Before the festival comes, the purchase price of corn in North China has been continuously lowered! The amplitude is between 0.5-1 points. At present, there is no adjustment to the purchase price of new corn in the Northeast producing areas!
September 29, 2018, from 07:00: Unified corn purchase standards: Mold: Mold requirement is ≤3%, 3%--8% exceeding 1 deduction, 1 deduction for more than 8% rejection; impurities exceeding 1 deduction; acquisition moisture standard: starting at 14%, deduction for more than 1 deduction for more than 1 deduction, 14%-16% exceeding 1 deduction for more than 1 deduction, 1.5 deduction for more than 16%, and more than 18% rejection for more than 1 deduction. Corn purchase price: 0.88 yuan/jin, payment period 25 days; 0.865 yuan/jin, cash settlement, payment the next day. In addition, customers with bicycle corn ≤10 tons can settle and pay on the same day. (Note: Dried corn refuses to accept; more than 20% of broken grains refuses to accept) Henan Julong Bioengineering Co., Ltd. (One point) Bowling treasures Starting from September 28, 2018, the local corn price has been reduced by 5%, the execution price is 0.915 yuan/jin, the moisture content exceeds 17.5%, and more than 14% exceeds one deduction. Mixed assembly of new corn is strictly prohibited. Violators refuse to accept, and the carriage exceeds 13 meters.
Shandong Fukuan started at 8:00 on September 28, 2018, the unified price of North China corn in Northeast China is 0.93 yuan/catties. According to the latest news collected by daily grain and oil, the country will continue to bidding for temporary storage corn in the first week after the National Day, and the auction volume in the first week is still 8 million tons!
This also means that the end time of this year's temporary storage corn bidding transaction may be consistent with our previous expectations: it is expected to be auctioned until the end of October.
Statistics from professional institutions show that as of now, the cumulative transaction volume of corn in temporary storage has reached 86 million tons since 2018, far higher than the transaction volume of more than 50 million tons last year. The transaction volume of corn in temporary storage has hit a record high!
According to the current transaction price of temporary corn storage, the average cost of transporting corn from Northeast China to the south has approached 1,900 yuan/ton, and some of the better quality corn in 2015 has been higher than 1,900 yuan/ton.
Of course, although the cost of temporary storage auctions is basically the same as the market price in the sales area, the impact of temporary storage auctions on the Northeast production areas is still worth paying attention to.
As of now, the average transaction price of temporary storage corn auction in Jilin is only 1,529 yuan/ton, far lower than the new corn purchase price given by the current company. Although we advocate that good grain should be good prices, under the impact of a large amount of low-priced temporary storage corn, it also puts pressure on new corn in 2018.
The situation of temporary storage corn competing with new grain for the market in the early stages of new corn on the market has emerged. Due to the high price of new grain opening and the continued auction of temporary corn in the state, the current intermediate trader's new corn purchase is not strong, and the company is worried that the purchased corn will fall into its hands again. In the import market, my country imported 330,000 tons of corn in August, and a total of 2.87 million tons from January to August, an increase of 840,000 tons from 2.03 million tons in the same period last year, an increase of 41.4%.
To this day, compared with the relatively "live" purchase and sales scene of the new season corn harvest in the Northeast region last year, the Northeast corn harvest and corporate acquisition this year seem a bit "cold". On the one hand, after the overall harvesting progress of the new season corn in Northeast China this year was delayed, only a few early-mature corn were first listed; on the other hand, the acquisition of Northeast corn deep processing enterprises was postponed by one to two weeks compared with previous years due to the cancellation of policy expectations and relatively sufficient inventory. The specific analysis is as follows:
Northeast new season corn harvesting progress was postponed
Normal year, and corn harvesting in the Northeast region began to begin in late September. Harvests entered the peak period during the National Day holiday, and harvesting basically ended from south to north at the end of October. However, after the overall harvesting progress in Northeast China this year, it was mainly due to the spring drought that affected corn seedlings. The proportion of the second seedlings is generally high and is not yet mature. Although a few early-ripening corn in Liaoning and Heilongjiang have been harvested, most of it will take some time. It is expected that the concentrated harvesting period in Northeast China this year will be in mid-October, and the harvesting ends will be postponed to November, which will be postponed by about a week compared with the same period in previous years. The delay in the listing of new corn means that the supply of new corn is slow. Compared with previous years, spot prices may have risen due to this. However, due to the abundant supply of old grain and sufficient inventory of enterprises, it is difficult for corn prices to fluctuate greatly this year.
