Yong Seok-yeol Step-yeol Step-yeol stuttering, Peninsula's gunpowder scent
Step-yeol stuttering since South Korean President Yoon Seok-yeol took office, his internal and external policies have repeatedly "strike" in the SAR buffer zone. Recently, the South Korean army launched a large-scale artillery bombardment in the 38th parallel buffer zone. The relationship between North Korea and South Korea seems to be in a tense state similar to that before the Russian-Ukrainian war. However, Yoon Seok-young is not a simple reckless politician. While he has shown a tough attitude towards North Korea recently, he has shown a very "friendly" side to China. It is obvious that Yoon Seo-hyun demonstrated a very smooth side in diplomacy. On the one hand, he is unwilling to offend China, and on the other hand, he hopes to gain greater support from the United States for South Korea with his recent tough attitude towards North Korea.
The situation on the Korean Peninsula has escalated again recently, and it can even be said to have reached the highest point of the dangerous atmosphere since the armistice. However, in the context of the Russian-Ukraine conflict, the North Korea-South Korea crisis, which has always been the headlines of international news, seems a bit insignificant at this time. According to public information such as satellite photos, North Korea is conducting a new round of tunnel leveling operations on Tunnel No. 3 in Fengxili, and there are obvious signs of preparing for the seventh nuclear test. North Korea also constantly mentions the development of nuclear forces in its public statement. It can be seen that North Korea has the possibility of restarting the development of a new round of nuclear bomb while the United States has no time to take care of the peninsula.
North Korea and South Korea challenged each other, just one step away from the conflict
First, North Korea and South Korea each tested multiple rounds of missiles to demonstrate to each other, and then an hour-long fighter confrontation occurred between the air forces of both sides. Then, artillery shooting incidents occurred on both sides in the 38th parallel area of , and the South Korean artillery even shelled the North Korean side for 40 minutes. Fortunately, the two sides did not escalate the conflict immediately. The Korean artillery was likely to have intentionally targeted the unmanned area, and may have informed the Korean army of in advance of the bombardment, which did not trigger the artillery battle between the two sides, and thus quickly triggered the Second Korean War.
In fact, as for Yoon Seo-yeon himself, his peninsula national strategy at the beginning of his tenure was quite radical, and he quickly completed the peaceful reunification of the peninsula nationality. Its radical attitude even aroused disgust from North Korea, which had a sense of déjà vu as an "idealist right-wing politician". In fact, almost all Yoon Seo-yeol's policy is quite bold. Looking at the history of Korean politics in the 21st century, it can even be said to be extremely courageous. Such as the sudden layoff of the Korean Women's Welfare Ministry and the large-scale improvement of the Korean military's food supply system. It can be said that although Yoon Seo-hyun is a Korean right-wing politician with a more extreme position, his determination and courage are rare among the South Korean presidents in the past 30 years.
However, although Yoon Seok-yeol can use his presidential power and influence to carry out drastic changes within South Korea, Yoon Seok-yeol can do very limitedly in the issue of peninsula unification that involves the interests of the entire Northeast Asia and even the whole world. With the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian war, North Korea in the north also realized that this was an excellent opportunity to "take fish in troubled waters". In the UN General Assembly vote not long ago, North Korea decisively voted to support Russia. Recently, the North Korean Air Force dispatched several MiG 29 fighter jets, , to participate in an aerial performance. It can be seen that North Korea has recently arrived a large number of spare parts and high-quality aviation kerosene for mg 29. Obviously, this is highly likely to come from Russia's reciprocity.
In this NATO energy is almost entirely concentrated on the Russian-Ukrainian war stall, and North Korea also understands that this is a once-in-a-lifetime nuclear test opportunity. Anyway, the economic sanctions that North Korea has suffered are no longer enough. Now Americans have no time to launch a military strike on North Korea. If North Korea conducts a nuclear test at this time, the United States is likely to be unable to put as much pressure on North Korea as in the previous six times. Faced with this situation, the most embarrassing thing is actually Yoon Seo-yeol, who was shouting about reconciliation between the north and the south and unification between the north and the south. Under the impact of the global trend, Yoon Seo-yeol's previous wishful statement turned into a clown.
However, as a always bold politician, Yoon Seo-yeol quickly adjusted his "tactics" and quickly changed into an extremely tough attitude towards North Korea. After all, judging from the fact that Zelensky was abandoned by NATO in the Russian-Ukraine war, and NATO aid came in half a month later, Yoon Seo-yeol probably understood the truth that "NATO only assists self-helpers" and began a tactic of counterattack against North Korea in military operations. Without triggering the war, it constantly used sea and air confrontation, army shelling, and missile test-fire with North Korea, especially the first "large-scale national protection exercise" held in five years, creating a scene where the South Korean army is working hard to "resist the North Korean threat." After all, Zelensky withstood Russia on the Ukrainian battlefield and suddenly received the most intensive Western military aid since the World War II Lease Act. South Korea has now begun to "threat" for the West. Even if the United States is unable to provide military aid, it will take more or less politically to take care of South Korea.
"Anti-DPRK but not anti-China", Yoon Seo-yeon took South Korea to bet
After all, for the South Korean president, obtaining support from the United States and at least endorsement from the United States is the most important guarantee for his stable appointment. Many of Yoon Seok-yeol's right-leaning policies have actually been contrary to the current American Democratic Party's ideology , which requires Yoon Seok-yeol to come up with chips worthy of the support of the Biden- government. Actively "confronting North Korea" is obviously an excellent routine for South Korea to win the recognition and support of the United States. Of course, Yoon Seo-yeol is not stupid, just like Zeliansky. He understands that although he is regarded as cannon fodder by the United States, he must not be a complete cannon fodder. Therefore, Yoon Seok-yeol government pursued the policy of "anti-DPRK but not anti-China". Although it is tough on North Korea, its attitude towards China is still quite "kind". After all, if you are in conflict with North Korea, as long as you control it and do not have a war, then at best, there will be some tension in the border areas, and once again delay the already illusory "Pendant Island National Unification Dream". However, if you are in conflict with China, then South Korea will really face an economic catastrophe.
In general, Yoon Seok-yeol's recent toughness against North Korea is largely a "learning and justified" against Zelensky to a certain extent, while Konstantin Asmorov, a senior researcher at the Institute of Modern Asia, the Russian Academy of Sciences, believes that: The South Korean government is preparing to bet once. Yoon Seok-yeol believes that North Korea will not launch a war and expresses loyalty to the United States through military provocations on the 38th parallel. For the United States, if South Korea can fight North Korea hard without actively launching a war, it will be beneficial to maintain its huge influence in Northeast Asia and even stabilize the situation in East Asia under the background of the Russian-Ukrainian war and avoid fighting on both sides. Therefore, in the short term, the Biden administration should also repay Yoon Seo-yeo and give certain political returns.
