The conflict between Russia and Ukraine has just entered its 118th day, and three pieces of bad news came in succession, putting Ukrainian President Zelensky in a very bad mood. First, when he was inspecting Lisichansk, the area was suddenly bombarded. It should be noted that thi

The conflict between Russia and Ukraine has just entered its 118th day, and three pieces of bad news came in succession, which made Ukrainian President Zelenskiy feel very bad.

First, when he was inspecting Lisichansk, the area was suddenly shelled. Please note that this is the front line of the Donbass battlefield, across the river is Severonetsk, where the fighting is fierce. It seems that the Russian army has formed an oppressive force here.

Second, the EU summit will discuss "whether to grant Ukraine candidate country status" this week, but former Russian President Medvedev came to "splash cold water" again, claiming that Ukraine will have to wait until at least the middle of this century , by then The EU may collapse like the Soviet Union.

Third, US President Biden will start a "European trip" at the end of the month, and will participate in the G7 Summit and the NATO Summit. However, while he claimed to speak to Zelensky four times a week, he also made it clear This time it is "unlikely" to access Kiev .

In short, whether on the battlefield or in the diplomatic field, Ukraine now feels a bit "everything is not going well" . More importantly, Russia claimed yesterday that it had accurately attacked a Ukrainian army command post and "beheaded" more than 50 officers, including even the Ukrainian army general .

Faced with this crisis, Zelensky needs to "take back the city" as soon as possible to avoid military instability and low morale.

Sure enough, Ukraine’s “retaliation” was not late.

On the 20th local time, Aksyonov, the leader of the Crimean Republic , said that 3 offshore drilling platforms of the local "Black Sea Oil and Gas Company" were attacked by the Ukrainian army. At that time, there were 109 oil rigs on the three platforms. people.

It is reported that the first platform was the most severely damaged. Only 5 of the 12 workers on it have been rescued , 3 of whom were injured. The Russian Ministry of Defense is fully searching for the remaining 7 people .

Fortunately, there were no casualties on the other two platforms.

However, this does not mean that Russia will swallow its anger. On the contrary, due to the bad nature of this accident, Moscow is likely to be planning a counterattack against . Why is

"evil"? Mainly reflected in the following three aspects.

First, Although the Ukrainian media claimed that the target of the missile fired by the Ukrainian army was the Snake Island not far away, various signs indicate that the accident was just as the Russian side said: it was an "attack." It is not an "accidental injury" to .

The most direct evidence is that three Worldview satellites of the American commercial satellite company "Digital Earth" took pictures of the sea area where the three attacked drilling platforms were located on June 11, 13 and 14 respectively. As we all know, missile attacks require precise positioning, and this American company provides defense and intelligence services.

Secondly, this is the first time that the Ukrainian army has launched an attack on energy facilities in Crimea. Moreover, these drilling platforms are civilian facilities, and hundreds of staff are also innocent civilians.

Prior to this, both Russia and Ukraine had attacked each other's military-related energy facilities, such as refineries that provide fuel to the military.

But this time, the Ukrainian army made a "bad start" . If any of the seven missing staff members are unfortunately killed, it will become irrefutable evidence that the Ukrainian army killed civilians.

Moreover, there are a lot of Russian offshore drilling platforms, but most of them are far away from the land. It is difficult for to be covered by air defense system , and Russia has no reason to "prevent thieves for a thousand days." But if they are forced to abandon these platforms, in the context of soaring international energy prices, Russia will definitely suffer a lot of losses. This is undoubtedly a dilemma.

Third, Ukraine’s missile system has limited performance, so Russia believes that the missiles used by the Ukrainian army are likely to be military aid provided by Britain and the United States.

If true, it means that Britain and the United States did not take Russia's warnings seriously, because Medvedev once "made harsh words" and said: If the Ukrainian army uses American missiles to attack the Russian mainland, then the Russian army is likely to attack the West. City launches attack on .

Of course, the next step depends on Moscow’s attitude. Whether the Russian side believes that the sea area where the attacked drilling platform is located belongs to Russian territory will become an important basis for the Russian military to choose retaliatory measures.

But it has to be said that the United States, which is still adding all kinds of weapons to Ukraine, is worthy of being the "master" of in fanning the flames of , which can always add another barrel of oil to the situation "just right".

But I often walk by the river. How can I not get my shoes wet? Although the United States tried its best to avoid leaving evidence of "direct participation" in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and the Biden administration has repeatedly called on Americans not to go to Ukraine, some American mercenaries were still captured by the Russian army.

As early as last Wednesday, sources revealed that two former American soldiers were captured while fighting with the Russian army in Ukraine.. In response, the U.S. State Department announced that it was launching an investigation. It was not until the 20th local time that Russian Presidential Press Secretary Peskov finally responded.

He emphasized three points in an interview with US media.

1, these people are just "for money" , not for so-called justice.

2, These people are committing crimes on Ukrainian territory and their crimes endanger the lives of Russian troops, so they must be punished.

3, These people are not Ukrainian soldiers, so the provisions of the " Geneva Convention" on the treatment of prisoners of war are not applicable..

It can be summed up in one sentence: Russia will severely sentence the two American mercenaries . There is no doubt that neither the United States nor Ukraine want to see such a situation.

As a matter of fact, these two people are former US soldiers. Even if the United States does not admit that "sending troops to Ukraine to fight", the diplomatic sensitivity of their identities determines that Russia can treat this matter as "the United States is directly involved." "Russia-Ukraine conflict" evidence, by then the White House will fall into diplomatic passivity.

Secondly, on June 9, the Donetsk District Court just sentenced to death three foreign mercenaries who fought in Ukraine, and two of them were British. Peskov also admitted that there is no guarantee that the two captured American mercenaries will not be sentenced to death. The White House will have to face a difficult problem: To save or not to save?

If rescued, what price is Washington prepared to pay? If is not saved, is the White House ready for to deal with the public backlash against ?

Third, these captured American mercenaries had previously admitted in interviews that "were abandoned by the Ukrainian commander" , and called on other veterans to "think carefully before coming to Ukraine."

In addition, the US media just quoted an obituary yesterday, which stated that a 52-year-old US citizen died in Ukraine. It is reported that was a veteran of the U.S. Army and the cause of his death was that he was killed by a landmine in Ukraine.

These news will not only discourage some people from going to Ukraine to fight, but will also shake the morale of mercenaries from various countries who are fighting in Ukraine. If the so-called "international team" suddenly retreats at a critical moment, it is likely to put the Ukrainian army in an unfavorable situation and even cause the war to deteriorate.

In short, we still hope that the United States and the West will stop disrupting the situation between Russia and Ukraine and intensifying conflicts between the two parties. Relevant parties should actively promote peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, achieve a ceasefire as soon as possible, and create favorable conditions for innocent people to return home..