2022 Taipei mayoral election polls, it is said that the polls of Taipei Deputy Mayor Huang Shanshan are rising, and many DPP supporters intentionally or unintentionally "praising Huang and suppressing An" during the polls, but they found that Huang is now showing a "positive triangle" with Chinese Kuomintang candidate Jiang Wan'an and the "Minister of Health and Welfare" Chen Shizhong, who has the highest call for election. In this regard, the Kuomintang Taipei City Councilman Xu Qiaoxin conducted a relevant analysis of
and said that the blue and green city of Taipei is now divided into "blue and white" and "green and white", and the green and white part is currently pulled away by Huang Shanshan.
Regarding the polls of Jiang Wan'an, Huang Shanshan and Chen Shizhong, it was about to show a "positive triangle". Xu Qiaoxin said in the political commentary program "Face to Face to Face to News" on the 1st that some people of the DPP had to operate the "blue and white see-through" for some time, but unexpectedly, the interaction between green and white was very obvious in the end. This was definitely not deliberately faked by the public, because each poll pointed to almost all the same result, which was that the operation failed, resulting in the young votes of Chen Shizhong being shared by blue and white.
Xu Qiaoxin pointed out according to the TVBS poll that in January, Jiang Wanan's support rate was only 28% between the ages of 20 and 29, and in June it became 41%, while Chen Shizhong lost 11% (32% became 21%), and Huang Shanshan increased 3% (22% rose to 25%). In addition, the support level of 30-39 years old was reduced by 3% (33% turned into 30%), Chen Shizhong decreased by 16% (31% dropped to 15%), and Huang Shanshan increased by 16% (20% rose to 36%).
Xu Qiaoxin analyzed that from the age of 20 to 29, most of Chen Shizhong's declined support went to Jiang Wanan's side, while a small number went to Huang Shanshan, while the 30 to 39 years old happened to be reversed, and Chen Shizhong's declined support went to Huang Shanshan.
Xu Qiaoxin believes that this tells everyone that the structure of voters in Taipei is not like the often mentioned triple-legged governor, so it cannot be compared with the battle in 1994, because after the 2018 election, the structure of Taipei City has changed greatly; it was said that there were only blue and green, at most white and middle voters, but now she observes that blue and green are also divided into "blue and white" and "green and white", and they will not vote for each other. For example, if it is blue and white voters, they will not vote for the Democratic Progressive Party 100%, but they can accept Jiang Wan'an or Huang Shanshan, and "the blue part will be more, and the white part will be more fragile". On the contrary, green and white also have the same phenomenon. You can choose Chen Shizhong or Huang Shanshan.
But Xu Qiaoxin also said that at present, she believes that the green and white part has been pulled away by Huang Shanshan a lot, so looking at Huang's business and boosting ratio in the constituency, Huang got the most votes in the DPP "legislator" constituency.
Host Xie Zhenwu said that, however, Taipei Mayor and Chairman of the People's Party Ko Wen-je will play a very important role in the green and white running style, because many people in the green camp hate Ko Wen-je far better than the Kuomintang.
Xu Qiaoxin responded that this is from a perspective of the whole Taiwan, Taipei City is more special. Under Ke Wenzhe's management, Taipei City has indeed operated a group of people who do not like the DPP, but they will never vote for the KMT, so they are still willing to vote for Huang Shanshan or Ke Wenzhe. This part of the people is why everyone originally thought that green and white would not interact, but Huang Shanshan took so many. They are the main electoral ethnic group that the DPP had misjudged before. (Xue Yang/Edited)
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