In early September, we discussed that after the large-scale controlled area was lost south of Kharkov, Putin would consider using large-scale military operations to attack Ukraine in order to continue to maintain Russia's strong image.

At the beginning of September, we discussed that after the large-scale control area was lost south of Kharkov , Putin will consider using large-scale military operations to attack Ukrainian in order to continue to maintain Russia's strong image. The more bets you had on the table in the past, the less Putin could afford to lose. And he has already shown us the answer with practical actions. And it's a combination of punches.

First of all, Russia has asked Ukraine Donetsk, Lugantick, Zaporoze , and Kelsson to conduct a comprehensive referendum to decide whether these four places should join the Russian territory. Then Kremlin expressed full support for the referendum. People who go to , Kiev, , actually those who are emotionally inclined to Kiev cannot participate in the referendum. So the result of the referendum, you guess or guess again, I believe you can guess correctly.

Another thing is that Russia announced that more than 5,000 people have been killed since the war started. Putin just delivered a speech, demanding that local mobilization be started, 300,000 experienced reserve personnel be recruited, and the military factory has been transferred to wartime state and began to produce with full strength.

In addition, the legal aspects are also keeping pace with each other, and it is necessary to ensure battlefield discipline and rear order during wartime to avoid chaos. Release foreign volunteers to join the Russian army and allow them to have Russian nationality.

I saw that some media think that this is a trick Putin took to make the West scare, so the West firmly opposes it. I think opposition cannot be equated with fear, because we also oppose many actions in the United States. If these two concepts must be mixed together, many of our attitudes cannot be explained clearly.

I think Russia's actions will add a lot of pressure to Ukraine and Europe, but this is a double-edged sword and it also gives Russia a tight breath on the chessboard.

First of all, Russia previously stated that it would not covet Ukrainian territory and let Lugansk and Donetsk be independent. This time, it launched a vote of four regions to join Russia, which is very unfavorable to Russia. After all, China has always opposed the expansion of territory in this way. China now refuses to admit that Crimea belongs to Russia. A great power decides independence or incorporation into other countries through military forces by allowing several states to hold referendums. This is particularly easy for us to think of Xinjiang, Tibet, Mongolia and Taiwan. If someone also uses external forces to hold referendums, what should we do? Legal theory has caused us trouble. So today the Ministry of Foreign Affairs stated that our position on the Ukraine issue is consistent. Since it is consistent, it means supporting the integrity of Ukraine's territorial sovereignty and maintaining the attitude of UN Charter has not changed yet.

For Europe and the United States, it is now mixed. The Russian army has increased its total strength by 300,000, which means that these people can be filled all over the country and replaced the active troops and put them on the battlefield. This is pressure.

However, more than 5,000 people were killed, which would allow Putin to issue a local mobilization order, which may mean that either the number of casualties was severely reduced, or Putin was already very worried about the strength of the Russian army. Even the four Ukrainian states were included in the Russian territory, which may be to facilitate the large number of Russian conscripts to be put into the battlefield, because this is not considered going abroad to fight. However, the United States is happy to see the process of large-scale elimination of lives by conscripts. The large number of casualties of conscripts over a period of time will cause logistical pressure and damage to morale. Strekov already complained that it is too late to start local mobilization now, so why not mobilize before the war? The most important point is that for the United States, the consequences of Putin's move will make some countries that are not resolute in NATO and that are not resolute in NATO, thereby further gathering NATO.

Therefore, after local mobilization, if Russia cannot achieve a big victory in the short term, it is not ruled out that it will further mobilize. However, the equipment found in the previous battle was backward and the military services basically did not cooperate with these problems. I am afraid it is still frozen and cannot be changed by mobilization.