From the current point of view, the Western countries led by the United States have basically exhausted their means of dealing with Russia. The sanctions have not seriously injured Russia, but have backfired on the United States and Europe, leaving the West with a broken head.
What is the future direction of the Russia-Ukraine conflict? On the one hand, we need to observe the statements and actions of Russia and Ukraine ; on the other hand, we need to focus on the G7 leaders’ summit and the NATO summit to see what the United States and the West will say next.
According to the Russian Ministry of Defense report, the Russian army and the Luhansk armed forces have now fully controlled the cities of Severodonetsk, Borovskoye and two residential areas.
We have said before that Russia is in no hurry. In response to the issue of NATO's eastward expansion , Russia, which has withstood the sanctions imposed by the United States and the West, has strategic hope of winning from defeat.
Ukraine and NATO have sent relatively complicated signals in the past few days. Let’s take a look at it using a timeline. Earlier, Ukrainian presidential adviser Arestovich said that he doubted whether NATO or the EU was ready to accept Ukraine, but Ukraine was already a "de facto" member of NATO, and NATO had promised to help Ukraine "win" with Russia. conflict.
This can be understood as Ukraine putting pressure on the United States and the West.
Since then, NATO Secretary General Stoltenberg said in an interview with Spain's "El Pais" that the Russia-Ukraine conflict is likely to end in negotiations, but before that, NATO's responsibility is to "provide Ukraine as much as possible" "Strong military and economic support" and push for severe sanctions against Russia.
This can be understood as a response to NATO's pressure on Ukraine. NATO does not care about the fate of Ukraine, but Russia has not been seriously weakened. NATO is dissatisfied with this, so NATO will continue to support Ukraine and consume Russia.
Later, Igor Zovkva, deputy director of the Ukrainian President’s Office, said that NATO members had failed to live up to Ukraine’s expectations of joining, and that Ukraine had accepted the reality that it could not join NATO. However, he hopes that NATO will delete any mention of Russia as a "partner" in the new strategic concept, and hopes to add anti-Russian text, which will issue a harsher and more serious warning to Russia.
This can be understood as Ukraine proving its identity as cannon fodder for the puppets of the United States and the West, but Ukraine is afraid of being completely sold out by NATO, and is afraid of compromise between the United States, the West, and Russia. The Zelensky government is constrained by the anti-Russian faction in Ukraine and hopes that NATO will recognize its hostile attitude towards Russia in text.
From the above three latest interactions between Ukraine and NATO, we can probably tell that the new sanctions imposed by the United States and the West on Russia at this G7 leaders' summit and the NATO summit are probably louder than rain.
Biden announced that G7 countries would ban the import of Russian gold. In fact, Russian gold had stopped exporting to London and New York a few months ago. The G7 meeting will discuss the Biden administration's proposal to limit the price of Russian oil. The United States and most EU countries no longer buy Russian oil, and price limits are just a dream. G7 just puts on a show and talks harsh words.
The most unhappy thing about the United States and EU countries now is that sanctions have no effect. Russia has not been brought down. Prices in the United States and Europe have collapsed, and they are still facing economic recession. Next, the United States and Europe will be very hesitant. The longer the conflict between Russia and Ukraine lasts, the more beneficial it is to Russia. The United States and Europe want to end the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, but there is no step to step down now, and Russia will not give up the step to the United States.
As for Ukraine and the Zelensky government, the United States and the West have already thought about it. Russia would not object to the EU giving it candidate membership status anyway. Only God knows when Ukraine will officially join the EU.
NATO will not let Ukraine join. Ukraine already knew this. NATO wanted to expand eastward and use Ukraine as cannon fodder to threaten Russia, and Ukrainian politicians cooperated. In order to make money, some Ukrainian politicians sold their national interests and the lives of Ukrainian people.
How to deal with Zelensky’s government and neo-Nazis within Ukraine? The United States, the West, and Russia will have differences in the future.From the perspective of the United States and the West, they want to protect Russia and set up a banner of "anti-Russian political correctness" in Eastern Europe. From a Russian perspective, the neo-Nazis in Ukraine must be liquidated, and Russia must ensure the justice and morality of its military operations.
Russia's greatest strategic interest is to untie the EU and the United States through the final outcome of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and reduce the influence of the United States in Europe. The strategic interest of the United States is to continue to weaken Russia. From the perspective of the political atmosphere in Europe, the United States has achieved its goal; but from an economic and strategic perspective, the United States not only has nothing to gain, but may also lose something.
