That's right, this is a warning from the Russian Kremlin. "Four polling stations have been open in temporary shelters for displaced persons and will work until September 27," the Kamchatka Election Commission said.

Author: Shijiangyue

Ukraine After the four regions of four regions "referendums to Russia", if the Ukrainian army tries to regain control, it will be regarded as an attack on Russia. That's right, this is a warning from the Russian Kremlin.

Comprehensive reports from Russia's Businessman and TASS , Russian President's press secretary Peskov said on the 23rd that if Donetsk , Lugansk , Khlsson and Zaporoze join Russia after holding a referendum, then Ukraine's attempt to re-control these areas will be regarded as an attack on Russia.

Luhansk, Donetsk, Zaporozhe and Khlsson have begun the "Referendum to Russia" on the 23rd. In addition to voting in Donetsk, Lugansk, Khlsson and Zaporoze, Russian mainland will also set up polling stations.

Why is this?

Because according to the requirements of this "referendum to Russia", displaced residents who have moved to the Donetsk, Lugansk, Khlsson and Zaporoze in Russia are allowed to vote, and the votes in Russia start from the Kamchatka region of the Far East. On the 23rd, Kamchatka Peninsula set up 4 polling stations.

Kamchatka Election Commission said: "Four polling stations have been open in temporary shelters for displaced persons and will work until September 27." Russia will then launch voting in various regions, including major urban areas such as Moscow and St. Petersburg .

According to Russian media reports, there is a "referendum on entry into Russia" in four regions including Donetsk. The result is almost certain. The support rates of the people in the four places for joining the Russian Federation are: 80% in Lugansk region, 72% in Donetsk region, 65% in Zaporoze region, and 83% in Khlsong region.

In fact, there is basically no suspense about the "referendum to Russia" and people are more concerned about what changes will bring to the conflict situation in Russia-Ukraine after the referendum is held. As I mentioned on the show two days ago, after the "referendum to Russia", four regions including Luhansk and Donetsk became "Russian territory" in the legal sense of Russia.

According to Russian News Agency , Peskov also said that the "Constitution of the Russian Federation " will also take effect in regions that have joined Russia.

In order to prepare for 300,000 retired soldiers to go to the battlefield, Russian Federation Security Conference Vice Chairman Medvedev 23 posted on the social platform Telegram that he inspected the Russian " Signal Flag " National Machinery Manufacturing Design Bureau, which produces interfering equipment, launch devices and other products that will be used when launching air-to-air missiles.

Medvedev also said on social media that he held a meeting with representatives from the Russian Ministry of Defense and industrial fields to discuss the implementation of defense purchase orders and the expansion of the catalog of weapons and equipment supplied to Russian troops.

In addition, Medvedev posted on the 22nd that according to the Russian decision announced by Russian President Putin , Russia may use any weapons when defending all territory that has joined Russia, including the use of strategic nuclear weapons and hypersonic weapons .

Putin did mention in part of the military mobilization that the purpose of the West is to weaken Russia, isolate Russia and ultimately destroy Russia. If the territorial integrity of Russia's state is threatened, all means will be used to fight back. And Putin stressed that this is by no means just intimidation.

So, will Russia really use nuclear weapon ? This is the most eye-catching issue internationally. I think that unless the three conditions are broken, the possibility of Russia using nuclear weapons is slim. Now, Russian leaders say that using all means, including nuclear weapons, to defend Russian territory is more of a strategic deterrent to the United States and NATO .

First of all, for a country like Ukraine that does not have nuclear weapons and does not have the ability to strike long-range missiles , Russia is unlikely to use nuclear weapons first. We know that in terms of overall strength, Ukraine has a very big gap compared with Russia.Ukraine can now last more than 200 days, on the one hand, it is due to the West providing a large number of conventional weapons, and on the other hand, it is also because of the tenacious fighting will of the Ukrainian army and the people, and the actual performance of the Russian army is indeed not as good as people think.

So, in this case, if Russia uses nuclear weapons against the Ukrainian army at this time, objectively speaking, it is to admit that the Russian army has lost this conflict in conventional operations and can only rely on nuclear weapons to win. So how should we prove it to Russia, which is known as the second largest military force in the world?

Secondly, if the Ukrainian army does not attack the Russian territory recognized by the United Nations , then Russia will use nuclear weapons against a nuclear-weapon-free country, which will bear huge international public pressure. At that time, the international sanctions will only be more serious than it is now, rather than weakened.

United Nations Secretary-General Guterres recently warned that the recent developments have further distant the prospects of peace, and this meaningless conflict may cause endless harm to Ukraine and the entire world. The once unimaginable threat of nuclear conflict has now been talked about on the table, which is completely unacceptable in itself. Guterres also reiterated that all nuclear-bearing countries must re-commit to not use nuclear weapons.

Third, if NATO countries such as the United States and the United Kingdom do not personally send troops to join the battle in Ukraine and still adopt the method of providing limited performance weapons, such as not providing tactical missile with a range of more than 300 kilometers, then the possibility of Russia using nuclear weapons is also very low.

Because from the current perspective, the United States and other NATO countries provide Ukraine with at most second-hand tanks and large-caliber artillery . The "Haimas" multiple rocket launchers are all offensive conventional weapons, not weapons of mass destruction, and the threat to Russian soldiers is also limited.

This can be seen from Russian Defense Minister Shoigu's announcement the day before yesterday that the death toll from the Russian-Ukraine conflict was nearly 6,000. Therefore, as long as NATO such as the United States and Britain do not enter the market, the extent of the war escalation will be very limited. The possibility of using nuclear weapons is also very low.

Overall, in the past, only the Americans dropped nuclear bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki twice. After people realize the devastating impact of nuclear weapons, they will not cross this red line unless they have to. Moreover, why did the United States not use nuclear weapons even after losing the war?

First, the United States is also worried about huge international public pressure. Second, when more countries, including opponents, have reliable nuclear weapons, the threshold for the United States to use nuclear weapons becomes very high, because it has to consider that after using nuclear weapons, it will also be attacked by its opponents by retaliatory nuclear weapons. This is why Cold War each has tens of thousands of nuclear warheads , but they dare not use it easily.

Then, this principle also applies to Russia. Therefore, nuclear weapons will be truly considered unless Russia is invaded or nuclear weapons are attacked by a nuclear weapon.