The new round of oil price adjustment and decline may be a foregone conclusion. The specific time is 24:00 on December 19, 2022. This is the 24 rounds of refined oil price adjustments since this year, and it is also the last round of oil price adjustments this year. At that time,

brings good news to everyone! The new round of oil price adjustment and decline may be a foregone conclusion. The specific time is 24:00 on December 19, 2022. This is the 24 rounds of refined oil price adjustments since this year, and it is also the last round of oil price adjustments this year. At that time, my country's gasoline and diesel retail price limit will show new changes. It is expected that the overall price fluctuation will be mainly fluctuating and falling, achieving the tenth lowering this year. This view is that the corresponding crude oil change rate of the pricing cycle will remain within the negative range. The cumulative decline of oil prices is far beyond the red line of -50 yuan/ton, and the gasoline and diesel prices are in a state of sharp decline.

Of course, for those who often pay attention to changes in domestic oil price forecasts, it is very clear that the expected reduction of gasoline and diesel prices has exceeded the 400 yuan/ton and 500 yuan/ton marks, because the forecast decline of my country's refined oil prices has gradually expanded in 4 working days before the pricing statistics cycle, which has greatly increased the probability of oil price adjustment and decline. Some institutions even initially predict that a new round of oil price adjustment and decline has become a foregone conclusion, but the specific reduction is still to be further discussed. After all, there are still 6 working days left before the oil price adjustment window is opened, so as consumers, we need to wait patiently.

Secondly, according to the latest oil price reduction of 510 yuan/ton, it can be seen that if calculated in liters, the expected decline in gasoline and diesel prices is 0.39 yuan/liter-0.44 yuan/liter. It is obviously in the scope of a sharp drop overall, and the current expected decline in oil prices is greater than the previous round of oil price forecast. Therefore, there is a greater possibility of a new round of refined oil price reduction. Referring to the current latest domestic gasoline and diesel prices, after the price adjustment ends at 24:00 on December 19, it is expected that the No. 92 gasoline that most people are concerned about is fully entering the "7 yuan era", because since the last sharp drop in refined oil price adjustment, the price of No. 92 gasoline in many places across the country has fallen below 8.0 yuan/liter and falls back to the "7 yuan era". Car owners and friends pay a total of less than 400 yuan for a box of 50 liters of gasoline.

However, with the opening of the new round of refined oil pricing cycle, the crude oil change rate on the fourth working day of the pricing cycle is -10.94%, and the cumulative reduction of gasoline and diesel price forecast has expanded to 510 yuan/ton. Therefore, it is initially predicted that the average price of No. 92 gasoline in the country will be reduced by 0.40 yuan/liter. If the price of No. 92 gasoline in Chongqing, Guangxi, Guizhou, Heilongjiang and Yunnan will all fall below the 8.0 yuan/liter mark. Therefore, the new round of oil price adjustment and decline is a foregone conclusion, and No. 92 gasoline is expected to fully enter the "7 yuan era". Similarly, if the new round of price adjustment of refined oil is implemented, the corresponding prices of No. 95 gasoline and No. 0 diesel will also see a significant drop. At that time, consumers' refueling costs will further decline, and my country's refined oil prices will show a new situation of "13 rises, 10 falls, 1 stranded".

Furthermore, since the beginning of this year, my country's retail price limit for refined oil has undergone 23 adjustments, including 13 increases, 9 decreases and 1 stranded. After the oil prices fluctuated, the cumulative price of gasoline and diesel rose by 1,030 yuan and 990 yuan per ton, respectively, which was significantly lower than the first half of the year. To be converted into liter prices, the cumulative increase of No. 92 gasoline, No. 95 gasoline and No. 0 diesel per liter are 0.81 yuan, 0.85 yuan and 0.84 yuan in turn. Therefore, for ordinary private cars, the owner's friend will add a box of 50 liters of gasoline to about 40 yuan more than at the beginning of this year, and the same is true for 0 diesel . Finally, referring to the operating conditions of the crude oil change rate in the 24th round of refined oil pricing cycle and the expected decline of oil prices by more than 500 yuan/ton, it is predicted that after the final round of oil price adjustment of this year, the cumulative increase of my country's gasoline and diesel prices in will continue to shrink, and then the cost of consumers' refueling will be reduced again.

To sum up, the new round of oil price adjustment and decline has become a foregone conclusion. It is expected that after the price adjustment, the No. 92 gasoline will fully enter the "7 yuan era" after the price adjustment period is over. Because since the price adjustment cycle has begun, the price adjustment reference crude oil change rate has been continuously expanded within the negative range. The cumulative decline of the oil price forecast has exceeded the 500 yuan/ton mark, which is much higher than the price adjustment red line, and it is obviously in line with the standard of a sharp drop. The market's expectations for oil demand have cooled down, and the price adjustment is getting closer and closer, so the retail price limit of gasoline and diesel is likely to achieve the tenth lower of the year.