Buy a house, buy a car, have a deposit, get out of singles, get promoted, and get a salary increase. In the new year, of course, I hope all my wishes can be realized, work hard and set off constantly towards my goal.

What goals have you set in 2022? Buy a house, buy a car, have a deposit, get out of singles, get promoted, and get a salary increase. In the new year, of course, I hope all my wishes can be realized, work hard and set off constantly towards my goal.

What will happen to the development of the real estate market in 2022? If the price rises, it means that wealth will appreciate for families with real estate. If the price falls, the chances of buying a house will increase. Different groups of people have different expectations for real estate.

In the 1970s and 1980s, the people seemed to be not as tall as they are now. Houses simply solved the purpose of housing, and the concept of investment did not exist at all. After real estate ushered in "housing reform" in 1998, earth-shaking changes took place, which also means that real estate has entered the era of commercial housing, and all real estate transactions are freely traded.

Today's real estate not only solves housing problems, but also includes various attributes such as love, marriage, education, medical care, household registration, and finance. According to relevant data, the marriage rate of post-90s born in the 1990s who own real estate is as high as 65%, while the marriage rate of post-90s born in the 1990s who do not have real estate is only 25%. This is the charm brought by the house.

html In 098, the national average housing price was less than 2,000 yuan per square meter. After years of development, housing prices have risen to 9,747 yuan per square meter, and the overall increase has reached nearly 5 times. Many people think it is normal, because in the past 20 years, domestic prices have also risen by more than 5 times. According to data from Beike Research Institute, the average housing price in 65 cities is 17,388 yuan per square meter. In four first-tier cities, the average housing price is 65,000 yuan per square meter. There are 19 cities with housing prices exceeding 20,000 yuan, 34 cities with housing prices exceeding 15,000 yuan, and the housing prices in 103 counties have exceeded 10,000 yuan.

Now in solving social resources, real estate today has become one of the best investment and financial products that many people think. If you buy it in the hearts of ordinary people, you will make a profit. In the past, so many people in Shenzhen, the housing prices in Shenzhen rose the most, up to 43 times. The house price that was purchased at around 2,000 yuan back then can now reach 80,000 yuan per square meter.

House prices cannot continue to rise! According to data published by National Bureau of Statistics , the unit price of new houses in September was 9,757 yuan per square meter, ushering in the first turning point in the price of new houses in the past 77 months. The transaction unit price in October was 9,749 yuan per square meter, and housing prices fell to the level from 2019 to 2020. In November, 61 cities where new housing prices fell in 70 medium and large cities across the country had fallen, and 67 cities with second-hand housing prices fell. I have always chased the rise and not the fall when buying a house. Now that housing prices are in this situation, many people who want to buy a house are in a wait-and-see state and have become the most concerned point.

5 signals can make us understand how to buy a house. The China Index Academy also gave the corresponding reference direction

1. The land failure rate has repeatedly set a new high

21. The real estate market has risen wildly in 2021. The entire market is in a hot state. The transaction volume in Hefei, Shanghai, Hangzhou, Beijing and other cities has repeatedly set new highs. Hangzhou has even seen 100,000 people grab houses. In such a hot market, land can certainly be auctioned at a better price. The first land auction transaction has almost been cleared, and the transaction price has also set new highs again and many ordinary people believe that housing prices cannot fall.

The result of the second land auction was simply terrible. The second land auction provided a total of 918 pieces of land, with 296 pieces failing to sell, and the rate of failure to sell also hit a new high, reaching 31%. The average premium rate for land acquisition for the second time was only 3.9%, a decrease of 10.8% from the same period last year. Even major land auction owners such as Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Hangzhou showed a weak state during the second land auction, and the general failure rate reached more than 50%.

