The US midterm elections have entered a one-month countdown, and the density of campaign rallies between the Democratic and Republican parties in the United States has increased. At the same time, the support rate of Biden and continues to decline, and Trump may usher in a major opportunity.
According to Global Network , US media reports said that the United States will hold a midterm election on November 8, and this election will re-elect all 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives and 35 seats in the 100 seats in the Senate. This election is not only a "midterm exam" for US President Biden, but it is also regarded as a "outpost" of the 2024 presidential election. As the election enters a month's countdown, the density of campaign rallies between the Democratic and Republican parties in the United States has increased, and campaign advertisements are overwhelming, full of fierce words to expose and attack opponents. For Democrats, which have only a slight advantage in the Senate and House of Representatives, it is not easy to maintain control, especially high inflation and sluggish economic reality have become new weaknesses in the Biden administration.
At the moment, the United States is suffering the worst inflation in 40 years, and the cost of living has soared, affecting voters' views on the current government. US media said that most voters believe that the country is moving in the wrong direction, believing that the United States is still struggling to cope with the once-in-a-century epidemic and growing concerns about an economic recession. Some Republican candidates have taken the opportunity to point their finger at Democrats and Biden, believing that they have caused the current economic hardship. In this regard, some analysts pointed out that if the midterm elections eventually turn to economic issues, then Biden's Democratic Party is likely to be in trouble. It is worth mentioning that at this critical moment, Biden's approval rating continued to decline. On October 4, local time, according to the latest poll results, Biden's approval rating has dropped to 40%. In addition, the survey also found that 51% of female American voters aged 50 or over have not decided to vote for the Democrats or Republicans in the midterm elections this November, with four out of ten saying they will not be decided a few weeks before the election. Whether these female voters will eventually participate in the voting will have a key impact on the election results. In this case, Peter Hart, a senior Democratic pollster, said that even the "slightest shock" could make the Democratic Party a minority party.
British media commented that the midterm elections will shape the second half of President Biden's presidency and ultimately affect the entire country. If Democrats lose the House, they will find it harder to pass legislation than they are now. They have already encountered difficulties in voting rights, climate change, reproductive rights, and gun control. US media said that if the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives, it may become a tool for former US President Trump to retaliate and may impeach key cabinet officials during the cruel preparation stage of the 2024 presidential election, including investigating the current president himself.
At the same time, Trump is running around in campaign rallies everywhere, using his influence within the party to stand up for Republican candidates. On October 9th local time, Trump participated in the campaign at Mesa in Arizona. The day before, he also appeared at a rally in Minden, Nevada. At present, the election has entered the final sprint stage. Georgia , Nevada, Pennsylvania and other " swing state ". Both parties have invested millions of dollars in campaign advertising to "bomb out" voters. Most American public opinion believes that the final result of the midterm election remains suspense. According to the latest polls, Republicans are expected to have a high probability of taking over the House of Representatives in November, but may not be able to gain a greater advantage. The Senate election situation is still relatively stalemate. If the Senate "changes ownership", a Republican-led Senate may block Biden's judicial nominee and may also use the president's budget plan as a "bargaining weight" to work with the House to obstruct any actions on Biden's domestic agenda.
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