According to the investigation and understanding of relevant departments, most of the new season corn in Jinzhou, Heishan , Xinmin and other places in Liaoning have been harvested one after another; corn grows relatively well in Tongliao, Inner Mongolia; due to the impact of seedling drought in Liaoyuan, Jilin and other places, corn sowing is relatively late, and the maturity of corn is lower than last year. It is expected that large-scale harvesting may be slightly later on the National Day. Specifically: corn growth in Tongliao, Inner Mongolia is relatively good, and corn maturity is relatively preferred. It is expected that large-scale harvest will be achieved around the 11th, and the output will remain flat and slightly increasing; corn growth deviations in Fuxin, Chaoyang, Jinzhou, and other places in western Liaoning. Considering that in previous years, the output has been in the low-yield areas, the output has been expected to decrease; Siping, Jilin Province, Liaoyuan, Panshi, , Yongji and other places have good growth but not enough, and their maturity is not enough; Gongzhuling and Shuangliao have relatively good maturity, but the yield is not as good as last year. Farmers responded that a small number of areas with irrigation capacity have water planting, and most of them wait for rain to sow seeds; overall, the maturity of Jilin corn is relatively late, and the harvest is expected to be delayed during the National Day period. If the maturity is better at receiving the goods, it will not affect the formation of corn yield. If the maturity is not enough, it may affect the quality and yield of corn.
Northeast deep processing enterprises acquire "Juqi"
This year, the listing of corn for the new season of Northeast deep processing enterprises has started since September 14, about one week later than last year, and it started with Heilongjiang and Inner Mongolia deep processing enterprises. The Jilin corn deep processing enterprises, which were the first to start the scale acquisition last year, was once absent, which was in contrast to the opening of Jilin deep processing enterprises last year. Until September 21, with the increase in the number of corn harvesting and listing in the main production areas in the new season, the acquisition of corn deep processing enterprises in Northeast China finally "gathered". The corn deep processing enterprises in Jilin Province, which were absent in the early stage, also joined the acquisition team, and the price of opening scales was also higher than last year. Specifically: On September 21, Jilin Boda Company began to purchase new grain. Among them, the discount price of second-class dry food is 1,670 yuan/ton, the discount price of third-class dry food is 1,640 yuan/ton, the moisture content exceeds 15.0%, and the baked particles exceeds 1.0%. Discount ratio 1:1.2. Immediately afterwards, on September 25, Inner Mongolia Yipin Bio launched a scale to purchase new season corn, with a purchase price of 1,760 yuan/ton, requiring moisture content within 14%, and above 14.1% of the water is deducted at 1:1.2 and 1:1.3 respectively, and the bulk weight requirement is above 685. The purchase price of 20% water of the newly produced corn tide grain in Fujin Xiangyu, Heilongjiang is 1,470 yuan/ton, and the drying fee is 1,570 yuan/ton. Although some corn deep processing enterprises in Northeast China have begun to acquire, compared with last year, the number of corn deep processing enterprises that have been purchased this year is still relatively small. On the one hand, after the overall harvesting progress of the new corn season in Northeast China has been pushed forward, on the other hand, it may be related to the expectations of local new corn production cuts this year and the possible cancellation of subsidies.
Overall, the initial market for corn acquisition in the new season of Northeast China this year seems a bit "cold". The earliest start of new corn in the deep processing enterprises in Northeast China was one week later than last year. As of now, the number of companies that announced the price of new corn is less than last year, but the listing price of new corn is generally higher than that of 100-200 yuan/ton last year, reflecting the rising demand for domestic corn by grain-using enterprises. It is expected that the peak of new corn listing in North China will be in October and Northeast China will be in November, and the negative impact of new corn prices will gradually deepen. However, from the weather perspective, worries about early frost can be avoided, and the "hidden worries" of autumn flooding have not dissipated, which is a strong support for the domestic high-quality corn market in the medium and long term. At present, early frost has limited impact on corn yield in Northeast my country. However, after most parts of Northeast China escaped early frost this year, we need to worry more about the autumn flooding during the harvest season. After all, in addition to the weather in the northeast corn growth stage, the weather in the harvest stage will also affect the time and quality of corn harvest.
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