second, the Russian army has abundant energy and food, and has a complete rear and a complete logistics delivery system. Once a confrontation with the Ukrainian army in winter, the Russian army will have the strength to carry it on for a long time.
However, advantages are also accompanied by disadvantages.
Although the Russian army has no major problems in defense, if it wants to attack and make breakthroughs, it is still very difficult to eliminate the Ukrainian army's stronghold in the Donbas area. Offensive actions in winter will be greatly affected by bad weather.
Second, although the Russian army has rich resources, the logistics transport convoy and logistics base are prone to attack, especially the Ukrainian drone and Himas rocket launcher , which is particularly accurate in fighting, and the Russian army cannot defend itself.
For Ukraine, she has lived in this land all year round, and her experience in winter combat is actually similar to that of the Russian army, and she even has the advantage of geographical advantages.
The biggest problem facing Ukraine may be the logistical support issue. At present, the Russian army continues to attack Ukraine's rear, and large-scale attacks on Ukraine's power stations, oil storage tanks, , gas pipelines, etc., killing Ukraine's energy system. Once the transportation line in Ukraine is interrupted and the front line lacks fuel, it may not be able to use normally from tank to armored vehicles to aircraft, which is very dangerous.
In this sense, in the upcoming winter battle, the key to the victory or defeat on the battlefield may be to depend on the logistics of both sides. Which side can better guarantee its own logistics and destroy the logistics of the other side, which side can gain an advantage.
Recently, some Ukrainian officials issued a warning that the situation may become "difficult" in the future and the temperature may drop to minus 10 degrees Celsius. In the cold weather, no matter which side, it will not easily launch large-scale combat operations.
Next, we can only wait and see whether there will be a large-scale battle between Russia and Ukraine, or whether we will stand on our own positions to confront each other.
