In recent times, people from many European countries have taken to the streets to protest due to the energy crisis.
march broke out in more than 50 towns in the UK, protesting the current soaring energy prices and rising cost of living. On the streets of Cardiff, the capital of Wales, tens of thousands of people called for "Welsh independence".
In addition, as the main pillar of the EU economy, Germany has the best economic foundation and the healthiest among the Western European major countries.
But now, after Britain and France, the German people can no longer sit still and began to take to the streets to protest, demanding that the government raise wages and minimum income, while opposing Germany's continued assistance to Ukraine and demanding "withdrawal from NATO ".
As a "democratic country", there is such a strong anti-war wave in China. Will the German government change its attitude in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict and seek to ease relations with Russia? To put it more bluntly, can the fear of the upcoming cold winter in European countries form strong public opinion and change the future direction of this war? The problem of
must be analyzed from three aspects. First of all, from the perspective of capabilities, the EU, as an important pillar of NATO, plays a crucial role in the war between Russia and Ukraine.
Not to mention that Ukraine has long been unable to fight, it is entirely supported by military and economic assistance provided by the EU and the United States. Once the EU suspends various aid to Ukraine, the United States will have to bear the war costs of Ukraine and Russia alone. With the current economic situation of the United States, it is impossible for it to spend so much money at once.
purely from a military perspective, the military strength of European countries is indeed relatively weak, and the United States is the one who actively assists Ukrainian military equipment. But the US equipment also needs to be transported to Ukraine through the EU. To put it bluntly, the EU is Ukraine's rear in this war, and a safe rear without the threat of Russia.
Once the EU refuses to assume this role, even if the United States wants to support Ukraine in its battle, it will not be able to form a stable logistics line.
In short, if you consider it from the perspective of whether you can, the EU can completely change the direction of this war.
Secondly, having the ability is one thing, and whether or not you are willing to use this ability is another matter. Now, from the perspective of willingness, the EU governments are actually unwilling to stop Ukraine and Russia from fighting.
Many people say that the reason why the EU refuses to negotiate peace with Russia is that the United States does not allow it. This is of course a factor, but it is not a decisive factor. The relationship between the EU major powers and the United States is far from being completely dominated by the United States like Japan and the United States. The EU still has a certain degree of autonomy in front of the United States.
The most fundamental reason why they are now willing to be "manipulated" by the United States is that it is not only the will of the United States, but also the will of the EU. It is even one of the highest goals of the EU.
Back then, France united Western European countries, formed the European Coal and Steel Community , and later developed into the EU. Its core purpose is one, that is, to integrate European power, turn Europe into a superpower like China and the United States, and compete for global discourse power.
In recent years, the EU has been continuously expanding eastward to form such a community of interests in Europe. Ukraine plays an important role in the vision of "one EU country". It is not only the forefront of NATO's encirclement of Russia, but also the ideal border for the EU.
Now that the Russian-Ukraine war is fighting, the four places in eastern Ukraine are "occupied" by Russia, more importantly, once the EU negotiates peace with Russia now, it is equivalent to completely giving up the hope of "EU unification". This is the reason why the EU would rather be harvested by the United States than grit its teeth and persevere in this war.
Of course, the ambition of politicians is completely different from the wishes of the people.Unlike China, Europe has been dismembered from cultural and national identity for more than 1,000 years of separatist history. If it is to unify again, even if it is just a loose alliance, it will be difficult to ascend to heaven. Because the people of European countries do not have the cultural genes of unifiedness.
In the context of this, politicians from major Western European countries resisted the various negative effects of the Russian-Ukrainian war in order to integrate European markets and resources. However, the people of various countries could not understand the significance of doing so at all?
Because of this, a large-scale protest has broken out now. Judging from the expected results, as a coalition of "democratic countries", Europe's political system determines that their politicians cannot insist on following the United States in the context of surging public opinion.
Unless the EU can find new, cheaper energy sources like Russia and spend this cold winter, as inflation takes longer, the governments of these countries will one day not be able to persevere, turn around and ease relations with Russia and regain cheap energy.