The overall effect of the third land auction has not improved. On October 22, Changchun launched a total of 12 land transactions, and no enterprises were willing to bid for the remaining nine, with the failure rate reaching 75%; on December 24, Shenyang launched a total of 28 land transactions, and 4 19 land transactions, with the failure rate reaching 70%. The overall land has cooled down significantly, which also marks that my country's real estate market will not be in a tight state in the development of real estate in the next few years, and land is the "barometer" of the real estate market.

According to the 2020 National Top 100 Real Estate Enterprise Development Report, land costs account for 48% of the real estate development costs, and high-end properties account for more than 60%. After the land price drops, the unit price of new houses will also decline.

2. Population is moving

Shortly, looking at the medium term of finance, land, and long term, the population is very obvious, and the land is showing a cooling state, and major real estate companies dare not take the land rashly.

According to the data from the 7th census, my country's current population is more inclined toward Yangtze River Delta , Pearl River Delta, Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, and some central provincial capital cities. Where sustainable inflows requires more social resources and the overall consumption capacity is also increasing, so the overall housing prices are still in a relatively stable state.

As for cities with lost population, the overall development potential is gradually declining. The flow of population will not be determined by the level of housing prices, but more because of the urban development potential and surrounding supporting facilities. Hegang house price is two or three thousand yuan per square meter, but no one is willing to develop there. The house is just a part of our lives, not all.

followed by the census data showing that most cities in the north are losing population. Why is this? On the one hand, it is the problem of living environment, and on the other hand, it is urban development. In the past 10 years, the number of people lost in Heilongjiang has reached more than 6 million.

3, inventory volume has increased rapidly

The current inventory of the real estate market is very similar in 2014. According to data, the inventory of newly built commercial housing in 100 cities across the country is as high as 590 million square meters, and the broad inventory volume has reached 3.77 billion square meters.

In 60 key cities across the country, the inventory of second-hand houses has reached 3.202 million units, including Beijing, Tianjin, Shenyang, Zhengzhou, Chongqing and other hot cities. The inventory of second-hand houses has reached 100,000 units, and the overall inventory reduction cycle has extended to 17.9 months.

The inventory of second-hand houses is still rising rapidly, but the transaction volume of second-hand houses has declined sharply, and the entire inventory reduction cycle has been further extended.

4. Real estate market policies continue to tighten

According to data from the Zhongyuan Research Institute, as of early December, the real estate market has issued 586 regulatory policies, of which the most impact on real estate is the 3+2 red lines. Real estate companies that have never been short of money in the past have now faced difficulties in capital turnover.

The policies issued this year include three red lines and two red lines, second-hand house reference guide price, purchase restrictions, loan restrictions, sales restrictions, price restrictions, and centralized land supply in 22 cities. These policies have not been relaxed and will continue to extend until 2022.

5. Xiaoqiang, who can't be beaten to death, real estate agents are closed down

In the past, no matter what strong winds and waves encountered, real estate agents always maintained an optimistic attitude. In their eyes, they were like the SARS encountered in 2003. As a result, they came through it. In 2008, they were under the pressure of destocking. In 2014, they also came through it. In addition, the entire market preview has also come through. It seems that there is no hurdle that cannot be overcome. Just wait patiently for a few months.

result can't wait. The market has really undergone a 180-degree change, and there is no sign of warming up. Real estate agents in many cities such as Shenzhen, Dongguan , Guangzhou, Hangzhou, Shanghai, Chengdu and other cities have ushered in a "closing wave". Real estate agents themselves can't comfort themselves and how to comfort customers, so it seems that it is clear how to move the real estate market in 2022.

7 predictions, the China Index Academy of 7 times gave an opinion on the trend of real estate prices in 2022:

The average growth price of commercial housing in the country in 2022 will be -3%~3%, the real estate sales area will be -1%~-5%, and the real estate development speed will be between 2%~5%. In 2020, the entire real estate market will first show a cooling state, then rise, and finally gradually level the relevant real estate index will slowly return to the right state in the fourth quarter of 2022.

The trend of housing prices in 2022 is already very obvious. Do you think it is a good time to buy a house?